Fascism in The US: Unlikely? Possible? Probable? How soon?

BC January 11, 2024 at 06:59 8825 views 400 comments
Robert Paxton, a professor emeritus at Columbia University, defines fascism in his 2004 book The Anatomy of Fascism

  • a sense of overwhelming crisis beyond the reach of any traditional solutions;
  • the subordination of the individual to the primacy of the group;
  • the belief in a collective victimhood, justifying any action against its enemies without legal or moral limits;
  • the fear that individualistic liberalism, class conflict, and alien influences will lead to a decline in the group
  • the need for a purer community, by consent if possible, or by exclusionary violence if necessary;
  • the need for male authority culminating in a national chief who incarnates the group’s historical destiny;
  • the leader’s instincts are superior to abstract and universal reason;
  • the beauty of violence and the efficacy of will, when they are devoted to the group’s success;
  • the right of the select group to dominate others without restraint from any kind of human or divine law, right being decided by the sole criterion of the group’s prowess within a Darwinian struggle.


There are other good definitions here.

The United States has had fascist movements in the past. The KKK is an example. Father McLaughlin had a popular radio show during the 1930s, reaching up to 30,000,000 a week. "The broadcasts have been described as "a variation of the Fascist agenda applied to American culture". Coughlin died in 1979.

American Fascists might not sound like Hitler or Mussolini. They could be antisemitic, or focus on some other group, like liberals, intellectuals, Blacks, Latinos, Asians, Gays, or... lots of possibilities.

Donald Trump might be a fascist, and someone else might be an even worse prospect--perhaps a lesser known far-right Republican.

How much do you expect and or fear that a strong fascist moment could be organized within the next 5 years?

Comments (400)

Tom Storm January 11, 2024 at 07:05 #871312
Reply to BC When I read this 1998 Richard Rorty quote in 2016, I wondered the same thing.

[M]embers of labor unions, and unorganized unskilled workers, will sooner or later realize that their government is not even trying to prevent wages from sinking or to prevent jobs from being exported. Around the same time, they will realize that suburban white-collar workers—themselves desperately afraid of being downsized—are not going to let themselves be taxed to provide social benefits for anyone else.

At that point, something will crack. The nonsuburban electorate will decide that the system has failed and start looking around for a strongman to vote for—someone willing to assure them that, once he is elected, the smug bureaucrats, tricky lawyers, overpaid bond salesmen, and postmodernist professors will no longer be calling the shots. A scenario like that of Sinclair Lewis’ novel It Can’t Happen Here may then be played out. For once a strongman takes office, nobody can predict what will happen. In 1932, most of the predictions made about what would happen if Hindenburg named Hitler chancellor were wildly overoptimistic.

One thing that is very likely to happen is that the gains made in the past forty years by black and brown Americans, and by homosexuals, will be wiped out. Jocular contempt for women will come back into fashion. The words [slur for an African-American that begins with “n”] and [slur for a Jewish person that begins with “k”] will once again be heard in the workplace. All the sadism which the academic Left has tried to make unacceptable to its students will come flooding back. All the resentment which badly educated Americans feel about having their manners dictated to them by college graduates will find an outlet.

Richard Rorty Achieving Our Country 1998


BC January 11, 2024 at 07:22 #871313
Reply to Tom Storm Labor might well be the bitter and resentful collective Rorty posits. Sufficient economic distress could also motivate white collar, lower-level managerial types to turn into fascists. We need to keep an eye on Christian Nationalists (they're a thing in the US -- another abomination), fascist military types, white nationalists, of course--the Proud Boys, et al. The people who resent limitations on their right to do whatever they damn well please (on federal land, for instance) need to be watched. The wealthy are another suspicious group. Having nothing to lose can stimulate radical thinking, and so can having a lot to lose -- which the rich definitely have.

The Plot Against America is a novel by Philip Roth published in 2004. It is an alternative history in which Franklin D. Roosevelt is defeated in the presidential election of 1940 by Charles Lindbergh. It's believable, given its setting in time, but perhaps isn't indicative of how a fascist movement would operate now.

Prophet Song by Paul Lynch is a novel about Ireland under fascism. It won the Booker Prize in 2023. So people are thinking about fascism, one way and the other.
Tom Storm January 11, 2024 at 07:43 #871314
Quoting BC
So people are thinking about fascism, one way and the other.


Sure are. Us included...
Wayfarer January 11, 2024 at 07:47 #871316
Quoting BC
How much do you expect and or fear that a strong fascist moment could be organized within the next 5 years?


Trump/MAGA is unashamedly fascist. He’s openly boasted that he thinks the constitution should be suspended, the public service purged, and his enemies subjected to prosecution. He has a strong movement if polling data is to be believed. Many are saying that he will win the election, and although I don’t believe that he will, the acceptance of his threats of fascism and the escalation of violent threats against the judiciary and other institutions is alarming in the extreme.
BC January 11, 2024 at 07:50 #871317
Reply to Tom Storm It might have been Robert Paxton who suggested that fascists are as much identifiable as fascists by the way they operate as by what they believe. This is what makes Trump, so objectionable in so many ways as he is, a prime suspect. The January 6 riots were not spontaneous, of course. Using a mob to break up a civil proceeding to gain or keep power is a classic fascist move. He has persisted in maintaining the lie that the election was stolen from him. Politicians lie all the time, of course, but Trump's lies tie into the riots, Stop the Steal chants, and all that.
Tom Storm January 11, 2024 at 07:57 #871319
Reply to BC Not much I can say except that I hope Jan 6 isn't Turmp's equivalent to the Munich Putsch of 1923.
Wayfarer January 11, 2024 at 08:21 #871323
The coup is ongoing. Don’t let anyone tell you otherwise. 139 current members of Congress voted not to certify the last election result.
Wayfarer January 11, 2024 at 09:05 #871328
Let’s not forget that only yesterday, in support of Trump’s claim for immunity, his own lawyer argued, in a Federal Court of Appeals, that Trump should literally be allowed to get away with murder - that if he ordered a Seal team to assasinate a rival, then he should be immune from prosecution, unless he were first impeached by both houses. Let that sink in. When Trump said he could shoot someone on Fifth Avenue and get away with it, it wasn’t empty rhetoric. He believes it. And a very large number of regular voters are apparently down with it.
180 Proof January 11, 2024 at 09:26 #871332
My guess (wishful thinking?): the oligarchic-corporatist "neoliberal" establishment (i.e. bankers-military industrialists) is hellbent on keeping a "neofascist" coup d'etat from killing the US hegemonic goose that's still laying the postwar-globalist golden eggs (e.g. currently $32 trillion petrodollar denominated US debt). Simultaneous proxy wars with Russia, Iran & China are the collective counterweight, perhaps for another decade, offsetting what looks like an inevitable American ethnopopulist implosion. No doubt a "superpower" nightmare the world can't wake up from soon enough. :death: :fire:
ChatteringMonkey January 11, 2024 at 09:30 #871333
I think the probability depends on 1) whether the US will face a serious economic crisis or not, and 2) whether someone with enough charisma and talent will stand up to organise that populist movement.

1) Things were way worse still in Weimar Germany. A serious crisis for the US doesn't seem that imminent at this moment, but that could change fast in a fragile global economy that has some serious issues going forward.

2) Trump maybe wants to go that direction, and maybe can get some popular support, but I think ultimately he doesn't have the skills/talent to pull it off. But you know maybe he inspired some people.
wonderer1 January 11, 2024 at 09:33 #871334
Quoting BC
The Plot Against America is a novel by Philip Roth published in 2004. It is an alternative history in which Franklin D. Roosevelt is defeated in the presidential election of 1940 by Charles Lindbergh. It's believable, given its setting in time, but perhaps isn't indicative of how a fascist movement would operate now.


Hmm... Joe Steele by Harry Turtledove, published in 2015, is a horrifyingly plausible alternative history along the same lines. Now I wonder if there was some plagiarism going on.

Still, it was a good book. While reading it, it was somewhat of a relief to know that Trump doesn't read.
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 10:07 #871339
Reply to BC
The scary thing is the denial of fascism from Trump supporters. It’s sort of a gaslighting version. He says dog whistle stuff and then it can be interpreted more ambiguously later on and people just move forward. You say it enough it’s just part of the landscape and normalized. HE gets to say it, if no one else. He praises and encouraged riots to stop counting of votes. He said he’d use the government to attack political enemies. His legal team thinks the president is fully immune from criminal wrongdoing. Then he redirects his actually alarming fascist tendencies to run of the mill corruption like Hunter Biden. It’s the psychology of a cult of personality. He can do no wrong, so he is immune.

In a sporting game, both sides follow the referee. If one side encourages the crowd to believe the referee is corrupt, then all the calls will be questioned and they will rig the game.

It’s also scary that other Republicans would think that if he is elected he won’t turn it into a semi-fascist style government to exact revenge.

I would quibble about Trump as actually fascist though. Fascists generally have an ideology. His is just narcissistic self-serving agenda for himself, co-opting the right for this agenda. He runs it more like a mob style organization so that loyalty gets favors and uses the primaries to outvote those who are against him. Liz Cheney was not liberal but she was voted out for one main reason.

Also fascist tend to be supporters of military. He has oddly called dead soldiers “losers and suckers”. You’d have to have an eerie mesmerizing hold to have any let alone most military people supporting you (not sure the latest polls but probably the case). So perhaps BC, can we split up a cult from fascism and just say its elements of both? Does fascism need a cult of personality or only ideology? Which is worse? Delusional support for person or belief en masse?
unenlightened January 11, 2024 at 11:01 #871347
Mcarthyism deserves dishonourable mention in this context.


  • Fascism is the revolution of the entitled.
  • Declining powers are vulnerable, because we have been taught that growth is normal and decline is a crisis.
  • There is no special virtue in the American psyche, that would make them immune.
Tzeentch January 11, 2024 at 11:38 #871348
Quoting schopenhauer1
The scary thing is the denial of fascism from Trump supporters. It’s sort of a gaslighting version.


So Trump is fascist and anyone who thinks that's nonsense is a Trump supporter and trying to gaslight you? :brow: Casting suspicion on anyone who disagrees with you is not a great starting point for discussion, and would sooner suggest that what you're looking for is an echo chamber.

Personally, I think the idea that the US is anywhere near or even nearing fascism is so humurous it's hard for me to take it seriously.
Metaphysician Undercover January 11, 2024 at 12:15 #871354
Quoting Tzeentch
So Trump is fascist and anyone who thinks that's nonsense is a Trump supporter and trying to gaslight you?


Why jump to conclusion without reading the post? Didn't schopy actually say:

Quoting schopenhauer1
I would quibble about Trump as actually fascist though. Fascists generally have an ideology. His is just narcissistic self-serving agenda for himself, co-opting the right for this agenda.


I think what schopenhaur1 implies, rather than that Trump himself is fascist, is that many Trump supporters are fascist, and they see his actions as an opening of the door, inviting them in. In reality he's just using them for his own personal gain, what schop describes as narcissistic. And, it appears like the number of fascists is sufficient to make opening the door to fascism worthwhile for him.
wonderer1 January 11, 2024 at 12:20 #871355
Quoting Metaphysician Undercover
I think what schopenhaur1 implies, rather than that Trump himself is fascist, is that many Trump supporters are fascist, and they see his actions as an opening of the door, inviting them in. In reality he's just using them for his own personal gain, what schop describes as narcissistic. And, it appears like the number of fascists is sufficient to make opening the door to fascism worthwhile for him.


:up:
Echarmion January 11, 2024 at 13:06 #871369
Quoting schopenhauer1
It’s the psychology of a cult of personality. He can do no wrong, so he is immune.


I think though that a bunch of the personality cult is tongue-in-cheek. The Trump voter base seems far more concerned with their enemies than with their "glorious leader". Arguably Hillary Clinton as the embodiment of evil is as important to the Trump movement as Trump is.

And I think this is ultimately why nothing "sticks" to Trump. His supporters do not care so long as he destroys the evil they are convinced is trying to rule their lifes.

And this brings us back to fascism: the overwhelming sense of crisis and the threat by evil outsiders.

Quoting Metaphysician Undercover
I think what schopenhaur1 implies, rather than that Trump himself is fascist, is that many Trump supporters are fascist, and they see his actions as an opening of the door, inviting them in. In reality he's just using them for his own personal gain, what schop describes as narcissistic. And, it appears like the number of fascists is sufficient to make opening the door to fascism worthwhile for him.


Yeah, Trump is the wrecking ball. The people with a real understanding of the political movement, people like Bannon, are the scary ones.
jkop January 11, 2024 at 13:39 #871374
Quoting BC
How much do you expect and or fear that a strong fascist moment could be organized within the next 5 years?


Certainly possible, but not so probable, because a (too) strong fascist (or other political) movement is a threat to the ruling business movement. :cool:

There will be fascists fighting liberals fighting socialists, and postmodern professors and activists relativizing away knowledge from being taken seriously.
Echarmion January 11, 2024 at 13:46 #871376
Quoting jkop
Certainly possible, but not so probable, because a (too) strong fascist (or other political) movement is a threat to the ruling business movement. :cool:


I'm no longer so sure about that. The "ruling business elite" knows the risk of some kind of major crash is high and rising. For example: "two thirds of risk experts surveyed expect a multipolar or fragmented world order to emerge in the next decade"

It seems plausible that some people opt to take the "disaster capitalist" route, that is ride the waves of catastrophes to amass and notably power that can be used to safeguard their interests.
ssu January 11, 2024 at 14:57 #871392
Quoting BC
How much do you expect and or fear that a strong fascist moment could be organized within the next 5 years?

Well, what is sure to happen is that any movement that gains power, will likely be called (rightly or wrongly) fascist. Because calling the other side fascist is the usual insult.

Political polarization is now quite structural in the US political field. The two-party system simply enforces this. When there is little to show of your own achievements, then it becomes simply a game of telling how dangerous and evil the other party is and hence you have to vote for us. This message is spoon fed to Americans all the time. It's amazing just how little political violence the US has seen.

And then there is populism, be it leftist or right-wing populism, that will also fuel the polarization. After all, in the heart of populism there's the hatred against the rich, the powerful and the elites that are against the common people.

There is also the disenchantment to the state, the country itself. There's a fine line between being critical about implemented policies and then being self loathing. Many Americans find their own state as this potential enemy to themselves. One could naively think that this would counter the lure of fascism, but unfortunately it goes the other way. The state and it's power is only held by the wrong people, the correct people have to take the power and be uncompromising to those others!

In a similar way, you could assume that conspiracy theorists simply want transparency and sound policies that aren't high-jacked by special interest groups. As the Trump ensemble of Q-ANON people showed, this is the farthest from the truth. These people simply believe all is propaganda and they have to fight it with their own propaganda.

And as an foreigner, what I'm surprised is that Americans don't seem to understand that their perpetual deficit funding of their government relies on the status of the US dollar, which itself enjoys that status because of the Superpower status itself that the country has. Once the dollar loses it's status as the back up currency and just becomes the largest currency among others, then the perpetual deficit funding cannot be sustained.

This kind of economic crisis might then indeed turn the US into a policestate as it has all the trappings of one already in place. If the middle classes then start fearing for their own safety, then you can easily get a state that is quite fascist.



Tzeentch January 11, 2024 at 15:30 #871402
If one wants to understand what is going on politically, first we must dismiss buzzwords like "fascism". There's nothing going on in the western world currently that even remotely resembles fascism. Nothing that even hints of it - no, Trump isn't fascist either. Talking about "fascist elements" is just rabble-rousing nonsense.

A better word would be "bad loserism", since it more closely captures the nature (and ultimately the limited gravity) of what is going on, namely adults throwing tantrums because their team didn't win the race.

This isn't unique to the US. A similar thing happened in other countries, including my own, where a somewhat controversial party came out the biggest in the last election. In Germany we see the same sort of thing with the AfD (though they have yet to win).

When "their side" doesn't win, suddenly people start questioning democracy, talking about how "fascists" are taking over, etc.

Trump did it when Biden won. In the Netherlands some lefties did it when Wilders won. Germany is now questioning democracy because the AfD might win. Undoubtedly if Trump wins the next election we'll see the same type of thing from the Democrats, etc.

It's all very childish.


So, why is this happening?

- Countries all throughout the West are going through a transitional period, where the ruling political class is being replaced ("populists are taking over"). The desire for meaningful change is high, and elections are close, so all the major sides (and even wild cards like Trump) believe they have a shot at winning.

- A thorough poisoning of the information landscape by propaganda and wrong-headed adverstisement (through algorithms and AI, for example) makes the legitimacy of governments plummet even further. This is something all parties are guilty of, the ruling political class perhaps most of all. Creating internet echo chambers further cements in all sides this belief that they are going to win.

And as such, the democratic process loses its credibility, and people start to refuse to accept the outcomes of elections and fueled by emotion will take all sorts of foolish actions and make foolish statements.


Not fascism, but "bad loserism".
0 thru 9 January 11, 2024 at 15:31 #871404
Quoting BC
We need to keep an eye on Christian Nationalists (they're a thing in the US -- another abomination)


:up: Yes definitely. I was raised Catholic / Christian. Now lapsed, but the core beliefs linger in me.

Core beliefs that in bitter irony are now rejected by militant Fundamentalists as “too soft”.
Forgiveness, love, compassion, humility… Soft Power is unfortunately out of fashion.
(I’ve thought about starting a thread entitled ‘Christian Nationalism is neither truly Christian nor truly Nationalist…’)

I like simple answers as much as anyone, but demanding quick and neat, black / white solutions regarding national (and international policy) is a fool’s game… and irresistibly tempting.

There’s a theory that peoples’ patience and attention span has been on the wane for decades, and the internet has exacerbated the trend.
Another trend is thinking that one is extremely smart, because of insta-google searches.
Join that with the simultaneous spread of misinformation / disinformation.

It is clearly a type of psychological projection when the Alt-Right whines about “wokeness” when (taken as a whole) their own movement rests on an unstable and bizarre (and often contradictory) patchwork of lies, blame, intolerance, paranoia, mythology, etc.

What’s the old saying about “small lies attracting small numbers, and big lies attracting large numbers of followers”?

The leader who appears ‘strong’ and ‘confident’ during turbulent times has an advantage, even if he is a cowardly selfish gasbag who doesn’t care about anything beyond their little fantasy bubble.

A quick glance at the collection of loonies that “stormed the Capitol” is a handy reference.

Not that long ago in the USA, the Constitution was near-sacred to many, especially conservatives.

Now it seems that many of them would (as in a fairytale) trade it like a cow for some magic beans.
RogueAI January 11, 2024 at 16:16 #871414
When given the choice between a Democrat who won't police the border and a fascist who will, Americans will at least contemplate voting for the fascist. Or tell pollsters they're going to. I don't think Trump has a chance, though. What Americans are telling pollsters is the equivalent of a scream of rage at the incompetent Democrats. When push comes to shove, they won't bring themselves to vote for Trump.
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 16:16 #871415
Quoting Tzeentch
So Trump is fascist and anyone who thinks that's nonsense is a Trump supporter and trying to gaslight you? :brow: Casting suspicion on anyone who disagrees with you is not a great starting point for discussion, and would sooner suggest that what you're looking for is an echo chamber.


No, that's not what I mean. It's not that if you support Trump's policies, therefore you must be gaslighting me. Specifically, if you bring up what Trump has said and done to take of the guard rails of the American democracy, and introducing dangerous rhetoric into the political system that echoes things you might here in a rightwing rally in the 1930s, instead of acknowledging that this is indeed alarming, and despite agreeing in various policies, the person is too dangerous, they will say that it's no big deal, or that they haven't read what is all over MSM (because they have their own echo chamber of rightwing podcasts/takshow hosts curating what matters). Or, exactly as was stated here:

Quoting Echarmion
I think though that a bunch of the personality cult is tongue-in-cheek. The Trump voter base seems far more concerned with their enemies than with their "glorious leader". Arguably Hillary Clinton as the embodiment of evil is as important to the Trump movement as Trump is.

And I think this is ultimately why nothing "sticks" to Trump. His supporters do not care so long as he destroys the evil they are convinced is trying to rule their lifes.

And this brings us back to fascism: the overwhelming sense of crisis and the threat by evil outsiders.


I really can't say much more than that. It is exactly what seems to be going on with that.

I mean look at Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley. In their debates, they are afraid to trash on the frontrunner who is the most corrupt president we've had in terms of blatantly using democratic means secure his power and whose divisive rhetoric has made the divisions that much greater. They know this, but they barely address Trump's unsuitability to take office, and his offensive behavior because that would mean the base would reprimand by not even considering such blasphemy of their dear leader. But that just shows the lack of backbone on their part. Only Chris Christie has spoken out forcefully in the presidential primary. Hell, Nikki Haley might even be letting open the possibility of being Trump's VP!

But that just speaks to the fact that its the VOTERS who are keeping these spineless politicians beholden to their dear leader.. And instead of taking a moral stance against him, they cowtow to their will. Where does that leave politics in general then? As slimy as it's ever been.
0 thru 9 January 11, 2024 at 16:18 #871416
Quoting BC
The United States has had fascist movements in the past. The KKK is an example. Father McLaughlin had a popular radio show during the 1930s, reaching up to 30,000,000 a week. "The broadcasts have been described as "a variation of the Fascist agenda applied to American culture". Coughlin died in 1979.


In an odd way, I sometimes find it comforting that such ideologies (or ‘idiot-ologies’ lol) have been kept at bay in the past (though never completely eradicated of course).

And perhaps the intolerance acted roughly like a vaccine to spur a counter-action to increase resistance to short-sighted tribalism, stupidity and hatred, by its very noxiousness.

(This is probably looking through rosy glasses, and desperately searching for a diamond in a pile of manure).

Reading about the history of the Prohibition in the USA during the 1920’s gives a similar effect.
(Or watching the Ken Burns documentary about that tumultuous time).

Hanover January 11, 2024 at 16:52 #871423
Quoting BC
How much do you expect and or fear that a strong fascist moment could be organized within the next 5 years?


Unless someone wants to define our current system as fascist (which I don't), I put the chances at right around zero. The forces maintaining the status quo are well forged, and not seriously challenged by those marching in the street, writing scathing articles, and or even by the voting booth.

Your post could have appeared during any 5 year period from 1950 until today, and I expect the same sort of responses would have been given, with back and forth about how the political and economic environment will never sustain with way things are going.

The only reason I don't say it's outright zero is because there is always the chance of an unforeseen disruptive force, like a meteor slams into earth, nuclear war, or a zombie apocolypse.

The most likely of those deals with war. Which means its less our morals that offers us protection than it is our military.

Edit: I'd change 1950 to 1865, but I might be convinced to roll it back to 1776.
Mikie January 11, 2024 at 16:55 #871424
Trump himself is a narcissist and will say and do anything to stay in power and protect his brand. That’s obvious. But the party he’s chosen to attach himself to won’t go along with everything. They’ve got no souls or spines, so they stick with him because of his large base— but the core element of their agenda is neoliberal, through and through. Not fascism.

Trump was happy to let them (mostly) carry out this agenda, and his rhetoric (mostly) reflects this as well — code words like liberty, freedom, small government, security, law and order, etc. Meanwhile every policy decision helped the wealthiest people and the corporate sector, the most obvious being his one legislative “achievement”: the tax cuts of 2017. He also stacked the regulating agencies with insiders from the industries being regulated — Scott Pruitt heading the EPA the most glaring example, in my view.

So while his rhetoric has become even more extreme, and the Heritage Foundation’s “Project 2025” policy plans is scary indeed, I don’t think the powers that be really want a civil war or suspending the constitution; they don’t want fascism. Rather, they want a well run system, preferably with even more wealth transferred to them. They very much need the state to subsidize them and bail them out when their profiteering crashes the economy.

I’m not too worried about fascism. A second Trump term will be catastrophic enough, perhaps even worse than fascism.

Ciceronianus January 11, 2024 at 16:58 #871426
Quoting BC
How much do you expect and or fear that a strong fascist moment could be organized within the next 5 years?


It's not clear to me that we don't have one already, although I can't say that it's organized. Let's say there are plenty of fascists, or crypto-fascists.

Ever read Sinclair Lewis' novel It Can't Happen Here? It's American dictator, Buzz Windrip (love the name), is described as disturbingly similar to You Know Who.
Tzeentch January 11, 2024 at 16:59 #871427
And this brings us back to fascism: the overwhelming sense of crisis and the threat by evil outsiders.


Quoting schopenhauer1
I really can't say much more than that. It is exactly what seems to be going on with that.


In my opinion, this is a classic example of framing.

One hardly needs to be fascist to believe that the United States political ruling class is rotten to the core and should be removed for the sake of the people. In fact, looking at it from across the pond that seems like a perfectly reasonable thing to believe. Obviously whether Trump is a suitable alternative is a whole other question, but this doesn't make him or his supporters fascist.

Quoting schopenhauer1
I mean look at Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley. In their debates, they are afraid to trash on the frontrunner who is the most corrupt president we've had in terms of blatantly using democratic means secure his power and whose divisive rhetoric has made the divisions that much greater. They know this, but they barely address Trump's unsuitability to take office, and his offensive behavior because that would mean the base would reprimand by not even considering such blasphemy of their dear leader. But that just shows the lack of backbone on their part. Only Chris Christie has spoken out forcefully in the presidential primary. Hell, Nikki Haley might even be letting open the possibility of being Trump's VP!


What of the Democrats, who shunned RFK Jr. and forced him to go independent? What of Hillary and Bernie?

Undemocratic and tasteless though such things may be, they're hardly exclusive to Trump or the Republican party. It actually seems to be a core feature of American democracy.

And it's also typically democratic to point fingers at the other side and ignore the own side's role in the myriad of problems that plague the system.
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 17:13 #871432
Quoting Tzeentch
One hardly needs to be fascist to believe that the United States political ruling class is rotten to the core and should be removed for the sake of the people. In fact, looking at it from across the pond that seems like a perfectly reasonable thing to believe. Obviously whether Trump is a suitable alternative is a whole other question, but this doesn't make him or his supporters fascist.


Yes, and this is the more subtle version of what is going on.. To morally equivocate standard corruption of politicians (making money from being in office generally in some fashion is usually the corruption here, but also hiding agendas etc.), doesn't mean that these politicians DISMANTLE the very system and MANIPULATE their voters to do their bidding. Also, they do not dog whistle (generally) in blatant and egregious forms of divisive/shocking racial/identity/supremacy rhetoric.

Certainly, I will say, I find it so interesting that the "moral majority" (mainly white evangelicals) go along with him, despite their railing against the Clinton years and so on. Obama gave them nothing to hate in that department, but Trump brought it back a thousand time over, but because of his court appointees regarding abortion, anything goes.

Quoting Tzeentch
Obviously whether Trump is a suitable alternative is a whole other question, but this doesn't make him or his supporters fascist.


I wouldn't say they are fascist. But they may (unconsciously) hold views that conform with fascist tendencies. I might characterize it more as cognitive dissonance. In normal conversation they would condemn such things, but once the cult leader says it, it is defended. It really becomes an identity thing more than anything. It started as sort of a joke.. he's an outsider, and he's pissing off "the libs", and then it becomes actually embracing him no matter what.

Quoting Tzeentch
What of the Democrats, who shunned RFK Jr. and forced him to go independent? What of Hillary and Bernie?

Undemocratic and tasteless though such things may be, they're hardly exclusive to Trump or the Republican party. It actually seems to be a core feature of American democracy.


That's not the same of what I am talking about. If RFK, Jr. Ran as a democrat, and was afraid to bash Biden because he was afraid Biden voters would be angered, that would might be the same. There is nothing comparable on the Democratic side.

Quoting Tzeentch
And it's also typically democratic to point fingers at the other side and ignore the own side's role in the myriad of problems that plague the system.


That's just politics in general. Blame the other guy for your failings. There is a general "my party above all else" that permeates all of it, but that is a different, systemic problem- one that Washington clearly predicted in his Farewell Address.

Count Timothy von Icarus January 11, 2024 at 17:19 #871435
Reply to Tzeentch

I agree that the label has many problems. There are certainly some troubling similarities between the "Trumpist movement," and fascist movements, but there are many differences as well. For one, the Trump camp has been openly feuding with the security services and military for a long time, and hasn't done much to court the officer corps. It's also a movement with its core support in the elderly; Trump lost voters under 55 by landslide margins both times.

Most important though, it is far less a movement of unity than the fascist movements. The fascists certainly looked inward for enemies, but they were also looking outward, a far cry from the isolationist trends in Trumpism. There was this potent idea of a "people" that needed to be unified.

While there certainly is some of that in Trumpism, the celebration of the "real Americans" as a sort of exceptional people, the movement takes as its core opponent a whole half of the country. You see this bleed into policy, e.g. when Trump refused to allow a natural disaster declaration for California fires against all past precedent, openly voicing the opinion that federal funds shouldn't go to such liberal states (ironic since the fires largely hit areas he won). There is a war to be waged in Trumpism, but it's primarily a culture war. Fascism was about a sort of top down unity, Trumpism is very much a movement of minority rule.

You can even see this in how Hitler went through pains to organize big rigged plebiscites. By contrast, while Trump will certainly claim he really won the popular vote despite losing by millions of votes, it isn't an area of focus. The GOP has largely embraced the idea that they [I]should[/I] be able to rule while gaining fewer votes, and that the system was always intended to work this way, to boost the power of the votes of the more virtuous. There is none of the hand wringing that accompanied Bush II's loss of the popular vote. Instead, state parties are actively working to enshrine Electoral College-like institutions at the state and local level. The GOP proposal for Colorado elections would have let them win the last governors race despite losing by more than 10% for example.

And then there is the full throated endorsement of police and police unions, despite them being both organized labor and public sector workers, a loathed combo in most situations. Contrast this with all the attacks on the military. If I were to look for a parallel, I might look more to apartheid South Africa. The movement is inward looking, focused on minority rule and control of the levers of power.

Countries all throughout the West are going through a transitional period, where the ruling political class is being replaced ("populists are taking over"). The desire for meaningful change is high, and elections are close, so all the major sides (and even wild cards like Trump) believe they have a shot at winning.


I wouldn't frame it simply as "populism." Trump lost by 3.5 million and then 7.5 million votes (his loss margin was equal to 10% of his vote total). He could certainly win this year, but if he does he will likely lose by 9-11 million votes just based on demographics.

The GOP has won more votes in a national election once is the past 36 years, and the trend will almost certainly hold true for 40 years, almost a half century. The only time they won a national election in that period they happened to have the incumbency following 9/11 despite the fact that they lost the popular vote in 2000. And, based on the most complete recount information released back in 2008, they also lost the Electoral College. The Bush victory in 2000 relied on the fact that the deciding state was Florida, where his campaign manager was the AG, in control of the elections, and his brother the governor. Even then, it came down to a party line vote in the court. Without that, the party would be on a near half century losing steak.

So it's populism, but of a very particular sort. It's a populism where restricting access to the ballot box has become a top priority. In a number of states, 1 in every 5, and as much as 1 in every 4 African American males has been stripped of their voting rights. The states where disenfranchisement is highest are all GOP strongholds. When the voters of Florida overwhelmingly supported giving these people their voting rights back, the GOP was able to effectively keep disenfranchisement on the table.

I'm not sure if you can even call it "populism." It is decidedly not about the broad will of any people, but the broad will of "the good people." It also isn't anti-elite. Conservative billionaires are heros. Clarence Thomas isn't in any hot water with the base for cozying up to a billionaire and receiving massive gifts from him. It's anti-intellectual for sure, and against many institutions, but it celebrated elites provided they are the right sort of elite. Again, I think South Africa is the better model here.

Undoubtedly if Trump wins the next election we'll see the same type of thing from the Democrats, etc.


Certainly, but there is a valid point to be made if a "democracy" has handed power to the side getting fewer votes in 3 of the last 6 elections. The problem looks even more acute when you consider the widespread use of disenfranchisement mentioned above and all the structural issues that support highly divergent levels of voter turn out across different populations. You don't get the day off to vote and if you live in some places you could spend the entire work day waiting to cast your ballot. In terms of actual approval, the GOP does even worse than losing by 7-11 million votes would suggest.

And then there are to consider all the ways in which the Senate and the limit on House seats favors small rural states, or even more so the aggressive efforts to make minority rule even easier to achieve.
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 17:23 #871436
Quoting Count Timothy von Icarus
Most important though, it is far less a movement of unity than the fascist movements. The fascists certainly looked inward for enemies, but they were also looking outward, a far cry from the isolationist trends in Trumpism.


Not exactly. The immigrants in the border are the "other". You can support better border security policies without framing the way he is doing.. DeSantis and Haley, whatever your feelings towards their policies, are standard rhetoric regarding this stance WITHOUT the "outward enemy" rhetoric. It's a not so subtle difference to emphasize security and being anti-drug smuggling and "poisoning the blood".



wonderer1 January 11, 2024 at 17:25 #871437
Quoting schopenhauer1
I wouldn't say they are fascist. But they may (unconsciously) hold views that conform with fascist tendencies


Many Christian literalists hold monarchy as an ideal, as that is what they expect in an afterlife. The extent to which such a view is consciously held varies, but it tends to be there to some degree as a consequence of the culture.
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 17:30 #871441
Quoting wonderer1
Many Christian literalists hold monarchy as an ideal, as that is what they expect in an afterlife. The extent to which such a view is consciously held varies, but it tends to be there to some degree as a consequence of the culture.


That might be so, yes. I think I have heard this before. I can also see it being, "God brings us messengers in various flawed forms". But you see, notice the convenience that the message is what they already wanted to hear. So it is a very convenient belief to have.
Count Timothy von Icarus January 11, 2024 at 17:48 #871443
Reply to wonderer1

Absolutely. The leader is divinely appointed and the electorate either acedes to the will of God and is rewarded or is punished for rejecting God's will. There has been a lot written about how Donald Trump is analogous to the Persian King Cyrus, who allowed the Jews in exile in Babylon to return to Israel and rebuild the Temple. It's not just one person writing on this, but a major theme.

All the problems since 2020, the Ukraine War, the Gaza War, high inflation? Divine punishment for rejecting Trump (or failing to fight for him after he won).

Cyrus is in many ways a good choice because he is a pagan king and not entirely righteous (even the stand out kings of Israel, David and Solomon, have their many very unrighteous moments). This helps wave away claims about Trump's lack of religious observance, the various scandals, etc.

But there is also a movement to see Trump as a sort of prophet, or I've even heard "John the Baptist of the Second Coming." I don't think it's likely, but given the fervency of some Q circles, I could certainly see a small subsection of Trumpism becoming a religion akin to Rastafarianism. When Trump dies, there will be a vacuum in that enviornment, and people willing to step in with prophecy. Given how things already are, it wouldn't be that shocking to see pronouncements that Trump isn't really dead, but in heaven like Elijah, and likely to return in the last days. Modern Judaism has some groups like this too around certain leaders.

You can buy Saint Donald Trump prayer candles and icons, and I'm not sure they are 100% ironic. But the full on Trump worship crowd is a small subset of a subset of his supporters, not a particularly large group.
NOS4A2 January 11, 2024 at 18:10 #871445
Reply to BC

Fascism has long been absorbed into the structure of the American state, starting with FDR. It's corporatism, grand public works, state propaganda, have a frightening similarity (Wolfgang Schivelbusch – Three New Deals: Reflections on Roosevelt's America, Mussolini's Italy, and Hitler's Germany, 1933-1939) with the policies of Mussolini and Hitler. The missing element is the abject totalitarianism, although we’ve seen it rear its ugly head during the pandemic.

But Fascism was rarely a policy program. Though in Italy it was founded on corporatism, it was willing to use any economic system, whether liberal or socialist, to advance the interests of the State. In the mouths of its founders, Fascism was more of an ethos. It held a quite common view of man as a political animal, a la Aristotle, and thus conceived of man's duty towards the polis as obligatory, one of duty rather than freedom. Any bourgeois aloofness from the political life was denounced. Wherever man focused more on his own life he risked atomizing the whole.

Its weird statist ethos is observable in some rhetoric nowadays. For instance any ideas that regard the State as "the foundation of all rights and the source of all values in the individuals composing it" (Giovanni Gentile – The Philosophic Basis of Fascism) agrees with fascism at one of its most fundamental points. Another is its opposition to individualism—"Fascism is opposed to all the abstractions of an individualistic character based upon materialism typical of the Eighteenth Century" (The Doctrine of Fascism – Benito Mussolini). Anti-individualism is absolutely rife nowadays. Defending individualism on this very forum is sure to be met with disdain. Fascism also despises historical materialism and class conflict, a la Socialism, because it refutes homo economicus and the division of classes; but it seeks to retain the "sentimental aspiration" of it, "to achieve a community of social life in which the sufferings and hardships of the humblest classes are alleviated (The Doctrine of Fascism – Benito Mussolini)". Of course, this is achieved through the state rather than communal responsibility, from one man to another.

At any rate, fascism is dead. At best we can have some philosophers and some parties that could be described as Neo-Fascist, even where they themselves might repudiate the label. One can read philosophers Alexander Dugin or his French collaborator Alain De Benoist to see what they're up to. Their whole project, as of now, is illiberalism. And I fear that, from all sides Left and Right, their ideas are catching on.
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 18:24 #871448
Quoting NOS4A2
Fascism has long been absorbed into the structure of the American state, starting with FDR. It's corporatism, grand public works, state propaganda, have a frightening similarity (Wolfgang Schivelbusch – Three New Deals: Reflections on Roosevelt's America, Mussolini's Italy, and Hitler's Germany, 1933-1939) with the policies of Mussolini and Hitler. The missing element is the abject totalitarianism, although we’ve seen it rear its ugly head during the pandemic.


This is a false equivocation. Fascism has various aspects, not simply that the state sponsors programs, or gives subsidies to corporations. To be fair, Trump doesn't have the militant ideology of traditional fascism, but it has all the hallmarks that surround it:

1) Race baiting/identity politics (poisoning the blood, calling enemies vermin, demonizing illegal immigrants in harsh rhetoric)
2) Allusions to a glorious past (Make America Great Again)
3) Use of para-military forces to enforce will (January 6th, rallies, etc.)
4) Cult of personality of the leader (the unwavering support for Trump no matter what he says or does)
5) A support for fellow strongmen and dictators (admires Putin, Kim Jung Un, Orban, etc.)
6) Vows to exact vengeance on political rivals (calling them vermin, etc.)
7) General amoral stances to get things done (no moral center to values, simply transactional)
8) Believing executive power to be practically unlimited (this new case that the president is immune from any wrongdoing unless a Congress deems it so in an impeachment and conviction).
9) Ignoring democratic norms (using the ambiguities in the system to get into power, like asking for votes to those who count the votes, suing districts for counting the votes wrong, etc.. trying to have the rally-goers and vice president hold up a procedural vote.)
NOS4A2 January 11, 2024 at 18:34 #871452
Reply to schopenhauer1

Which “various aspects” have I missed?
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 18:38 #871453
Quoting NOS4A2
Which “various aspects” have I missed?


You focused on some of the structural stuff that doesn't apply. I don't even care if this should be called "fascism proper". It's certainly using the tools and has the hallmarks of how fascists use and abuse power.
NOS4A2 January 11, 2024 at 18:42 #871454
Reply to schopenhauer1

I also focused on the philosophical premises, which you avoided.

Hallmarks and echoes aren’t good enough, I’m afraid. One has to show that fascism is the guiding “thought and action” behind he who implements it.
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 18:44 #871456
Quoting NOS4A2
Hallmarks and echoes aren’t good enough, I’m afraid. One has to show that fascism is the guiding “thought and action” behind he who implements it.


Well, you ignored what I said in my last post. I said that I don't even care if it's not considered fascisim proper. It's certainly using the tools and has the hallmarks of how fascists use and abuse power.
NOS4A2 January 11, 2024 at 18:48 #871457
Reply to schopenhauer1

Ah, fascism improper. Ok
AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 19:01 #871461
I think anyone seriously entertaining Fascism as an incoming concern in the USA isn't up to having a conversation about it.
Tom Storm January 11, 2024 at 19:06 #871462
Reply to AmadeusD Don't leave us hanging, tell us why. :wink:
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 19:12 #871463
Quoting NOS4A2
Ah, fascism improper. Ok


Call it fascism-adjacent. Who knows what a second term will look like. In the case of the US, you can't just have fascism full-on. It has to be a slow build. It's going to look different.
AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 19:13 #871464
Reply to Tom Storm I wasn't sure anyone would care about the reasoning, about US politics, from an irish expat in NZ :P

The USA has an armed populace.
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 19:13 #871465
Quoting AmadeusD
The USA has an armed populace.


That doesn't mean anything. Most of the people who have the huge stockpiles are probably Trump supporters.
NOS4A2 January 11, 2024 at 19:16 #871468
Reply to schopenhauer1

I see nothing adjacent here and see much of what you described in the activities of his opponents. At any rate, there is a thread for that topic and if you wish to debate it we can take it up there.

Tom Storm January 11, 2024 at 19:18 #871470
Quoting schopenhauer1
The USA has an armed populace.
— AmadeusD

That doesn't mean anything. Most of the people who have the huge stockpiles are probably Trump supporters.


Reply to AmadeusD Yes, I was thinking what Schop said. I don't think ownership of guns is a vaccination against fascism.
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 19:19 #871471
And I think this is ultimately why nothing "sticks" to Trump. His supporters do not care so long as he destroys the evil they are convinced is trying to rule their lifes.[/quote]

Quoting NOS4A2
activities of his opponents


See here:

[quote="Echarmion;871369"]I think though that a bunch of the personality cult is tongue-in-cheek. The Trump voter base seems far more concerned with their enemies than with their "glorious leader". Arguably Hillary Clinton as the embodiment of evil is as important to the Trump movement as Trump is.


schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 19:21 #871475
Reply to AmadeusD Reply to Tom Storm
Also, again, it's a slow build whereby the guardrails get taken off a bit at the time and normalized. Then use whatever norms that aren't strict laws to make decisions that work against the spirit of democratic governance, if not strictly illegal.
Fooloso4 January 11, 2024 at 19:22 #871476
Quoting schopenhauer1
nothing "sticks" to Trump.


An intentional or unintentional pun on the question of Fascism?
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 19:23 #871478
Quoting Fooloso4
An intentional or unintentional pun on the question of Fascism?


Haha, you can give @Echarmion credit for that. His quote actually. But yeah, that is a good one :smile:
NOS4A2 January 11, 2024 at 19:26 #871479
Reply to schopenhauer1

Also, again, it's a slow build whereby the guardrails get taken off a bit at the time and normalized. Then use whatever norms that aren't strict laws to make decisions that work against the spirit of democratic governance, if not strictly illegal.


Like prosecuting one’s political opponents or removing them from the ballot? Given the unprecedented nature of each of these, we can watch in real time as the guardrails get removed one piece at a time.
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 19:28 #871480
Quoting NOS4A2
Like prosecuting one’s political opponents or removing them from the ballot? Given the unprecedented nature of each of these, we can watch in real time as the guardrails get removed one piece at a time.


Prosecuting politicians who try to remove the guardrails off the political process (illegally asking for votes, encouraging, aiding, and not calling off a violent insurrection in the Capitol as sitting president?).
NOS4A2 January 11, 2024 at 19:34 #871483
Reply to schopenhauer1

Prosecuting politicians who try to remove the guardrails off the political process (illegally asking for votes, encouraging, aiding, and not calling off a violent insurrection in the Capitol as sitting president?).


Prosecuting political opponents for trumped up charges, yes. Though such activity could be construed as communist, or Putinist, I suppose.
AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 19:42 #871487
Quoting schopenhauer1
That doesn't mean anything. Most of the people who have the huge stockpiles are probably Trump supporters.


This certainly appears to me like you're not thinking very hard.
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 19:42 #871488
Quoting AmadeusD
This certainly appears to me like you're not thinking very hard.


Based on these low quality comments, it looks like projecting here. This is now the second thread I've seen you have not much to add when it comes to supporting your ideas except for sound bytes followed by ad hom.
AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 19:43 #871489
Quoting Tom Storm
Yes, I was thinking what Schop said. I don't think ownership of guns is a vaccination against fascism.


Willingness to use them against the government may be, though. I'm not saying this wont lead to disaster - I just cannot see how its possible fascism rears its head, unless seriously re-defined from its European origin. I don't think Rorty's conception is great, but even using that, I can't see it happening.
AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 19:43 #871490
Reply to schopenhauer1 Feel free to thnk what you think my friend :)
Tom Storm January 11, 2024 at 19:43 #871491
Reply to AmadeusD Lay it out for us. I want to hear your argument.
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 19:44 #871492
Quoting Tom Storm
Lay it out for us. I want to hear your argument.


He seems more interested in low quality posts and then trolling. Why cajole someone who can't seem to do that themselves?
AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 19:45 #871493
Reply to Tom Storm I'm not sure what you're asking for.

I can't see a single aspect of the USA that could lead to fascism. Im not really making an argument - I remained unconvinced it's a live issue.

Though, Schops 'slow build' idea could be a problem i;m ignorant to. But i've watch the USA develop across thirty years with interest and its just toddlers swatting at each other in a paddling pool.
AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 19:47 #871494
Reply to schopenhauer1 It would be helpful if you didn't charge me with ad hominem, and then speak about me in the third party to another posted impugning my motives. Seems to be an exact projection.

Your quickness to impugn when someone disagrees with you is quite clear to me. I've not done this for you. I've said it looks like you're not thinking.

Your assertion that most people who own guns are Trump supporters is an extremely low frequency take.
Tom Storm January 11, 2024 at 19:48 #871495
Reply to AmadeusD Ok. So those like me who think it is more likely under Trump if he gets in are on equal footing? It’s more of a read of the situation, interpreted differently?
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 19:50 #871497
Quoting AmadeusD
It would be helpful if you didn't charge me with ad hominem, and then speak about me in the third party to another posted impugning my motives. Seems to be an exact projection.


Here's the course of events. You said:

Quoting AmadeusD
This certainly appears to me like you're not thinking very hard.


Quoting AmadeusD
Feel free to thnk what you think my friend :)


Quoting AmadeusD
It would be helpful if you didn't charge me with ad hominem, and then speak about me in the third party to another posted impugning my motives. Seems to be an exact projection.


This is provoking and then trolling throughout to me.. Sorry but it is. You might want to have NOT started with "This certainly appears to me like you're not thinking very hard". How is that not a provocation? If you want to make an argument go ahead, but BS ad hom posts like are trolling and provoking.

AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 19:51 #871498
Quoting Tom Storm
Ok. So those like me who think it is more likely under Trump if he gets in are on equal footing? It’s more of a read of the situation, interpreted differently?


I don't think it's likely under Trump either, though. We had four years of Trump and didn't come even tangentially close to fascism.

Jan 6 was a complete failure and resulted in no effect on the electoral or judicial system because it was utterly rejected by the vast majority of the country. And apparently still does

Edit WAY after the fact: This was wrong. The electoral system seems to be very, very marginally changing in a way that helps to defeat Trump, giving more support to my position above.

I'm not seeing any reason to think it would be different - In fact, i think its WAY more likely a civil war ensues given that the 'other side' is now aware to the fact that Trump supporters are able to become actively, and dangerously unhinged at large.
NOS4A2 January 11, 2024 at 19:51 #871499
Reply to AmadeusD

Just to add, Fascism is against "individual self-defense" and "class self-defense". Defense was the sole job of the state, which is a common idea nowadays.

"The Fascist doctrine, enacting justice among the classes in compliance with a fundamental necessity of modern life, does away with class self-defense, which, like individual self-defense in the days of barbarism, is a source of disorder and of civil war." (Alfredo Rocco - The Political Doctrine of Fascism).

I suppose that's why they enacted some pretty harsh gun controls.
AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 19:52 #871500
Quoting schopenhauer1
If you want to make an argument go ahead, but BS ad hom posts like are trolling and provoking.


It wasn't one, so i'm just going to ignore you in this thread now.

You've quadrupled your post. But the three extensions are of the first.

No. It isn't. You are free to think whatever you want about me. I simply don't care. That's up to you to think, not me to defend or encourage(would a smiley emoji have changed it's valence? No my circus). Nor is it my issue that expressing my interpretation, as an appearance to me of shallow thinking, hurt your feelings. Just walk on if you disagree.
Tom Storm January 11, 2024 at 20:11 #871503
Reply to AmadeusD Interesting . Yes, the civil war aspect of this is another possibility. Or more home grown terrorism.

Quoting AmadeusD
We had four years of Trump and didn't come even tangentially close to fascism.


I wish I could share this view. I tend to agree with this:

Quoting Wayfarer
Trump/MAGA is unashamedly fascist. He’s openly boasted that he thinks the constitution should be suspended, the public service purged, and his enemies subjected to prosecution. He has a strong movement if polling data is to be believed. Many are saying that he will win the election, and although I don’t believe that he will, the acceptance of his threats of fascism and the escalation of violent threats against the judiciary and other institutions is alarming in the extreme.


Out of interest, if an American leader did have fascist inclinations what would you expect to see?
AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 20:18 #871505
Quoting Tom Storm
Yes, the civil war aspect of this is another possibility. Or more home grown terrorism.


I think it's also the more terrifying possibility, so my alert level is still quite high, in terms of geopolitical implications of this year/18 months going forward. Given that Republicans are likely to win that way, but a fairly overwhelming margin, I reserve judgement on any long-term outcome as i'm essentially a-political between lump labels like that.

Reply to Tom Storm I would expect to see them actually meet criteria to be considered fascist - ethnic supremacy, a rejection of democracy (see Belarus currently for an example that you'd be a complete fool to compare Trump to (and Nth Korea)) military governance (again, examples can be given here that would be entirely wrong to liken Trump to), totalitarian ambition (while i recognise Trump is likely megalomaniacal he is ineffectual in this respect - his own party rejects his more wild actions) and finally, for a country which purports to the be the worlds greatest, most powerful nation I would expect, with no sense of flexibility, that there were an imperial ambition.

I don't think we see any of these. Some other overlapping elements like economic conservatism or (possibly - though, this is definitely a live debate to my mind) social/cultural illiberalism exist in the MAGA/Trump crowd for sure, so i see it would be very easy, on a shallow reading, to lump all this stuff together as just go "Duhhhhh fascism!". Japan appears to be closer to Fascism than does the USA.
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 20:29 #871512
@Tom Storm
So most of these "definitional" threads are going to be about how it's defined obviously. If we want to look at Nazi Germany and Fascist Italy, or Imperialist Japan, we can see a very top-down, militarized society, beholden to a strong leader. That is not necessarily Trumpism.

However, if you want to define fascism by its use of tactics to wield power, and to discredit democratic principles, it can represent a sort of fascism. I would be willing to say Trump isn't fascism, but uses fascism tactics. I think that's enough to be alarmed. That being said, Trump's stated goals, are very much about pursuing his enemies. That isn't necessarily fascism. It's more mafioso mentality. Get in power in Machiavellian fashion, no matter what methods available, and exact revenge on your political opponents. The use of loyal crowds to promote your cause and cause light chaos when needed, like your own personal army, again, is adjacent to the trappings of fascism. Also for him is to ensure he doesn't end up in jail, and if so, it would be house arrest at Margo Lago. So he would simply make it extremely hard for people to put him in a position where he could be detained for all or any of this.
AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 20:31 #871514
Quoting schopenhauer1
I would be willing to say Trump isn't fascism, but uses fascism tactics.


100% Agree with this, for what it's worth, which was worth not ignoring for me.
Fooloso4 January 11, 2024 at 20:34 #871516
We can go round and round about what fascism is and who is or is not a fascist. What should be clear is that there is a good chance that Trump will be elected. That he thinks that as president he enjoys immunity from criminal prosecution. That he supports the unitary executive theory, and intends to implement it. That he demands fealty to himself and not the office. That a significant portion of Congress will not oppose him. That he has engaged in an effective campaign against truth and facts, aided by a mainstream propaganda machine. That he uses the judiciary as his instrument and attacks it as his enemy. That he has in place both plans and henchmen to consolidate power in a way he was not able to the first time around. That he is riding the wave of the rise of autocratic leaders around the world, and that he has cozy upped to them.
Tom Storm January 11, 2024 at 20:36 #871519
Reply to AmadeusD That's an interesting read of it.

I guess what I see is nascent fascism. The pointers are there, in his words and deeds but he needs another term to consolidate the work - join the dots - so that his nascent fascistic tendencies can come to completion.

Quoting schopenhauer1
However, if you want to define fascism by its use of tactics to wield power, and to discredit democratic principles, it can represent a sort of fascism. I would be willing to say Trump isn't fascism, but uses fascism tactics. I think that's enough to be alarmed.


Yes, I think this is probably the key.

Quoting schopenhauer1
It's more mafioso mentality.


I agree.

The problem with using the word fascism is the baggage and the fraught argument over definitional fidelity.

I wonder how prevalent pro-Trump sentiment is in the military. If he gets in and seeks to consolidate a dictatorship would they follow? Or would this lead to a potential split... a civil war? Hypothetically, of course.

AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 20:38 #871521
Quoting Tom Storm
seeks to consolidate a dictatorship


I do not think this is in the realm of a reasonable expectation, though.

There are some really, really wild leaps being made between his toddler-like behaviour and some kind of Machiavellian genius consolidating power. I just cannot understand how anyone thinks what's happening isn't chaotic and leading no where in particular.
schopenhauer1 January 11, 2024 at 20:40 #871525
Quoting Tom Storm
I agree.

The problem with using the word fascism is the baggage and the fraught argument over definitional fidelity.


I think that's the problem here. It's like you know you've seen this playbook before, but it's so low level compared to say the rantings of a Hitler, and the much more militarized ambitions that there is a difference. Which is why I emphasize a slow burn.... And leaving open that this is simply a sort of opportunism as well run by a mafia boss. Hedge either way.. It's flirting with both.. dabbling in bad faith ways to gain and maintain power if you will. I doubt he studies this. It's more like he has the political instincts for these tactics.

Quoting Tom Storm
I wonder how prevalent pro-Trump sentiment is in the military. If he gets in and seeks to consolidate a dictatorship would they follow? Or would this lead to a potential split... a civil war? Hypothetically, of course.


This is an interesting question. Oddly, most of the bottom rank military I think supports him, despite his horrible remarks on dead soldiers. Boggles my mind actually.

Tom Storm January 11, 2024 at 20:46 #871529
Quoting AmadeusD
100% Agree with this, for what it's worth, which was worth not ignoring for me.


Cool. Maybe this is what we agree on.

Quoting AmadeusD
I just cannot understand how anyone thinks what's happening isn't chaotic and leading no where in particular.


Fair enough. I guess it's just down to how one interprets the phenomenon. I tend to think he's wanting absolute power and to destroy enemies and there may be people crazy enough in key roles to assist him in this project.

Quoting schopenhauer1
Which is why I emphasize a slow burn.... And leaving open that this is simply a sort of opportunism as well run by a mafia boss. Hedge either way.. It's flirting with both.. dabbling in bad faith ways to gain and maintain power if you will. I doubt he studies this. It's more like he has the political instincts for these tactics.


Totally agree.

Quoting Fooloso4
That he thinks that as president he enjoys immunity from criminal prosecution. That he supports the unitary executive theory, and intends to implement it. That he demands fealty to himself and not the office. That a significant portion of Congress will not oppose him. That he has engaged in an effective campaign against truth and facts, aided by a mainstream propaganda machine. That he uses the judiciary as his instrument and attacks it as his enemy. That he has in place both plans and henchmen to consolidate power in a way he was not able to the first time around. That he is riding the wave of the rise of autocratic leaders around the world, and that he has cozy upped to them.


All this sounds ominous enough and it seems to match my understanding of the situation. I would not think it would take a genius to imagine what could come next. Disappearance and imprisonment of enemies, establishment of prison camps for minorities and dissidents, rule by terror, etc.
AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 20:46 #871530
@Tom Storm
@schopenhauer1

https://repositories.lib.utexas.edu/items/596313fa-4545-4735-8a75-299c5b91fe8a

"Thus, active-duty enlisted personnel who identify with a political party are about twice as likely to identify with the Republican Party as are civilians. However, active-duty enlisted personnel are nearly four times as likely as civilians to report being Independent, and are substantially less likely than civilians to identify with the Democratic Party. "

Not directly related to Trump, but the only data i can find on that specific connection is from 2020 and is about military leaders, rather than Enlisted personnel.

Quoting Tom Storm
Disappearance and imprisonment of enemies, establishment of prison camps for minorities and dissidents, rule by terror, etc.


I couldn't help but think of paranoia here. The suggestion is that we're heading back to the 40s?
Count Timothy von Icarus January 11, 2024 at 20:49 #871533
Reply to NOS4A2

Once they had control, yes. However, on their rise to power the Nazis were very active in the sort of street fighting that characterized political life in the Wiemar Republic. Their anthem comes from the party's origins as street brawlers defending their turf (they were no way unique in having a paramilitary/brawling organization, many parties had this). You see a similar thing with the reactionary Black Hundreds in Russia prior to WWI.

I would say there is a similar element in the American right, but in general the focus on self-defense is more private, less communal. The Nazis were more focused on collective self defense, and you see this in thing like the Hitler Youth. American sensibilities are far more individualistic.

That said, support for the right to bear arms is conditional. A number GOP strongholds have stripped 1/4th or more of all African American males of the right to bear arms for life, sometimes over trivial offenses like "felony vandalism." There has been no push to undo this (unlike disenfranchisement), quite the contrary.

This alone makes the movement different from the Nazis. It is less about a national people being unified, but about a select people controlling the state.

The left similarly focuses on particular groups quite a bit; no wonder there is such disunity. But in the left it manifests in different ways.
BC January 11, 2024 at 20:55 #871536
Quoting schopenhauer1
That doesn't mean anything. Most of the people who have the huge stockpiles are probably Trump supporters.


According to a 2020 Gallop Poll, 32% of Americans say they own guns. So, 68% do not. Gun ownership is not a normal distribution across demographics.

Republicans (50%), rural residents (48%), men (45%), self-identified conservatives (45%) and Southerners (40%) are the most likely subgroups to say they personally own a gun.

Liberals (15%), Democrats (18%), non-White Americans (18%), women (19%) and Eastern residents (21%) are the least likely to report personal gun ownership.


According to figures quoted by the NRA, Americans own nearly 25 million AR and AK platform firearms. (NSSF[5])

AR-15s are the most commonly used rifles in marksmanship competitions, training, and home defense.

According to Pew, "About three-quarters (72%) of gun owners say that protection is a major reason they own a gun. Considerably smaller shares say that a major reason they own a gun is for hunting (32%), for sport shooting (30%), as part of a gun collection (15%) or for their job (7%)." Hitmen would need a gun, I guess.

There is, not surprisingly, a difference between Democrats and Republicans about whether gun violence is a problem. Why don't more Republicans and Republican-leaning people think gun violence is a problem?

User image
Tom Storm January 11, 2024 at 21:02 #871539
Quoting AmadeusD
I couldn't help but think of paranoia here. The suggestion is that we're heading back to the 40s?


I don't think America is immune to dictatorship. It just needs the right ingredients. Dealing with dissidents or enemies through imprisonment and murder is an eternal favorite, forget the 1940's. Guantanamo Bay?

I'm not saying this will happen like it currently happens in Russia, but I don't doubt Trump would like to implement such an approach based on his behavior and rhetoric.
Tom Storm January 11, 2024 at 21:04 #871540
Quoting BC
Why don't more Republicans and Republican-leaning people think gun violence is a problem?


Is it because they generally think that gun violence is a way to deal with social problems?
AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 21:20 #871546
Quoting Tom Storm
I don't think America is immune to dictatorship.


I do not think that either, but I do not think we are seeing anything in the realm of the correct set of circumstances to pretend its likely to occur any time soon. Back to the 'slow build' theory.. Which i also don't take tbh lol, but is more tenable to me. Quoting Tom Storm
I don't doubt Trump would like to implement such an approach based on his behavior and rhetoric.


I would highly doubt it. I think the idea that his behaviour represents more than a scorned idiot is a bit rich. I think it assumes a level of co-ordination and power that simply doesn't exist within US politics..

Quoting Tom Storm
Guantanamo Bay?


Is this not a Foreign Policy issue? Fascism's symptoms are domestic, in my estimation.
BC January 11, 2024 at 21:26 #871548
Quoting Count Timothy von Icarus
This alone makes the movement different from the Nazis. It is less about a national people, but about a select people.


I agree.

Fascism may be more easily defined by the way fascism operates than a set of beliefs it follows. That isn't to say it has no beliefs.

American fascism, should it emerge full force, will probably not look like Nazi Germany or Fascist Italy. We do not have the Freikorps and Communists who engaged in heavy street fighting. We don't have the SA (Sturmabteilung) Brown Shirts marching around singing the Horst-Wessel song and beating up people who didn't "sieg heil" with sufficient enthusiasm.

Our fascism will probably feature what Universeness calls "evanhellicals". White Christian Nationalists, gospel of prosperity preachers, KKK types, misogynistic, Islamophobic, transphobic and anti-immigration Proud Boys, Boogaloo, QAnon, white supremacy groups, demented fundamentalists, etc.

If violence is deployed, it will probably be directed at racial minorities, the left-wing professoriat, prominent liberals, civilian officials, sexual minorities, and might be organized as scattered gang / vigilante / terrorist executions. This kind of violence would not need state sanction.
AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 21:30 #871549
Quoting BC
misogynistic, Islamophobic, transphobic and anti-immigration .


These seem to be hard-to-define, usually-incorrectly-attributed, subjective and naive things to consider... (minus the underlined).

Am I noticing a somewhat socially left-leaning element to this forum?

it seems most readily employ words like "transphobic" to label ideas without compunction - which, in my real-world experience is utterly preposterous and the source of the perceived conflict is actually this imprecise and partisan usage to smear the opponent. An ironic twist, i'd think.
Tom Storm January 11, 2024 at 21:31 #871551
Quoting AmadeusD
but I do not think we are saying anything in the realm of the correct set of circumstances to pretend its likely to occur any time soon.


And this is simply a difference in how we read the events and personalities, I would say.

Quoting AmadeusD
I think the idea that his behaviour represents more than a scorned idiot is a bit rich.


Same as above. However, being a scorned idiot does not preclude one from setting up a dictatorship. I would think it might help in motivation.

Quoting AmadeusD
Is this not a Foreign Policy issue? Fascism's symptoms are domestic, in my estimation.


I don't think that's the point I am making. I am saying that Americans have implemented severe measures (detention without trial, torture, secrecy) to deal with enemies of the state - real or imagined.

NOS4A2 January 11, 2024 at 21:33 #871552
Reply to Count Timothy von Icarus

Yes, one thing the Conservative Incorporated likes to forget that Reagan implemented harsh and targeted gun control, especially in California, where he did it to arguably stop the Black Panther party from policing their own communities. The racist beginnings of American gun control are well-enough known, but it’s surprising to see it implemented in almost the same fashion today, not so much on racial terms, but to defend the established order.

Fascism is undoubtedly conservative, as is gun control. But i would argue that the "American left", if there was such a group, is as conservative as the right when it comes to its culture and institutions. Liberalism and freedom and individual rights are are nothing but rhetorical play-things for all of them.
AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 21:35 #871553
Quoting Tom Storm
And this is simply a differnce in how we read the events and personalities, I would say.


Of course. Im just unconvinced of the reasonableness of reading it in a way that gets to worrying about impending totalitarianism/dictatorship/fascism.

Quoting Tom Storm
However, being a scorned idiot does not preclude one from setting up a dictatorship


Not per se, but I cannot see how incompetence would help achieve it. Given that the incompetence pertains to his general ability to form sentences and ideas...

Quoting Tom Storm
I don't think that's the point I am making. I am saying that Americans have implemented severe measures (detention without trial, torture, secrecy) to deal with enemies of the state - real or imagined.


No argument; but I can't see the relevance to the current situation. I'd still need to see something to indicate it might happen, rather htan is possible.
Tom Storm January 11, 2024 at 21:42 #871556
Quoting AmadeusD
Not per se, but I cannot see how incompetence would help achieve it. Given that the incompetence pertains to his general ability to form sentences and ideas...


The problem with incompetence is that incompetent people often end up in charge of things - banks, businesses, corporations, governments. They don't always go under and collapse. Not right away. These folk generally lack the capacity to see that who they choose as advisors and who they invite into the sphere of influence can be dangerous and destructive. I would imagine that the risk with Trump is not his individual competence, but the doors he opens for others based on his impulse to subjugate his enemies and seek retribution. A small mind can unleash great forces, especially if they are the gatekeeper.

AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 21:55 #871559
Quoting Tom Storm
The problem with incompetence is that incompetent people often end up in charge of things - banks, businesses, corporations, governments. They don't always go under and collapse. Not right away.


Hmm, that's true, and a blindspot of sorts for my thinking.

Quoting Tom Storm
I would imagine that the risk with Trump is not his individual competence, but the doors he opens for others based on his impulse to subjugate his enemies and seek retribution. A small mind can unleash great forces, especially if they are the gatekeeper.


Is this suggesting (i'm enquiring, not side-eyeing, to be clear) that we could expect other bad actors to be implicated? Trump being essentially a patsy?
Tom Storm January 11, 2024 at 22:02 #871560
Quoting AmadeusD
Is this suggesting (i'm enquiring, not side-eyeing, to be clear) that we could expect other bad actors to be implicated? Trump being essentially a patsy?


Like most leaders, Trump can't achieve what he wants without allies, supporters, advisors, confidants, etc. I imagine his capacity to choose wisely here will not be good. The previous administration certainly demonstrated this. But who knows what this could bring next time?




AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 22:15 #871561
Reply to Tom Storm My question was more about people using Trump, rather than allying with him but i suppose you are esoterically covering that in giving little credence to his choice-making abilities LOL.
BC January 11, 2024 at 23:08 #871567
Quoting AmadeusD
misogynistic, Islamophobic, transphobic and anti-immigration .
— BC

These seem to be hard-to-define, usually-incorrectly-attributed, subjective and naive things to consider... (minus the underlined).


I carelessly quoted terms I don't especially like.

These terms are clear enough to me. That said, I don't like nouns with the "phobic" suffix. The term "Homophobia" got some use in the 1970s but took off in the following decades. I don't think people have phobias toward religion or towards homosexuals. I think they just dislike homosexuals. [Granted, some people have psycho-sexual hang-ups; some people are afraid that they might be homosexual. That's probably less common where homosexuality is readily accepted. I don't think there is anyone who is afraid he or she might be Moslem.] I prefer a scale with strong identification on the left side, indifference in the middle, and hate on the right side. Same for Islam. "I don't fear islam; I loathe Islam."

"Misogyny" and "anti-immigrant" aren't confusing you, I hope.

Quoting AmadeusD
Am I noticing a somewhat socially left-leaning element to this forum?


Oh yes, definitely.
AmadeusD January 11, 2024 at 23:19 #871569
Quoting BC
I carelessly quoted terms I don't especially like.


Fair enough.

Quoting BC
"Misogyny" and "anti-immigrant" aren't confusing you, I hope.


None of them confuse me - It's their application that's the problem. But this seems clear to you also :)

Quoting BC
Oh yes, definitely.


Ok, cool. Not just me then LOL.
Fooloso4 January 11, 2024 at 23:26 #871572
If there is one thing predictable about Trumpism is just how unpredictable it is, and how fast change can happen. Look how quickly Republicans who opposed him fell in line to do his bidding. Some still think that his incompetence is a hedge against his unchecked impulses, but it is others who are far more capable who are willing to carry out the demands of the child tyrant; and this time plans are already in place to assure there will be no dissent or opposition.

One place to look is how Trumpian conservatism is shaping education and local elections. They may loose some battles but are set to win the war. While it is true that the Christian Right did not start with Trump he has become their champion, helping consolidate their power and further their dream of theocracy. The Claremont/Hillsdale hypocritical elitist intellectuals still think they can pull his strings. Anti-regulation plutocrats think they have an ally. But Trump is only in it for one reason - Trump. His friends became enemies and his enemies friends.

I think it possible that this time around he will be more overt in his alliances with other autocratic world leaders. A new world order that is only a few steps away from a new world disorder, chaos, and war.
Moliere January 11, 2024 at 23:49 #871577
Quoting BC
How much do you expect and or fear that a strong fascist moment could be organized within the next 5 years?


I certainly fear it, though I don't know what to expect. I was surprised when Trump won. I have no doubt that he could win again, and I have no doubt that the fascists support him.

But I'm not sure that there's the popular will for fascism to support it. Wouldn't January 6th have worked if there was?

Still -- 5 years is a long time for predictions in the United States. So while I have no expectations I feel some fear of the fascist trends.
180 Proof January 11, 2024 at 23:58 #871580
My guess (wishful thinking?): the oligarchic-corporatist "neoliberal" establishment (i.e. bankers-military industrialists) is hellbent on keeping a "neofascist" coup d'etat from killing the US hegemonic goose that's still laying the postwar-globalist golden eggs (e.g. currently $32 trillion petrodollar denominated US debt). Simultaneous proxy wars with Russia, Iran & China are the collective counterweight, perhaps for another decade, offsetting what looks like an inevitable American ethnopopulist implosion. No doubt a "superpower" nightmare the world can't wake up from soon enough. :death: :fire:
Wayfarer January 12, 2024 at 00:27 #871586
Quoting Moliere
Wouldn't January 6th have worked if there was?


Who says it didn't? 139 current members of Congress voted not to certify the election result. They're still there doing Trump's bidding. The Jan 6th coup attempt is not finished.

Two excerpts from yesterday's Washington Post:

Donald Trump on Tuesday threatened unrest if the criminal charges against him cause him to lose the 2024 election.

Speaking to reporters after an appeals court hearing in which Trump’s lawyers said he should be immune from prosecution for trying to overturn the 2020 election, Trump claimed without evidence that he was being prosecuted because of polls showing him leading President Biden. He warned that if the charges succeed in damaging his candidacy, the result would be “bedlam.”

“I think they feel this is the way they’re going to try and win, and that’s not the way it goes,” Trump said. “It’ll be bedlam in the country. It’s a very bad thing. It’s a very bad precedent. As we said, it’s the opening of a Pandora’s box.”


On the same day, the headline story was "Violent political threats surge as 2024 begins, haunting American democracy

On Wednesday, bomb threats forced evacuations, closures or stepped-up security measures at more than a dozen state capitols, in Connecticut, Georgia, Kentucky, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Montana, Wisconsin, Hawaii, Maine, Oklahoma, Illinois, Idaho, South Dakota, Alabama, Alaska, Maryland and Arizona.

...Steven Levitsky, a professor of government at Harvard University who studies democracies around the world, noted that while violent threats span the political spectrum, the “vast majority” come from activists and others on the far right. Crucially, those threats are often not discouraged by their representatives in government, he said. Rather, Trump and others have appeared at times to encourage and condone the behavior.


Not far from krystallnacht, at least in spirit, but with 'Liberals' and 'the Deep State' as targets.
AmadeusD January 12, 2024 at 00:40 #871589
Quoting Wayfarer
Not far from krystallnacht


uhhhh......
Krystallnacht was embodied in:

"Jewish homes, hospitals and schools were ransacked as attackers demolished buildings with sledgehammers.[6] Rioters destroyed 267 synagogues throughout Germany, Austria, and the Sudetenland.[7] Over 7,000 Jewish businesses were damaged or destroyed,[8][9] and 30,000 Jewish men were arrested and incarcerated in concentration camps."

All in the pursuit of Ethnonational intimidation.

I'm unsure how to parse your claim other than as either a hyperbole meant to illustrate the hilarity of such radical misinterpretations - or a position so politically partisan as to amount to a form of lying.

But given I do not fall into wild echo-chamber driven narratives perhaps this thread just isn't for me.
Wayfarer January 12, 2024 at 00:44 #871591
Reply to AmadeusD Hyperbolic. Note I said 'in spirit' - the demonising of a section of the populaton, 'Liberals' and 'the Deep State' along with bomb threats. It is fascistic, even if not on the same scale as Nazism.
AmadeusD January 12, 2024 at 00:49 #871592
Quoting Wayfarer
the demonising of a section of the populaton,


Quoting Wayfarer
It is fascistic,


Fair that you're using hyperbole - But if the above lands it in 'fascist' territory I am at a complete loss as to what history books you're reading from i guess.

The demonizing of Republicans/Conservatives as ethical monsters in the last 20 years has much, much more to answer for imo.
Wayfarer January 12, 2024 at 00:54 #871594
Quoting AmadeusD
The demonizing of Republicans/Conservatives as ethical monsters in the last 20 years has much, much more to answer for imo.


But the Republican Party has a lot to answer for, doesn't it? After the January 6th atrocity, if the Senate had confirmed the impeachment, Trump's political meddling would be over. As it is, they've re-habilitated him and are continuing to push 'the big lie'. Even the current Speaker, when asked just the other day whether Biden's election was legitimate, would not give an unequivocal answer. They're pursuing a completely groundless impeachment motion against Biden on Trump's bidding, and Trump is once again dominating the Party. And they have allowed that to happen.
AmadeusD January 12, 2024 at 01:04 #871596
Reply to Wayfarer For sure, I'm not aligned with either so no issues putting that on the table... IMO both parties have a huge amount to answer for (though, i don't think that's actually the best way to frame a discussion of those problems)

I assume it's clear, but just so it's on record: I think Trump is an incompetent child, ill-fitted to working the desk at a Hotel let alone owning one. So the idea that he was President hits me as a joke. I can't grasp it fully. It is insane that someone of his nature (and stature, socially speaking) could have been elected. So, your concern doesn't miss me - a further Trump term makes certain outcomes very much more likely, and they are undesirable outcomes. I don't think Fascism is one.

The effects of Jan 6 are noted, although, I allow far less weight to them than you do.

However, it seems to me that the exponentially worse results of the BLM riots don't cause the same concern in you, so we're talking different languages I think. The ability for DEI and CRT-driven programs and systems to 'other' people based on a merely perceived political affiliation is absolutely abhorrent and has torn families and communities apart. The current Israel/Hamas thing seems a perfect microcosm of that. I think it is maybe a little misguided to consider those issues not as much a risk as the overt peddling of crap Trump and his mates are up to. I'm assuming they are just more-closely aligned to your vision for the USA. Whcih is fine. Plenty of Repubs who aren't psychopaths probably think that about Trump's vision.
BC January 12, 2024 at 01:41 #871604
Quoting Wayfarer
Not far from krystallnacht, at least in spirit, but with 'Liberals' and 'the Deep State' as targets.


Reply to AmadeusD I most sincerely hope we are not heading for any kind of Krystallnacht but some equivalent at some point isn't inconceivable. Krystallnacht was not a spontaneous outburst of hatred. It was an engineered event. Nazi cadre performed the outrages. The January 6 Insurrection was an engineered event. "Volunteers" showed up and performed the desired signs of "resistance to the deep state". Manufacturing an event takes very little away from its effectiveness as propaganda of the deed for the receptive public at large.
AmadeusD January 12, 2024 at 01:43 #871606
Quoting BC
I most sincerely hope we are not heading for any kind of Krystallnacht but some equivalent at some point isn't inconceivable.


I agree. But to my mind, taking it seriously as an actual imminent (lets say, within Trump's impending term) possibility is very much misguided. I hope i'm right, but am ready to be wrong and will be sorry if i am.

Quoting BC
The January 6 Insurrection was an engineered event. "Volunteers" showed up and performed the desired signs of "resistance to the deep state". Manufacturing an event takes very little away from its effectiveness as propaganda of the deed for the receptive public at large.


I don't deny the fact of this, but i do deny that it instills any real commitment in the population at alrge. Most people wont even vote.
Moliere January 12, 2024 at 02:19 #871625
Quoting Wayfarer
Who says it didn't? 139 current members of Congress voted not to certify the election result. They're still there doing Trump's bidding. The Jan 6th coup attempt is not finished


The movement Trump is a part of is not finished. It existed prior to Trump incarnating himself as their messiah and is better organized due to his influence. He even delivered on an old promise of the Republicans with Roe v. Wade so the Republicans have a reason to like him -- he's clearly electable, and he gets things done.

But I think it better to look at January 6th as a defeat rather than a success. If he would have had the popular will or the military on his side then things could have gone differently, but since there's organized resistance, they did not succeed at keeping Trump as president.
Echarmion January 12, 2024 at 11:49 #871701
Quoting Moliere
But I think it better to look at January 6th as a defeat rather than a success.


Yes, the abortive coup itself was a defeat. But since then the anti-democratic forces have fought a seemingly successful campaign to rehabilitate themselves.

For a few weeks after Jan 6 it looked like there'd be a bipartisan effort to curb these tendencies, but it unraveled and the GOP seems more firmly than ever on the path towards an entrenched minority rule, as @Count Timothy von Icarus has argued in detail.

Incidentally I think one aspect of fascism that Paxton in his definition from the OP is missing is the disdain for the democratic process.

For a few years now right wing pundits and influencers have adopted the propaganda line that "the US is a republic, not a democracy". This could certainly be taken in a direction which sees the "will of the people", as a metaphysical force, as the main determining factor.
Tzeentch January 12, 2024 at 13:08 #871718
Fascism: Idolatry of the State

This is a pretty interesting take on fascism .
Ciceronianus January 12, 2024 at 15:59 #871766
Quoting AmadeusD
The demonizing of Republicans/Conservatives as ethical monsters in the last 20 years has much, much more to answer for imo.


I'm uncertain whether there are any Conservatives left, since Bill Buckley died. Conservatives are against the intrusion of government in our lives. Those called "Conservatives" now seem to relish government control, except perhaps when it comes to the ability to acquire and retain money.
schopenhauer1 January 12, 2024 at 16:05 #871768
Quoting Ciceronianus
Conservatives are against the intrusion of government in our lives. Those called "Conservatives" now seem to relish government control, except perhaps when it comes to the ability to acquire and retain money.


The internal contradictions in American versions of conservatism is the tensions between personal freedoms and state’s rights, the 9th and 10th amendment, respectively. The ambiguities between when one can have precedence over the other, allows for all sorts of contradictory policies and positions.
LuckyR January 12, 2024 at 18:53 #871786
Reply to Ciceronianus

Less governmental intrusion is not a plank of the conservative platform (though conservatives commonly claim it is). Rather it is a trope that gets dragged out on occasion to speak about taxes and environmental regulations, yet goes against their stances on abortion and homosexual rights.
ssu January 12, 2024 at 19:28 #871792
Quoting Ciceronianus
I'm uncertain whether there are any Conservatives left, since Bill Buckley died. Conservatives are against the intrusion of government in our lives. Those called "Conservatives" now seem to relish government control, except perhaps when it comes to the ability to acquire and retain money.

Just as with the left, the noisiest (and usually most stupid) prevail in the media and are eagerly picked to be the true representatives by the other side.

I do think that there are the old fashion conservatives, but they are simply muted out by the Trump crowd.
Manuel January 12, 2024 at 21:18 #871818
Well. It's a problem, surely. If we have half the population living in utter fantasy and we cannot even agree on facts and furthermore, tensions are rising, then somethings going to happen.

I don't like Trump, I don't like Biden. I think Trump would be worse for the world, though Biden is far, far from being good.

However, and despite my own personal wishes, if Trump is not allowed to run for president, then that could very well lead to something like a civil war.
IP060903 January 12, 2024 at 23:52 #871854
I still think communism is more likely. Fascism and communism are not far off different actually and we can verify this.
0 thru 9 January 13, 2024 at 15:57 #871993
Some related ideas…

We have been conditioned to think of negative aspects of powerful ruling agents such as “fascism”, “authoritarianism”, “imperialism” etc as being primarily descriptive and critical of governments.

However billionaires, international corporations and banks play an enormous (though murky) role, and it keeps getting larger every day.
So powerful are these non-governmental Powers and Lords that a case could be made that most governments are now their servants.

At the very least, the many world governments (with few exceptions) are eager partners of these controlling Billionaires, ready to answer the phone in the middle of the night to please them.
The US government fits this description very closely.

The governments set up shop in plain view, at least in liberal democracies.
They are accountable and usually elected, and give frequent press conferences.

Their Billionaire Lords answer to no one.
They create LLCs and shell companies and play clever games with laws.
Games like “Change Inconvenient Laws”. And “I’m Above the Law”.
And the ever-popular “If You Can’t Beat ‘em, Bribe ‘em”.

These wraiths misrule the world, then disappear like a fart in the wind.
They crouch in the shadows like gangs of vermin.
We are left poor and holding the bag of their shit…
0 thru 9 January 13, 2024 at 17:08 #872014
Reply to Vaskane
:up: Thanks. Tragically, that about sums it up in a nutshell.

Quoting Vaskane
What a crock of idealist poop


Poop-aganda… our steady diet since birth.

Where does a two-ton gorilla crap? Anywhere he wants to.
Gnomon January 13, 2024 at 17:48 #872025

Reply to Tom Storm
"One thing that is very likely to happen is that the gains made in the past forty years by black and brown Americans, and by homosexuals, will be wiped out. Jocular contempt for women will come back into fashion. The words [slur for an African-American that begins with “n”] and [slur for a Jewish person that begins with “k”] will once again be heard in the workplace. All the sadism which the academic Left has tried to make unacceptable to its students will come flooding back. All the resentment which badly educated Americans feel about having their manners dictated to them by college graduates will find an outlet."
Richard Rorty Achieving Our Country 1998[/quote]
Ironically, although some pundits accuse Trump of trying to destroy Democracy, Fascism seems to be surprisingly popular in democratic societies, where formerly-favored groups long for a return to the glory-days of a monarchy or autocracy (MAGA).

For example, Mussolini's Fascist Party won election by a landslide in a multi-party democracy. Typically, the upper political classes go on the defensive and criticize "political correctness" as reverse tyranny. So yes, history could repeat, even in an economically powerful Democracy with Free Speech laws. Ironically, the Will of The People may lead to their own ruin, when the system becomes unbalanced without loyal opposition. :meh:

RogueAI January 13, 2024 at 19:00 #872034
Reply to Gnomon

"One thing that is very likely to happen is that the gains made in the past forty years by black and brown Americans, and by homosexuals, will be wiped out. Jocular contempt for women will come back into fashion. The words [slur for an African-American that begins with “n”] and [slur for a Jewish person that begins with “k”] will once again be heard in the workplace. All the sadism which the academic Left has tried to make unacceptable to its students will come flooding back. All the resentment which badly educated Americans feel about having their manners dictated to them by college graduates will find an outlet."

That hasn't aged well. The gains made by minorities and LGBTQ aren't even close to being wiped out.
180 Proof January 13, 2024 at 19:06 #872035
Perhaps, just as fundamentalism (e.g. theocracy) is an antimodernist reaction to failed secularism (e.g. imperialism), autocracy (e.g. fascism) is a populist reaction to failed democracy (e.g. capitalism). :chin:

Quoting RogueAI
The gains made by minorities and LGBTQ aren't even close to being wiped out.

Clearly, either you've not been paying attention and/or you're just choking on reactionary grievance. :mask:
RogueAI January 13, 2024 at 19:15 #872037
Reply to 180 Proof Hasn't capitalism increased the standard of living immeasurably over the last 100 years?
180 Proof January 13, 2024 at 19:38 #872042
Quoting RogueAI
Hasn't capitalism increased the standard of living immeasurably over the last 100 years?

Mostly for whom? To the extent "capitalism" has "increased standards of living", this has happened – "trickled down" – unevenly, cyclically, and at the cost of mass alienation – what John Dewey aptly describes as industrial feudalism – the return of "Gilded Age" wealth inequality (e.g. T. Piketty)¹ accelerated by the last half century of neoliberal globalization and fiscal austerity policies.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_and_Ideology ¹
BC January 13, 2024 at 19:43 #872044
Reply to 180 Proof Reply to RogueAI Looking at the economy broadly, working class people -- including minorities and GLBT people -- have not benefitted as much as pundits suppose they have. The richer 10% of the population have done well; the richer 20% have done well. The less one has, the less one gets is the general rule for the rest of us.

I'll cite my own white gay case: over the last 50 years, including working years and then retirement, I have not seen a lot of improvement in my standard of living. I'm not complaining -- I have enough -- but IF I had had dependents, my income would not have been anywhere close to enough. Many minority and GLBT people did or do have dependents, and have found the going pretty tough.

Quoting RogueAI
Hasn't capitalism increased the standard of living immeasurably over the last 100 years?


There have been periods of time over the last century when our capitalist economy distributed more resources to a broader population than at other times--the post-WWII period up until the early 1970s. But the post-war boom was sandwiched between a severe depression (1930s) and a period of neoliberal distribution of resources for the richer 25%, which is still in effect.

For a substantial block of the population, roughly 25%, there just hasn't been economic advancement.

180 Proof January 13, 2024 at 19:49 #872046
Reply to BC :100:
RogueAI January 13, 2024 at 20:38 #872055

I was more focused on Quoting 180 Proof
Mostly for whom? To the extent "capitalism" has "increased standards of living", this has happened – "trickled down" – unevenly, cyclically, and at the cost of mass alienation – what John Dewey aptly describes as industrial feudalism – the return of "Gilded Age" wealth inequality (e.g. T. Piketty)¹ accelerated by the last half century of neoliberal globalization and fiscal austerity policies.


This doesn't track with my own experience. I'm a teacher, a career open to anyone who can go to two years of community college, two years of state college, and pass a few tests. Plenty of teachers make over six figures, and teachers are desperately needed. Making six figures for working 185 days a year does not seem like "industrial feudalism". I live quite well on that.
Gnomon January 13, 2024 at 21:45 #872077
Quoting RogueAI
That hasn't aged well. The gains made by minorities and LGBTQ aren't even close to being wiped out.

Not for lack of trying. A current candidate for president of US frequently criticizes past & current attempts to "level the playing field" politically, economically, and lingustically. "Typically, the upper political classes go on the defensive and criticize "political correctness" as reverse tyranny." Maybe the candidate prefers proactive tyranny. :cool:


The Tyranny of Political Correctness? :
Claims of so-called reverse racism mainly circulate within closed social media groups
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/japp.12690?af=R
Tom Storm January 13, 2024 at 21:59 #872079
Quoting Gnomon
Ironically, although some pundits accuse Trump of trying to destroy Democracy, Fascism seems to be surprisingly popular in democratic societies,


That's kind of the point we have been discussing. The resentment within populations which seeks antidemocratic 'strong men' to deliver them from political correctness, technocrats and educated urbanites. That's Rorty's point too.

Quoting Gnomon
Ironically, the Will of The People may lead to their own ruin,


Yes, I think this is the problem when people play with fire.

Quoting 180 Proof
The gains made by minorities and LGBTQ aren't even close to being wiped out.
— RogueAI
Clearly, either you've not been paying attention and/or you're just choking on reactionary grievance. :mask:


:up:
180 Proof January 13, 2024 at 22:56 #872090
Reply to RogueAI Generalizing from a personal anecdote is very poor reasoning especially by a so-called "teacher".
BC January 14, 2024 at 00:12 #872103
Quoting RogueAI
The gains made by minorities and LGBTQ aren't even close to being wiped out.


There are social gains, political gains, and economic gains. Which GLBT people have gained what, when, and where varies quite a bit. To be fair, GLBT gains which have been firmly established haven't been wiped out. Where minorities are also economically, socially, and politically marginalized, my guess is that things at least haven't improved, or have regressed -- again, varying by areas.

Somalis in the Minneapolis have done well politically and economically, certainly. The Hmong, not so much, even with a longer residential time. Illegal immigrants are generally marginalized, are generally minorities, and are generally not doing well.

Gay people in liberal, prosperous states have seen solid social and political gains. Many (not all) have seen economic gains, too. In politically and religiously conservative and less prosperous states, the situation is not the same as in LA, Boston, Chicago, and NYC.

The Methodist Church is going through a schism over homosexuality -- how much to accept, who can be married, who can be ordained. Missouri Synod Lutherans are not especially tolerant. Southern Baptists, ditto.

The right to access abortion services was settled law until it wasn't. The protections available to GLBT people is not, for the most part, constitutionally protect on the state level. 16 states have very little protection on the books.

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BC January 14, 2024 at 00:29 #872104
Reply to RogueAI I am sure some school districts pay handsomely for the services of experienced teachers, even figures well over $100,000 per year, maybe adding up to a couple million bucks after 20 years. Great!

Most teachers are not getting that much, on average, during much of their careers. According to the NEA, the average public school teacher earns $66,745. They are earning on average $3,644 less now than they were 10 years ago. And then there is inflation, of course.
RogueAI January 14, 2024 at 01:40 #872108
Reply to BC

Two teachers making $66k a year is a very good household income. You can live quite well on it. And that's only for 185 days a year. And the retirement and health benefits are great. I'm going to retire at 55. It is also not hard to become a teacher and there's a very severe teacher shortage nationwide. The average pay for teachers in California and NY is over $80,000. Those two states represent a fifth of the country.

I point this out to push back against 180's doom-and-gloom. There are still good jobs out there if people want them, and are willing to go back to school for four years. That's not so expensive if you go the community college-state college route. School districts aren't picky about where degrees come from.

RogueAI January 14, 2024 at 01:52 #872111
Quoting BC
The right to access abortion services was settled law until it wasn't.


And yet Ohio of all places just codified abortion rights. Trump carried Ohio by ten points! Dobbs was clearly a setback, but paradoxically, it's making abortion rights stronger in certain states.

My overall point though, is the prediction made in 1998 that "One thing that is very likely to happen is that the gains made in the past forty years by black and brown Americans, and by homosexuals, will be wiped out." was very wrong. Wouldn't you agree that that prediction failed? Since 1998, we've seen the legalization of gay marriage, the first black president, first woman presidential nominee (who then won the popular vote), first black woman VP, first black woman Supreme Court Justice, etc.
BC January 14, 2024 at 03:03 #872119
Reply to RogueAI I'm not arguing against teachers making a decent income, and I wasn't using household income, which of course increases with more than 1 earner. Depending on where you live in New York or California, $120,000 might not be enough to buy a mediocre house or afford to rent the nicest place. It is, however, extremely sufficient to prevent starvation, homelessness, and having to hitchhike to and from school 185 times a year.

Advocates for human rights (in all of the various subcategories there are), or anything else, don't get anywhere by announcing that things are fine. They may have to dig a little, but problems can be found anywhere, everywhere. It helps if the problems are getting worse. Never let a crisis go to waste!

I'm not as cynical as I sound. If you are in the advocacy business, are a fundraiser, are a middle class liberal well-intentioned non-profit executive, etc. you have to do whatever works, or you get left behind. It's hard to get people to pay attention and send money for honest-to-god good causes. A fundraising letter that says the formerly homeless are all in long-term shelter, the drug addicts are all in treatment, and that the drunks are all sober is going to yield a big fat nothing,

(Confession: I was not a successful fundraiser.).

I'm actually pretty gloomy about the future. My doom-beat is global warming which I think will swamp all the other problems. I'm gloomy about capitalism (WHEN is it going to go away, for god's sake?). I could, however, be equally gloomy about the ocean of debt on which individuals, companies, states, and the federal government are all floating. I could be gloomy about Gaza, Sudan, Yemen, Ukraine, Taiwan, China, India, Ecuador--if it's on the map, I could lament its future.
Tzeentch January 14, 2024 at 08:22 #872132
For a closer example of what looming fascism might look like, I would look at what is happening in Poland right now under Donald Tusk.

Unsurprisingly, it comes from the undemocratic abomination that is the European Union.

This is nothing other than the EU sending out its agents to quell anti-EU movements from taking root, which must now be a growing worry to the Brussels elite. In the Netherlands they tried the same with Frans Timmermans, but they failed. In Poland they succeeded.
ssu January 14, 2024 at 20:45 #872322
Quoting Tzeentch
Unsurprisingly, it comes from the undemocratic abomination that is the European Union.

How is it an undemocratic abomination?

Just what do you think is the EU? Who do you think it's leaders are?

Quoting Tzeentch
This is nothing other than the EU sending out its agents to quell anti-EU movements from taking root, which must now be a growing worry to the Brussels elite. In the Netherlands they tried the same with Frans Timmermans, but they failed. In Poland they succeeded.

Who sent Tusk?

I think in Poland it was the Polish Parliament that gave Tusk the mandate to form a new government after elections where Tusk's coalition won the most seats.

AmadeusD January 14, 2024 at 20:46 #872323
Quoting Gnomon
"One thing that is very likely to happen is that the gains made in the past forty years by black and brown Americans, and by homosexuals, will be wiped out. Jocular contempt for women will come back into fashion. The words [slur for an African-American that begins with “n”] and [slur for a Jewish person that begins with “k”] will once again be heard in the workplace.


This plain and simple will not happen. Happy to 'suck it and see' on this one. More a prediction
Gnomon January 14, 2024 at 22:19 #872352
Quoting RogueAI
Hasn't capitalism increased the standard of living immeasurably over the last 100 years?

Collectively, the US standard of living has increased since the advent of industrialization, urbanization, and representative Democracy. But that general upward trend looks quite different when you break the sample down into classes*1. Historically, societies have been characterized by a tiny minority Upper class (royalty), and a great majority Lower class (slaves & serfs), with a small Middle class in between (merchants). Industrialism temporarily increased the SOL of the Middle class, but Computerization (mechanical slaves) is beginning to reverse that trend, as the Middle class is sliding downward : becoming computer operators instead of mule-drivers*2.

One consequence of that downward trend seems to be : for the Declasse*3 Middle to look for a King-like Tycoon --- with executive immunity --- to restore their semi-exalted status by fiat from above (MAGA), not by economic improvements. The Upper classes benefit by owning the means of production and by increasing the number of mechanical slaves working for the 2% at the tip of the top class. Democratic Capitalism is a feudal economy, with Oligarchs instead of Kings*4*5.

Personally, as the son of a unionized blue-collar worker, my economic status increased due mainly to socialistic GI Bill education. But since the last "great" recession, it has taken a nose-dive. But I'm getting by with help from Democratic Socialism : VA medical care plus Social Security. The American economy is a hybrid of Socialism & Capitalism, with those at the top controlling and reaping the economic largesse. But history has shown that Communism is not the answer for modern nations. So, don't ask me what WE need to do. I'm just an over the hill serf, and nobody cares what I think. :cool:


*1. Upper class increased SOL, Middle & Lower classes decreased :
The middle class, once the economic stratum of a clear majority of American adults, has steadily contracted in the past five decades.
https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2022/04/20/how-the-american-middle-class-has-changed-in-the-past-five-decades/

*2. LOWER & UPPER CLASSES INCREASE ; MIDDLE CLASS SHRINKS
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*3. Déclassé : having fallen in social status.

*4. Does 1% own 90% of wealth?
The accumulation of wealth enables a variety of freedoms, and removes limits on life that one might otherwise face. Federal Reserve data indicates that as of Q4 2021, the top 1% of households in the United States held 32.3% of the country's wealth, while the bottom 50% held 2.6%.
Wealth inequality in the United States - Wikipedia

*5. ECONOMIC CLASS PYRAMID
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Tzeentch January 15, 2024 at 07:02 #872416
Quoting ssu
How is it an undemocratic abomination?


For one, we don't get to vote for the leader of the European Union - in this case Von Der Leyen - or other EU organs like the European Central Bank. There's also virtually zero transparency and control with regards to what these people get up to (and who they're working for).

Meanwhile, countries, including my own, are being completely hamstrung in certain fields by European legislation (see Dutch farmers' protests, for example), which, despite never being talked about in Dutch elections and there being no domestic support for much of this legislation, seem to be ever-expanding.


Tusk served as president of the European Council and as president of a transnational organisation known as 'the European People's Party' (an ominous name to be sure, though I'm not sure if it sounds commie or fascist - two branches from the same rotten tree anyway).

Who knows what uncouth, Europhilic lobbies this man is controlled by, but he was clearly sent in response to Poland's anti-EU trend, and indeed was successful in getting elected.

But it's the way he is now cleaning house like some dictator, without any criticism from European legislative organs whatsoever, that should be the canary in the coal mine. Clearly this man was given cart blanche to "get Poland back on track."


They tried the same in the Netherlands, where now a decidedly anti-EU party has become the largest.

Not that long before the elections, two parties on the left conspiciously merged into one, even though these parties did not have all that much in common and this merger will likely bite them in the end. However, together they did have a chance at winning upcoming the election.

Then, notorious Europhile Frans Timmermans was summoned out of nowhere to lead this questionable alliance. Timmermans had been working for the EU in relatively major positions for some 10 years, and architected the European Green Deal (which has been a total disaster for the Netherlands, by the way).

Long before the elections the propaganda machine was already churning, extolling him and labeling him possible 'future Dutch prime minister', etc., even though it is now clear that the anti-EU party probably won specifically because so many people did not want Timmermans as PM.


What this should tell you, is that the EU is not some impartial legislative body that follows the will of the European nations, but in fact is trying to influence the European nations' democratic processes towards a ever more EU, and often 'slipping in the cracks' to do so.

It's an undemocratic, untransparent abomination.
ssu January 15, 2024 at 12:10 #872444
Quoting Tzeentch
For one, we don't get to vote for the leader of the European Union - in this case Von Der Leyen - or other EU organs like the European Central Bank. There's also virtually zero transparency and control with regards to what these people get up to (and who they're working for).

That's true, but the union is a de facto confederacy: it is created from independent states, who actually are still quite independent. Furthermore, Central Banksters aren't usually elected in a public election. We don't similarly elect our generals either. Likely that would simply politicize even more the position and make Central Banks even more the "deficit helpers" that they are now.

But I hear you. The problem is that the bureaucratic culture is basically from France and isn't something as open as for example in the US. And with the EU there's one thing that I've learnt to be true: the more you know about how it really operates, the more angry you become.

And how would we vote? Let's see, Germany has the most people in the EU, so you would like it to be a perpetual position for Germans to hold? Even if it sounds crazy, perhaps the way Eurovision song contest works could be an answer: you could only vote for those candidates that don't come from your own country!

But anyway, I'm for a loose union that still gives a lot of power to the individual countries because let's face it: the EU has done a really poor job on creating an universal European identity. Only the English have succeeded in creating an unifying identity with being British. But to be an European, well, it's like being an Asian or African...

Quoting Tzeentch
Tusk served as president of the European Council and as president of a transnational organisation known as 'the European People's Party' (an ominous name to be sure, though I'm not sure if it sounds commie or fascist - two branches from the same rotten tree anyway).

Yes, and Poles voted for him. Perhaps the reason is that the Poles got fed up with the former Law and Justice -party, the right-wing populist party. It's quite natural that people want to change their leaders.

Populism, and especially populists in power, paint these ideas where they are against a powerful cabal, be it "Brussels" or the "EU" or whatever, yet the fact is that EU is a confederacy and an assortment of independent states pulling in many directions. Brexit here has shown us actually how beneficial the EU actually is.

Quoting Tzeentch
But it's the way he is now cleaning house like some dictator, without any criticism from European legislative organs whatsoever, that should be the canary in the coal mine. Clearly this man was given cart blanche to "get Poland back on track."

Well, if you have some articles or references about this, I would genuinely be interested...

Quoting Tzeentch
They tried the same in the Netherlands, where now a decidedly anti-EU party has become the largest.

Who here are "they". It's really important to answer this. Because typically it's actually domestic media and parties that are in opposition that promote the "anti-EU" stance of some parties.

I think Italy is the best example of this. There was a huge uproar about the administration of Giorgia Meloni, but in fact (at least for me) the administration simply looks to be conservative. And the fuss has died down. Just how fascist they truly are is in my view very questionable. But of course, I'm not a specialist about Italian politics, so someone can inform me better.

Meloni’s approach to Europe was centred on the vindication of Italy’s “national interests” but within the framework of European integration and with a self-declared ambition to play a protagonist role. In the run-up to the 2022 election, FdI’s electoral programme jettisoned some populist tones of the past (especially regarding the euro). Instead, the emphasis was placed on the need for Italy to “return as a protagonist in Europe” and to “relaunch the system of European integration, for a Europe of homelands, founded on peoples’ interests”. In a similar vein, in her inaugural address to the Chamber of Deputies, Meloni stressed the desire for Italy to stand “with head high” in Europe and the other international fora, “with a constructive spirit, but without subordination or inferiority complexes”. The emphasis on the “national interest” was accompanied by the acknowledgement of “a common European and Western destiny” – as well as of the importance of a frank dialogue within the European institutions, taking a “pragmatic” approach. As a matter of fact, Meloni’s first mission abroad as Italy’s prime minister was to Brussels.


Never underestimate the huge effect that Brexit had. It showed to all Europeans just what a shit show it would be to leave the EU. We've all seen what a trainwreck disaster that was for the UK. If it was bad for the UK to opt out, it is easy to understand that opting out for other EU members would likely suck far more. Hence for example in Finland we have now in the administration the "True Finns" populists that were anti-EU, but they have shed away their ideas of exiting the EU. (Also the war in Ukraine has had them select their partners it the European Parliament too, as the party enthusiastically support Ukraine.)
Benkei January 15, 2024 at 12:31 #872452
Reply to BC Reply to 180 Proof This just in, in the past 10 years the richest 5 persons have doubled their wealth whereas over 5 billion people became poorer. Website: https://www.oxfamamerica.org/explore/research-publications/inequality-inc/

Capitalism is working just as intended.

I'm not sure, considering the disparate definitions of fascism, whether focusing specifically on fascism is relevant. In that respect, I think Rawls really was onto something with is justice as fairness. And that's a gliding scale. And unfairness can be either about the number of people affected or the egregiousness of the injustice (e.g., from tax benefits for the richt to outright institutional racism). It doesn't really matter whether we then qualify an unfair society as fascist, nepotist, authoritarian, etc. other than as a tool t diagnose why it is unfair.
Tzeentch January 15, 2024 at 12:42 #872453
Quoting ssu
And with the EU there's one thing that I've learnt to be true: the more you know about how it really operates, the more angry you become.


Quite so. It's an abomination, sadly. I think if Europe wants to remain functional and sovereign, it needs to replace the EU with an entirely different structure. I estimate the chances of that happening to be very low, so for the foreseeable future we're stuck with this mess.

Quoting ssu
But anyway, I'm for a loose union that still gives a lot of power to the individual countries because let's face it: the EU has done a really poor job on creating an universal European identity. Only the English have succeeded in creating an unifying identity with being British. But to be an European, well, it's like being an Asian or African...


Personally, I think a military alliance structure like NATO, but without the US and the UK, would be perfect. European nations economies function in vastly different ways, and the idea of an economic union has caused serious issues all over and I don't think was ever feasible.

Other elements like open borders (but with protected outer borders) I think would be fine as well.

I'm not sure about a "European identity" - attempts at trying to force something like that are silly, heavy-handed and probably doomed to fail (also reeks of communism) - but I do genuinely feel like I have a lot in common with other Europeans. We share a lot of history, and have reconciled the good and the bad. I also find war between two European nations pretty much unthinkable.

There is a lot of commonality which could be the basis for a more functional union that also respects the differences.

Quoting ssu
Yes, and Poles voted for him.


And somewhat predictably so. The Law & Justice Party pursued many foolish policies. This I don't have an issue with.

Quoting ssu
Well, if you have some articles or references about this, I would genuinely be interested...


Tens of thousands protest in Poland against ex-ministers' imprisonment (Reuters)

Pro-EU fanatics are silent on Poland's new illiberal turn (The Telegraph)

All of this is taking place as we speak, so we'll have to wait until later for some more brainy stuff.

Taking over the media and throwing the opposition in jail literally within weeks of taking office is probably the most blatant power grab I have ever seen in a western "democracy".

Quoting ssu
Who here are "they".


The Brussels elite, which is pursuing its own agendas that, predictably, never involve "less EU" but always "more EU".

Let me ask you, who does Von Der Leyen represent? Certainly not the European people, so who? Personally, I couldn't tell you, and that's what worries me to no end.
ssu January 15, 2024 at 13:04 #872459
Quoting Tzeentch
Personally, I think a military alliance structure like NATO, but without the US and the UK, would be perfect.

What's wrong with the UK? They are good fighters and they have a great armed forces. Also, they are still committed to European safety, even if they are on an Island.

If the US goes home to eat it's apply pie, then they can. But they'll wake up one day to see that the apple pie isn't so great as it used to be with them being the Superpower...
Tzeentch January 15, 2024 at 13:29 #872466
Quoting ssu
What's wrong with the UK? They are good fighters and they have a great armed forces. Also, they are still committed to European safety, even if they are on an Island.


Ukrainian official: Johnson Forced Kyiv to Refuse Russian Peace Deal (The European Conservative)

This is the reason.

The UK belongs to the Anglosphere, and together with other countries from the Anglosphere follows foreign policy that is heavily aligned to the US. The Anglosphere consists of exclusively island nations. (The US and Canada being essentially an 'island' in every practical sense)

These nations do not share the same security concerns as the European mainland, so should not be permitted to have this kind of influence over European (mainland) security.
Ciceronianus January 15, 2024 at 15:54 #872492
Quoting ssu
I do think that there are the old fashion conservatives, but they are simply muted out by the Trump crowd.


I hope you're right. But at least when it comes to elected officials, it seems that most are willing to follow Trump's lead regardless of their principles, if they have them.
Ciceronianus January 15, 2024 at 15:56 #872493
Reply to LuckyR

Yes, that's the case now, in any event.
BC January 15, 2024 at 19:01 #872546
Quoting Benkei
This just in, Capitalism is working just as intended.


Old news in these quarters.

Fascism does have many definitions, but "the way it works" is less variable. If some people are operating in a fascistic manner, it's worth focusing on.

Quoting Benkei
other than as a tool to diagnose why it is unfair.


And, one hopes, do something about it!
Benkei January 15, 2024 at 19:20 #872554
Quoting BC
Fascism does have many definitions, but "the way it works" is less variable. If some people are operating in a fascistic manner, it's worth focusing on.


That's what I question I guess. Any form of unfair policies is a step in the wrong direction. You're a decade too late if you're trying to assess what type of evil you're dealing with. I think it's much more interesting to analyse how societies get there through the gradual, "legal" means, erosion of the rule of law. And I see this play out in many different conversations, where moral reasoning is reduced to whether it breaks a law or not.

So if we procedurally pass awful laws then these are "just", which is why tax breaks are deserved, breaking up families at the border are fine, gerrymandering is just smart, tax evasion a walhalla for consultants, pollution is a-ok as long as you got a permit, lobbying is effective, improving the material conditions of citizens optional and daytrading considered a meaningful vocation. From where I'm standing Fascism is fucking close in every European country but probably not in the US, which is more likely to fully degenerate into a corporatocracy due to its particular off-brand of delusional idiocy.

BC January 15, 2024 at 19:39 #872560
Quoting Benkei
the US, which is more likely to fully degenerate into a corporatocracy due to its particular off-brand of delusional idiocy


Hey, calling our delusional idiocy "off-brand" is an insult!

Quoting Benkei
You're a decade too late if you're trying to assess what type of evil you're dealing with


That's a good point. Bad stuff may crawl out of the swamp, but it takes time to coagulate and grow. For example, the far right wing of the Republican Party wasn't created by Trump. Tax law is critical for the growth of the super-rich class and happened decades ago. 3M was secure in dumping per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances, or PFAS into the ground. Etc.

Fact is, all sorts of bad stuff have happened in the US, carried out by duly elected representatives, following (sort of) open procedures in legislative sessions, and signed by elected chief executives. Fascists weren't required.
Tom Storm January 15, 2024 at 20:18 #872575
Reply to Benkei Reply to BC All of this reminds me of famous Orwell essay, Politics and the English Language (1946) he writes:

'The word Fascism has now no meaning except in so far as it signifies "something not desirable"...'

Even close to 80 years ago this word was seen as devalued currency. It can be used to describe anyone from a Tory Prime Minister to a supermarket manager. Perhaps the real question of the OP is will America become an authoritarian state, a right wing dictatorship? Of course for my friends in the Left, America has been an authoritarian state for many years, so even this will evoke a range of interpretations and definitional games.
AmadeusD January 15, 2024 at 20:26 #872579
Quoting Tom Storm
Perhaps the real question of the OP is will America become an authoritarian state, a right wing dictatorship?


I think this is a far more realistic position to consider. And, while I personally think its super-unlikely, it's way more possible that Fascism coming into play.

Quoting Tom Storm
Of course for my friends in the Left, America has been an authoritarian state for many years, so even this will evoke a range of interpretations and definitional games.


And herein lies the problem, right? From any standpoint of intrenched ideology, its almost impossible not to see yourself as the victim of 'the other side' - otherwise your ideology is 'in power' and defeats the point.
Benkei January 15, 2024 at 21:24 #872590
Quoting BC
Fact is, all sorts of bad stuff have happened in the US, carried out by duly elected representatives, following (sort of) open procedures in legislative sessions, and signed by elected chief executives. Fascists weren't required.


Exactly. So how come? What's the real lesson? And how to reverse it when there's a vocal minority claiming taxation is theft and vested interests keen on keeping their privileges because any loss of privilege is considered an injustice by them? And how come a relative minority benefitting from it gets such widespread support from voters? It doesn't, for instance, comport with studies where people would rather force both parties to end up with nothing than accept an unfair result from a negotiation. Fairness is a strong motivator yet we'll gladly vote for parties or people who have no interest in fairness.

Edit: I think the first one is obvious. It's not a negotiation in Parliament and not a trade. So there is no social "contract", just people pursuing their self-interest to the furthest extent as possible that the system permits. This is mitigated to some extent in multi-party systems that require coalitions to form majority voting blocks but over the years has been avoided by trading off unrelated issues before parties actually come into power and thereby avoid democratic control.
ssu January 15, 2024 at 21:58 #872596
Quoting Tzeentch
These nations do not share the same security concerns as the European mainland, so should not be permitted to have this kind of influence over European (mainland) security.

Depends on just what UK does. Yes, it's likely that if the US under Trump really would leave NATO, then I guess UK would be the first in line to make a bilateral defence treaty with the US.

But you see the negative effects of this already in Far East Asia: US has bilateral defense agreements with Japan, South Korea, Phillipines etc, and then there is the strange AUKUS. But there isn't coordination among these countries. And SEATO simply fell apart as the countries had so little in common.

Hence taking out the UK from an European helps only Russia!
Tzeentch January 16, 2024 at 08:00 #872665
Reply to ssu This is a very interesting subject, but perhaps a little off-topic for the thread. Lets continue this discussion in the future. :pray:
ssu January 16, 2024 at 11:16 #872677
Reply to Tzeentch Well, if Trump goes really with what he possibly said, then we'll get in no time this debate to start in earnest.

BRUSSELS — One of Europe's most senior politicians recounted how former U.S. President Donald Trump privately warned that America would not come to the EU's aid if it was attacked militarily.

"You need to understand that if Europe is under attack we will never come to help you and to support you," Trump told European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in 2020, according to French European Commissioner Thierry Breton, who was also present at a meeting at the World Economic Forum in Davos.

"By the way, NATO is dead, and we will leave, we will quit NATO," Trump also said, according to Breton. "And he added, ‘and by the way, you owe me $400 billion, because you didn’t pay, you Germans, what you had to pay for defense,'" Breton said about the tense meeting, where the EU's then-trade chief Phil Hogan was also present.
Tzeentch February 01, 2024 at 07:09 #877043
A while back I pointed out how, if you want a real example of looming fascism, one should look no further than our own backyard, Europe.

Today it seems European Union is becoming more and more authoritarian, now overtly threatening to sink the Hungarian economy if it refuses to back aid to Ukraine.

Brussels threatens to hit Hungary's economy if Viktor Orbán vetoes Ukraine aid (Financial Times)

Note the lack of respect for the rule of law, the sovereignty of Hungary, and the EU's willingness to strong-arm smaller nations into obedience.

The Duran did a good report on this, in which they also briefly touch on Donald Tusk whom I mentioned earlier in this thread as an example of looming fascism.

FT report, EU planning to destroy economy of Hungary (The Duran)
Heiko December 31, 2024 at 00:23 #956852
When thinking the global development a strict(er) block-building course might be the way to go. My parent's generation had the cold war scenario which resulted in a situation where every opportunity to sabotage and subdue the other half of the world was eagerly taken which, in effect, resulted in a huge economic advantage and relative prosperity. After the fall of the soviet union the west started to become a victim of it's own greed, shifting production to China and becoming reliant on Russia. Trump becoming president in the US might give the opportunity to cripple China's economy again if the EU jumps onto the band-wagon. This might make economies strive again. Therefor human right violations - especially in China - cannot be tolerated. Maybe one could start to theorize about the cost-reward ratio of sending weapons to Ukraine and destroying Russia's eco...
180 Proof January 19, 2025 at 15:06 #962030
It can't happen here? :brow:

https://thephilosophyforum.com/discussion/comment/962250 (loads slowly)

https://thephilosophyforum.com/discussion/comment/962520 (loads slowly)

https://thephilosophyforum.com/discussion/comment/962668 (loads slowly)
Wayfarer January 20, 2025 at 08:38 #962248
Fascism in the US starts tomorrow. New variety: techno-fascim. Not as blatant as the older versions, but far more insidious.
Tobias January 21, 2025 at 22:08 #962705
Quoting Tzeentch
Note the lack of respect for the rule of law, the sovereignty of Hungary, and the EU's willingness to strong-arm smaller nations into obedience.


For reference I give Paxton's list below which to me seems a reasonable list of indicators of fascism. Notice how it does not include politically strong arming nations into stepping in line with a multi-level legal order of which it is part. You seem to equate fascism with policies you do not like. The great sovereign nation of Hungary though is free to leave the EU if it so pleases. The problem though is it benefits enormously from it, so it will not.

I think the EU has every right to demand a certain compliance. A monetary and economic union has no future when it does not have a certain level of political coordination. Would you feel better if the EU just decides to sever ties with Hungary or would you think that amounts to 'fascism' too?
Or perhaps you return from your misguided ways and concede you just made a rather poor argument which simply distracts from the discussion at hand?

Paxton's list

a sense of overwhelming crisis beyond the reach of any traditional solutions;
the subordination of the individual to the primacy of the group;
the belief in a collective victimhood, justifying any action against its enemies without legal or moral limits;
the fear that individualistic liberalism, class conflict, and alien influences will lead to a decline in the group
the need for a purer community, by consent if possible, or by exclusionary violence if necessary;
the need for male authority culminating in a national chief who incarnates the group’s historical destiny;
the leader’s instincts are superior to abstract and universal reason;
the beauty of violence and the efficacy of will, when they are devoted to the group’s success;
the right of the select group to dominate others without restraint from any kind of human or divine law, right being decided by the sole criterion of the group’s prowess within a Darwinian struggle.
AmadeusD January 22, 2025 at 18:51 #962868
I think there are fascists in the US. Left and right. Is the actual country - the infrastructure and government going to turn fascist? No. There will always be elements, but as an actual driving systemic element? No. Don't think so. That said, I think what a lot of people call fascist is patently not fascist, so ... tough one.
Banno January 22, 2025 at 19:50 #962882
Reply to Tobias Well worth another look at Paxton's list, given the recent coronation in Washington.

User image
frank January 22, 2025 at 20:26 #962885
Reply to Banno
I think it would take losing a war or a deep economic collapse. Everything else is in place, ready to go.
Vera Mont January 22, 2025 at 21:10 #962894
Quoting Wayfarer
Fascism in the US starts tomorrow. New variety: techno-fascim. Not as blatant as the older versions, but far more insidious.

Quite blatant enough, to judge by the spate of post-putsch executive orders.

Quoting Tzeentch
Note the lack of respect for the rule of law, the sovereignty of Hungary, and the EU's willingness to strong-arm smaller nations into obedience

Denying financial aid to a member nation that has repeatedly flouted both the human rights and foreign policy requirements of the union? That's not so much fascist as sensible - and in this case, several years overdue.

Quoting frank
I think it would take losing a war or a deep economic collapse.

The economic collapse will be a total surprise to its engineers. As for losing a war, you'd have to engage in one first. The "Let's you and him fight!" approach won't have much domestic impact; the arms merchants will still be fat and happy; the private prisons will be filled up with young people protesting things other than war. The only things we can't predict, yet, is how soon the civil war begins and which side will be supported by more of the professional military - in which I include police.
Banno January 23, 2025 at 02:51 #962972
User image~~
Vera Mont January 23, 2025 at 04:03 #962990
Reply to Banno
Ah-yup, that's about it.
frank January 23, 2025 at 04:16 #962994
Quoting Vera Mont
The only things we can't predict, yet, is how soon the civil war begins and which side will be supported by more of the professional military - in which I include police.


I doubt there will be a civil war. We're too lazy for that.
Wayfarer January 23, 2025 at 05:18 #963002
[quote=WaPo;https://wapo.st/4aydFXV]“Now it’s our turn,” said (Proud Boys Leader Enrique) Tarrio, who received the longest sentence in the riot for mobilizing his right-wing group as an “army” to keep Trump in power through violence as Congress met to confirm the 2020 election (and was pardoned by Trump). Trial evidence showed that he and his lieutenants, inspired by Trump’s directive to “stand by” during a 2020 presidential debate and join a “wild” protest on Jan. 6, drew scores of followers to Washington who helped instigate the mob at the Capitol.

Tarrio called into Infowars.com, the web stream hosted by pro-Trump conspiracy theorist Alex Jones, hours after his Tuesday release and claimed to be the victim of a campaign to put Trump supporters in prison. He called for imprisoning Biden attorney general Merrick Garland for “corruption” to “give him a taste of his own medicine.”[/quote]

Trump has instigated a 'commission' to 'look into' the January 6th enquiry, and also issued an executive order to investigate the 'weaponisation' of the Department of Justice.

All highly ominous.

Tzeentch January 23, 2025 at 07:57 #963016
Who'd like to take me up on a bet that in 4 years nothing of particular note will have happened, and you all are a bunch of hysterics?

I bet a 1000 Tzeentch-coins on it.
Banno January 23, 2025 at 09:07 #963027
Quoting Tzeentch
Who'd like to take me up on a bet that in 4 years nothing of particular note will have happened,


Well, perhaps not to you. But they are already happening to others.
Pierre-Normand January 23, 2025 at 09:14 #963031
Quoting Banno
Well, perhaps not to you. But they are already happening to others.


Furthermore, regarding some issues like climate change prevention and mitigation, "nothing of particular note" happening is a catastrophe.
Tzeentch January 23, 2025 at 10:59 #963051
Reply to Banno As they do under any president. Trump's first presidency was nothing special, no fascism, no World War 3, no end of days, etc. and I see no reason to believe his second will be any different.

But by all means, believe the hysteria and propaganda. We'll see in four years. Take me up on my bet. There's a 1000 Tzeentch-coins in it if you win.
Mr Bee January 23, 2025 at 11:44 #963058
Quoting Tzeentch
rump's first presidency was nothing special, no fascism, no World War 3, no end of days, etc. and I see no reason to believe his second will be any different.


I mean by your own metrics, it seems like he's already being a fascist if these past few weeks mean anything:

Quoting Tzeentch
Today it seems European Union is becoming more and more authoritarian, now overtly threatening to sink the Hungarian economy if it refuses to back aid to Ukraine.

Brussels threatens to hit Hungary's economy if Viktor Orbán vetoes Ukraine aid (Financial Times)

Note the lack of respect for the rule of law, the sovereignty of Hungary, and the EU's willingness to strong-arm smaller nations into obedience.


Trump threatens retaliation against UK over tax on tech giants

Of course, I suspect they don't mean anything because at the end of the day nothing means anything except left vs. right.

Tzeentch January 23, 2025 at 12:26 #963061
Reply to Mr Bee I don't see how the two are remotely comparable.

If you want to believe economic rivalry between two independent nations equals fascism then you've thrown all sense of reason and proportion out of the window.
frank January 23, 2025 at 14:47 #963076
Quoting Tzeentch
Trump's first presidency was nothing special, no fascism, no World War 3, no end of days, etc. and I see no reason to believe his second will be any different.


Fascism isn't really about what one guy is doing. It comes from the whole political scene. It comes from a change in attitudes toward acceptance of strong-arm strategies, and of course, acceptance of dictatorship.
Vera Mont January 23, 2025 at 15:19 #963091
Quoting frank
Fascism isn't really about what one guy is doing.

No, it's about a nation hearing what that guy intends to do to their institutions, their government, their personal lives, their environment and their foundational document - and then electing him top gun, because ... well, hell, it's better than being ruled by a bunch of liberal do-gooders.
It comes from the whole political scene.

Yes, we've been watching that political scene crumble for years.
It comes from a change in attitudes toward acceptance of strong-arm strategies, and of course, acceptance of dictatorship.

Done and done. Quoting frank
I doubt there will be a civil war. We're too lazy for that.

Or just not hungry enough - yet.

Eros1982 January 23, 2025 at 15:21 #963093
This country is going towards civil war and I don't dare to say that it is all Trump's making. The Democratic Party is less democratic in its internal structure than the republicans. The democrats showed that when they sidestepped Bernie Sanders and Biden in order to make Hillary Clinton their front-runner; they showed it again when they made Kamala their front-runner.

The democrats also do not believe in democratic culture. For them "culture" means to do whatever your gut tells you; it suffices that you obey the (democrats') laws. If they believed in democratic culture, they wouldn't preach diversity, destruction of family, and other things that humans have used like tools (in the last 5000 years or more) in order to divide roles, responsibilities, labor, etiquette, and so on, without the interference of money, coercion, patrol and violence.

Now we have two parties which are unwilling to make any substantial reforms in the judiciary and electoral systems. The only things democrats and republicans are good at is to point the finger to each other and infuriate their supporters. In these circumstances (without the necessary judicial and electoral reforms), I won't be surprised at all if in the future we have a second civil war in this country. The only thing that surprises me are these Americans who can't see that both parties are contributing in making America a less free, less democratic, country.
Count Timothy von Icarus January 23, 2025 at 15:30 #963097
Reply to Tzeentch

You're backing the wrong horse then. This is our manifest destiny!

User image

You are correct though, many of the executive orders are nothing special. When the Presidency changes changes parties there is always a flurry of executive orders, many meaningless (recall Obama signed an order to close Guantanamo Bay on his first day 16 years ago).

The DEI stuff Trump suspended he could suspend because it was created by executive orders, some being Biden's immediate orders upon taking office. What is exceptional in the immigration orders is the language, not the orders. Biden himself oversaw a flurry of orders on migration which is what led to net migration in his four years significantly eclipsing that of the entire Obama or Bush eras.

The stand out order is the pardons for the January 6th rioters, some of whom were obviously guilty of major offenses. The practice of shoveling out a bevy of odious pardons as a President leaves office is now well established, but it seems we might be facing a new norm of waves of odious pardons upon any new party taking control as well. And, as norms are destroyed and both parties rail about "corruption," neither is at all willing to actually place any restrictions in place to stop this sort of thing.

For instance, the scandals over the Clintons' speaking fees or the gifts received by Supreme Court justices would both be obvious felony offenses for the vast majority of public officials, even volunteers on a small town licensing commission. The most powerful officials in the government have, however, doggedly kept themselves exempt from all the anti-corruption measures in place for state and local or lower level federal officials.
NOS4A2 January 23, 2025 at 15:43 #963103
The pandemic has already revealed that most of the so-called “liberal democracies” are at best illiberal, but at worst they’re fascist and totalitarian. In Australia they literally put people into camps for testing positive for COVID-19, for example. In Canada you had to show a vax pass to go to a restaurant. In the UK they’ll jail you for a tweet. It’s already here, it’s been here for a while, and we have a long way to go before we’re rid of any of it.
Eros1982 January 23, 2025 at 15:53 #963105
Quoting NOS4A2
The pandemic has already revealed that most of the so-called “liberal democracies”, are at best illiberal, but at worst they’re fascist and totalitarian.


The democrats are convincing young girls that being a liberal means that you have an higher IQ than the rest of the society/world, though all the data show that since 1975 (when the liberals and pacifists took over the western world) IQ has dropped sharply, like never before in human history :rofl:

https://www.cnn.com/2018/06/13/health/falling-iq-scores-study-intl/index.html
Mr Bee January 23, 2025 at 19:42 #963143
Quoting Tzeentch
I don't see how the two are remotely comparable.


Of course. One is a more left leaning group going after a right leaning country while the other is a right leaning country going after a left leaning country. One is bad and the other one isn't.

I'm guessing threatening to invade the Panama Canal if they don't do what you want also doesn't amount to what you call "fascism" either. Note the lack of respect for the rule of law, the sovereignty of Panama, and the US's willingness to strong-arm smaller nations into obedience. Not remotely comparable to the lack of respect for the rule of law, the sovereignty of Hungary, and the EU's willingness to strong-arm smaller nations into obedience when it comes to the EU's "authoritarianism".

Quoting Tzeentch
If you want to believe economic rivalry between two independent nations equals fascism then you've thrown all sense of reason and proportion out of the window.


If it was economic rivalry then the US would be concerned about it's own tax laws instead of the ones other countries make, specifically on Trump's new oligarch buddies.


ssu January 23, 2025 at 20:13 #963146
Quoting Tzeentch
Who'd like to take me up on a bet that in 4 years nothing of particular note will have happened, and you all are a bunch of hysterics?

Define what is "of particular note".

Is it something like the collapse of the Soviet Union or unification of Germany? A financial crisis? Pandemic? End of the dollar system? Conflict over Taiwan? Breakup of NATO?

What would you consider as of particular note?

Banno January 23, 2025 at 20:27 #963149
Quoting Eros1982
The democrats are convincing young girls that being a liberal means that you have an higher IQ than the rest of the society/world, though all the data show that since 1975 (when the liberals and pacifists took over the western world) IQ has dropped sharply,


It's brilliant arguments such as this that convince folk to support Trump.
J January 23, 2025 at 23:57 #963198
Quoting Eros1982
1975 (when the liberals and pacifists took over the western world)


I missed that! Dang, and I would have enjoyed it too.
Wayfarer January 24, 2025 at 05:46 #963240
A Republican Congressman is already proposing to abolish the term limit in the Constitution so that Trump can serve a third term:

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5104133-rep-andy-ogles-proposes-trump-third-term-amendment/
Tom Storm January 24, 2025 at 06:31 #963243
Reply to Wayfarer I was pretty sure this would wait until week two, but there it is.
Wayfarer January 24, 2025 at 06:48 #963245
Meanwhile in the absurd monologue he delivered to the World Economic Forum, he continued to insist that those who don’t manufacture in the US will have to pay very high tariffs which will go towards paying down US debt. It’s such an elementary and obvious fact - that the consumers of the importing country are those who pay the tariffs - but even now, after 10 years on the world stage, one that he doesn’t grasp. (Pity the poor staffers who have to try and explain this to him….’ahem, Mr President, the fact is….. :yikes: )
ssu January 24, 2025 at 07:13 #963252
Reply to Wayfarer Took so long into the Trump presidency? I guess how this discourse will go: remember FDR! The 22nd amendment is so new, just given in 1951.

They have to put that through likely before the midterms, as likely then the honeymoon is likely over.

Quoting Wayfarer
It’s such an elementary and obvious fact - that the consumers of the importing country are those who pay the tariffs

Just like with inflation, people simply don't understand this or simply won't care. And thus any outrageous reasoning will carry through.

And as I've said, Brexit showed with the British people that once a populism takes hold and it's consequences start to really suck, those that went with the populist streak will be in denial for a really long time. People will believe in the "Morning for" -moment and think that the populists will make it better. These people will simply just become quite silent in the end and once the administration changes, then they have all of this built up fury about how things suck.

Quoting Wayfarer
(Pity the poor staffers who have to try and explain this to him….’ahem, Mr President, the fact is….. :yikes: )

That was the stuff of the first Trump administration. Then people tried that. Not now. Nope. Nobody is going to tell him that. Likely Elon will tell Trump how much that will hurt Trump's own wealth and people can convince the most outrageous actions by reading what outrageous countertariffs EU or the World in general will put up with the US.

The real issue here is that Trump as many Americans are totally ignorant is that the whole economic system is rigged for the US, not against it. Trump is simply dismantling the Superpower status of the US. Why would the Middle Eastern oil producers just use US dollars in the oil trade? Why would the US dollar have the role it has in the global monetary system? It's really not because the US is so awesome, the economy of the rest of the World is larger than of the US. It's all because of the alliances, because of WW2, that the US enjoys this.

Yet a good question is really if this truly is fascism, as the term usually is used as a derogatory insult. There's not the worship of the state itself as in fascist Italy etc. Much looks more like a populist leader with an oligarchy which doesn't care about the separation of powers or the institutions.
Wayfarer January 24, 2025 at 07:24 #963253
Reply to ssu Perceptive as always. But I think the fascism will show up in his attempts to ‘turn the tables on the Justice system’, when he tries to ‘go after’ all of the prosecutors and personnel who brought charges against him during the hiatus. There’ll be Trump apparatchiks infiltrating Justice. Heck, they’re already insisting that departments rat on any hidden DEI initiatives that the thought police haven’t detected.
Tzeentch January 24, 2025 at 07:38 #963256
Reply to Mr Bee An aggressive foreign policy is nothing new for the US. It's not pretty, obviously, but it's not fascism in the way that it looms over the EU under the unelected Queen Ursula.

Quoting ssu
Define what is "of particular note".


Fascism, obviously.
Mr Bee January 24, 2025 at 08:28 #963262
Quoting Tzeentch
An aggressive foreign policy is nothing new for the US. It's not pretty, obviously, but it's not fascism in the way that it looms over the EU under the unelected, nepo baby Queen Ursula.


Nobody elected Elon Musk either but Trump is using the weight of the US empire to pressure the UK to not taxing tech billionaires like him.
Tzeentch January 24, 2025 at 08:35 #963265
Reply to Mr Bee This has been common practice in the US for decades. The only difference now is that the billionaires are not on the team you like, so suddenly it's fascism. :yawn:
ssu January 24, 2025 at 08:37 #963267
Reply to Wayfarer For a leader (of the executive branch) to try to seize the control of the other branches and also to stifle the free press is something that can indeed happen in a republic without it being turned into a fascist state. I would argue that autocratic leadership doesn't have to mean that the country is fascist. One can argue that it's a "fascist" move. But then again a lot of political ideologies are against liberal democracy and the separation of powers. Think of Marxism-Leninism. The role of the government can actually be small and power can be with an oligarchy around the leader.

Quoting Tzeentch
Fascism, obviously.

Well, who'll be judge of that... Trump is already called that.

Quoting Tzeentch
but it's not fascism in the way that it looms over the EU under the unelected Queen Ursula.

What? Queen Ursula?

The EU is a de facto confederacy.

Yes, the institution tries desperately to push for federalism and tries to act as a United States of Europe, but that won't happen. The fact is that the union is made up of sovereign nation states, talking different languages, having different cultural and historical backgrounds and in the end, being sovereign nation states. You can imagine something else and perhaps convince the Americans here, but that is the fact. California or Texas aren't sovereign states and their foreign policy is handled in Washington DC, but Spain and Ireland are sovereign states and their foreign policy isn't done from Brussels.

The executive branch, the Commission, just as the Council of the European Union, is under the control of the sovereign states. It won't happen, there's always going to be a Hungary or an Austria or some country whose leader is opposed to things the majority are pushing. This is structural and endemic for the union.

What happens, and will happen, is that countries like Hungary (or similar) will try to portray the EU's executive branch as "fascist" or "deep state" or whatever. But this is just political rhetoric.

I wouldn't be happy with the EU Parliament taking more power, because that would undermine the Parliament of my own country. So people wanting to give more power to the EU Parliament are in my view crazy.
ssu January 24, 2025 at 08:42 #963268
Quoting Tzeentch
This has been common practice in the US for decades. The only difference now is that the billionaires are not on the team you like, so suddenly it's fascism. :yawn:

Again, it isn't fascism when the state is working on behalf and for one rich individual. And even if similar things have happened before, it hasn't been so clear, so obvious. Earlier managers from corporations or rich people had to put aside their holdings when acting in a government position. Now Elon has simply circumvented that with the aloof DOGE and can be the World's richest man at the same time as he plans the US state to better for him.
Mr Bee January 24, 2025 at 08:45 #963269
Quoting Tzeentch
This has been common practice in the US for decades. The only difference now is that the billionaires are not on the team you like, so suddenly it's fascism. :yawn:


Hey I'm only going off your definition of fascism here. If you felt the need to call the EU "fascists" earlier then you should do the same for Trump as well. Either both are fascists or none are. The only reason I can see for you not doing either is because, as you suggest, one is on "your team" and the other isn't.
Wayfarer January 24, 2025 at 08:48 #963270
Quoting ssu
For a leader (of the executive branch) to try to seize the control of the other branches and also to stifle the free press is something that can indeed happen in a republic without it being turned into a fascist state


I guess you're technically correct. But it's not a stretch to say that all Trump's impulses are at least fascistic, and that the party he now owns has done little or nothing to check them.
Tzeentch January 24, 2025 at 09:22 #963275
Reply to ssu Nothing new under the sun. The US has been an oligarchy for decades, and it still is. It's just that the previous oligarchs have been ousted and they don't like the new ones, so we have to suffer through the whole sanctimonious melodrama.

If anyone truly believed it was going to turn into something remotely fascist, I'm sure someone would have taken me up on my bet; predictably no one did, because all of them know they're just coping like disgruntled children, but unwilling to admit it.

Quoting Mr Bee
Hey I'm only going by your definition of fascism here. If you felt the need to call the EU "fascists" earlier then you should do the same for Trump as well. Either both are fascists or none are.


I never gave my definition of fascism, nor did I call the EU fascist, but this is just a dumb argument to make.

The EU is untransparent, overtly undemocratic and authoritarian. The unelected Queen Ursula has recently started her second term - a spot she only got because of her friendship with Merkel.

This situation cannot be compared to the US, and obviously between the two if any are closer to fascism it is the EU by a mile and a half.
Mr Bee January 24, 2025 at 09:42 #963277
Quoting Tzeentch
I never gave my definition of fascism, nor did I call the EU fascist, but this is just a dumb argument to make.


You literally called them fascist in your other post:

A while back I pointed out how, if you want a real example of looming fascism, one should look no further than our own backyard, Europe.

Today it seems European Union is becoming more and more authoritarian, now overtly threatening to sink the Hungarian economy if it refuses to back aid to Ukraine.

Brussels threatens to hit Hungary's economy if Viktor Orbán vetoes Ukraine aid (Financial Times)

Note the lack of respect for the rule of law, the sovereignty of Hungary, and the EU's willingness to strong-arm smaller nations into obedience.


All I'm asking is for you to be consistent.

Quoting Tzeentch
This situation cannot be compared to the US, and obviously between the two if any are closer to fascism it is the EU by a mile and a half.


As far as I can tell there's not much of a distinction between what you pointed out and what's going on in the US. You know apart from the fact that one is on the nefarious left and the other is on the pure right :roll: .
Tzeentch January 24, 2025 at 09:50 #963278
Reply to Mr Bee I called the EU a better example of looming fascism than the US, which you then tried to misconstrue as me calling the EU fascist according to a set definition.

All I'll ask of you is to not put words in my mouth or deliberately take the things I say out of their context.
Mr Bee January 24, 2025 at 10:12 #963282
Reply to Tzeentch Not surprisingly you're splitting hairs again.
Tzeentch January 24, 2025 at 10:31 #963285
Reply to Mr Bee You had better get used to that if you're intent on misrepresenting what I say or putting words in my mouth.
ssu January 24, 2025 at 11:44 #963293
Quoting Tzeentch
Nothing new under the sun. The US has been an oligarchy for decades, and it still is. It's just that the previous oligarchs have been ousted and they don't like the new ones, so we have to suffer through the whole sanctimonious melodrama.

Well, if you are talking about the Trump family with also the Kushner family, I guess you are right:

(BBC, 14th Feb 2024) After leaving the White House, Mr Kushner's private equity firm received a $2bn (£1.59bn) investment from Saudi Arabia's sovereign wealth fund.

Mr Kushner worked closely with Saudi Arabia on a number of issues during the Trump administration.

He has denied that the investment represented a conflict of interest.

Add into the context Elon, and there's the obvious inner circle.
Tzeentch January 24, 2025 at 11:57 #963297
Reply to ssu Of course I'm not just talking about the Trump family. What rock have you been living under that you think oligarchy only became a thing under Trump?
Harry Hindu January 24, 2025 at 14:56 #963320
Quoting Wayfarer
A Republican Congressman is already proposing to abolish the term limit in the Constitution so that Trump can serve a third term:

Well, isn't that the beauty of the Constitution of the U.S.? It wasn't that long ago that the Dems wanted to make a similar change to the Constitution regarding term limits for the SCOTUS. The Constitution was designed to be molded by future generations, and any change made by one party applies to all of them where a Democrat president might be able to have three terms as well.

I'm all for limiting terms, I only wish Congress should start with themselves.

Quoting Banno
It's brilliant arguments such as this that convince folk to support Trump.

It's certainly a better argument than this argument: "What we really need is a feminomenon!". https://www.youtube.com/shorts/48G82Cq9C9k

Point is what brilliant argument can be made to continue voting for either side instead of something else considering the state of the U.S. the past 30 years? There are other options. People just need to stop seeing the world as red and blue, or black and white. There are other colors in the spectrum (other ideas/solutions that are neither red or blue). People just need to stop thinking that either-or are their only options and the power to change in ourselves because we know the politicians are not going to..

ssu January 24, 2025 at 16:52 #963333
Quoting Tzeentch
Of course I'm not just talking about the Trump family. What rock have you been living under that you think oligarchy only became a thing under Trump?

Again with the strawmans, Tzeentch. Do we start with the Robber Baron's era or United Fruit Company or Halliburton, or go with the Koch Brothers or with the so much loved George Soros?

Anyway, I think today it's far more obvious, with billionaires like Elon not putting their wealth and other duties on hold (or aside) when applying to government positions. At least formally Dick Cheney as vice President wasn't anymore the CEO of Halliburton. But DOGE is just there in the open and Elon can enjoy both worlds. And nobody cares.
NOS4A2 January 24, 2025 at 17:08 #963336
Reply to ssu

Took so long into the Trump presidency? I guess how this discourse will go: remember FDR! The 22nd amendment is so new, just given in 1951.

They have to put that through likely before the midterms, as likely then the honeymoon is likely over.


Plenty Democratic members of Congress have introduced legislation to repeal 22nd Amendment, like Rep. Serrano, Rep. Barney Frank, Rep. Howard Berman and Senator Harry Reid. Therefor, fascism has been in America since at least the early 2000’s.



BitconnectCarlos January 24, 2025 at 17:46 #963339
Quoting BC
Robert Paxton, a professor emeritus at Columbia University, defines fascism in his 2004 book The Anatomy of Fascism

a sense of overwhelming crisis beyond the reach of any traditional solutions;


I'd be feeling this if I were a native brit right now. The notion of a leadership that barely punishes and largely ignores foreign pedophilic grooming gangs who target its own native population is outrageous without comparison and it tears at the very fabric of civilization.

Perhaps the "advances" of celebrating diversity and abolishing capital punishment and criminal leniency were a step backwards and it's all just gonna fall down like a stack of dominoes. I think we're seeing a major challenge to so-called progressive, civilized world order built over the past several decades. We live in a fascinating time. It is very possible that the UK is just beyond saving.
BC January 24, 2025 at 18:07 #963341
Quoting Mr Bee
All I'm asking is for you to be consistent.


I'm sorry, but your statement triggered a mental reflex: "A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds." Ralph Waldo Emerson
BC January 24, 2025 at 18:26 #963346
Quoting BitconnectCarlos
It is very possible that the UK is just beyond saving.


Possible, but I don't know whether it is or not. Just guessing, it is salvageable.

Each of Paxton's fascist characteristics might apply in some degree and together not add up to fascism. The January 6 attack on the capital (instigated by DT) seems like an overtly fascist act, which hasn't been repeated so far.

The American political system works. A frustrated voter said it doesn't make any difference who you vote for -- nothing changes. Precisely. Both parties will deliver reasonably adequate government, sufficient to keep the various vested economic interests happy. That's not fascism -- that's merely loathsome corporate capitalism.
Tobias January 25, 2025 at 00:00 #963391
Quoting Tzeentch
Who'd like to take me up on a bet that in 4 years nothing of particular note will have happened, and you all are a bunch of hysterics?

I bet a 1000 Tzeentch-coins on it.


I certainly take you up on it. Of course we have to settle on what 'of note' means. I predict that a major constitutional event will take place that furthers or tries to further the hold on power of current government circles, including, but not limited to, Presidents being allowed a third term, prosecution of political and social high profile figures on drummed up charges, the administrative branch blatantly ignoring a supreme court verdict or something else of significant constitutional weight.

Quoting Tzeentch
?Banno As they do under any president. Trump's first presidency was nothing special, no fascism, no World War 3, no end of days, etc. and I see no reason to believe his second will be any different.


I find the events of the 6th of January definitely a constitutional event of note.

I would also fin invading a country without any backing in international or humanitarian law to be a constitutional event of note.
Banno January 25, 2025 at 00:11 #963398
Tobias January 25, 2025 at 00:25 #963400
Yes I saw this one. Though I do not think it fascist necessarily. It is a despicable act though. It does fit the play book to discredit and intimidate institutions that speak truth to power. Every government that is not blinded by ideology organizes countervailing powers that stimulate debate on the basis of best available knowledge. countries that silence such institutions tend to like to rule by emotion, appealing to the sound intuition of the masses rather then to knowledge.

I still feel that those guys from the 1930s had most to say about fascism and the way it comes to power: https://www.jstor.org/stable/1948164?seq=1

Banno January 25, 2025 at 00:42 #963403
Reply to Tobias Interesting read, especially the comments on capitalism. For the moment supporting Trump seems to be conducive to making a profit. As the rule of law is removed, so is market predictability and stability. I suspect there may already be some pressure from other billionaires for that dancing clown to tone it down a bit after his salute.
Tzeentch January 25, 2025 at 08:08 #963480
Quoting Tobias
Of course we have to settle on what 'of note' means.


I'm talking about fascism, obviously. Or anything catastrophic that is beyond the scope of what is normal for US presidents and is directly attributable to Trump. Keep in mind that he'll have Biden to contend with in terms of wanton incompetence.


Reply to Banno It's routine for US presidents to ruin some part of the world for profit during their term, so don't yap about personal consequences.
Tobias January 25, 2025 at 08:44 #963483
Quoting Tzeentch
I'm talking about fascism, obviously. Or anything catastrophic that is beyond the scope of what is normal for US presidents and is directly attributable to Trump. Keep in mind that he'll have Biden to contend with in terms of wanton incompetence


Yes, obviously, but you seem to have a rather ... peculiar... notion of what that term means. you think that cutting the subsidies of a member of the club that frustrates the clubs overall policy amounts to ' looming fascism' whereas threatening military action against against entirely peaceful nations does not. So what you consider fascism and what not is for me entirely unpredictable.

I can handle your second category but I would say that the events of the 6th of January fall out of the scope of what is normal. So I take it to mean that you hold such events will not take place anymore, that there will be a peaceful transfer of power to a legitimate successor, either democrat or republican, after fair and transparent elections and that he will indeed step down after four years, yes? Nor will there be an obvious puppet nominated after merely tokenist Republican party elections, such as someone from his family? In short, in four years elections proceed in a fashion previously considered in ways that are "normal for US presidential elections"? Moreover there will not be other significant constitutional events of note right, something like, say, an unconstitutional federal intervention in Californian policy suspending the rights traditionally held by States?

Are you really willing to put such a hefty amount of Tzeentch coins on the line?

Tobias January 25, 2025 at 08:56 #963485
Quoting Banno
For the moment supporting Trump seems to be conducive to making a profit. As the rule of law is removed, so is market predictability and stability. I suspect there may already be some pressure from other billionaires for that dancing clown to tone it down a bit after his salute.


They will uphold all the regulation in place necessary to support profitable markets, but cut all regulation aimed at preventing market failures. Every legal barrier to innovation will be taken away. Mind you that might not even be a bad idea, it is just a big gamble that will leave a great many people very miserable.
Tzeentch January 25, 2025 at 09:10 #963488
Quoting Tobias
Yes, obviously, but you seem to have a rather ... peculiar... notion of what that term means. you think that cutting the subsidies of a member of the club that frustrates the clubs overall policy amounts to ' looming fascism' whereas threatening military action against against entirely peaceful nations does not.


I pointed not just to the EU's actions vis-á-vis Hungary, but at a wider trend in the EU, involving the fact that it is an untransparent, undemocratic, authoritarian den of nepotism and corruption, which makes it a likelier candidate to develop into fascism than the US - which isn't to say that it is likely that it will.


Secondly, military action against peaceful nations is what the US does best. If you believe that shows the US is fascist, then it already is and has been for decades.

The US invades and destroys other nations like its their national pastime. But the term for this is 'jingoism', not fascism. Fascism refers to how a state is organized, not to a foreign policy.


Now, I appreciate the fact that a 1000 Tzeentch-coins represents a substantial value, but you're sort of missing the point. I don't care what definition of fascism you use. Use your own made up definition if you want to.


In four years no reasonable person will believe the US has become fascist by any definition of the word.
Tobias January 25, 2025 at 09:58 #963494

Quoting Tzeentch
I pointed not just to the EU's actions vis-á-vis Hungary, but at a wider trend in the EU, involving the fact that it is an untransparent, undemocratic, authoritarian den of nepotism and corruption, which makes it a likelier candidate to develop into fascism than the US - which isn't to say that it is likely that it will.


It is untransparent, I give you that. There is a democratic deficit, yes well known and freely discussed in academic and civil society circles, but where is the authoritarian part? In what way are its actions against Hungary, an authoritarian country which ranks 85th in the RSF Press Freedom Index, indicative of fascism per Paxton or any other credible researchers list?

Quoting Tzeentch
Secondly, military action against peaceful nations is what the US does best. If you believe that shows the US is fascist, then it already is and has been for decades.


In a world of rivalry between super powers i which the US might have indeed faced existential those interventions were unlawful and altogether criminal, but might have had a different justification than simply 'America first' . What matters is the motive, per Kant, whom you know well. This motive conforms to the last two on Paxton's list:
- the beauty of violence and the efficacy of will, when they are devoted to the group’s success;
- the right of the select group to dominate others without restraint from any kind of human or divine law, right being decided by the sole criterion of the group’s prowess within a Darwinian struggle.

Quoting Tzeentch
The US invades and destroys other nations like its their national pastime. But the term for this is 'jingoism', not fascism. Fascism refers to how a state is organized, not to a foreign policy.


Foreign policy cannot be separated from state organization, it is a part of it. A state is characterized by the way it exerts internal as well as external sovereignty. Or put differently, it projects its ideology inward as well as outward.

Quoting Tzeentch
In four years no reasonable person will believe the US has become fascist by any definition of the word.


Quoting Tzeentch
Secondly, military action against peaceful nations is what the US does best. If you believe that shows the US is fascist, then it already is and has been for decades.


Hmm compare the two quotes. There are certainly definitions of fascism thinkable under which the US can be labeled such ' for decades' as you suggest. I would not label the US as fascist in those days at all an still would not of course. Instead of bandying such words about I think we should agree on a list of common characteristics of fascism and see if these characteristics are displayed by a ruling government. You are dodging the point though. I laid out a couple of indicative events of note. They are all indications of a government moving to the far right (or far left but as there is not any indication of that I will not consider that). Will they or will they not occur?

Let me add to events of note by the way the prosecution of scores (a substantial number, not one, not two, but at least hundreds) of political opponents through either formal or informal means via employment bans and street intimidation.

For reference, these are your words from the previous post to which I reacted. Quoting Tzeentch
Who'd like to take me up on a bet that in 4 years nothing of particular note will have happened, and you all are a bunch of hysterics?


Now you are shifting from 'nothng of particular note' to a whole country becoming fascist. It is nigh impossible to label an entire country 'fascist', what we may assess is whether a country's government embraces a fascist ideology. The OP provided a list of characteristics, which seem reasonable to me. Can I conclude you renege on your offer? Such a pity, I was already counting them Tzeentch coins...

Tzeentch January 25, 2025 at 10:11 #963496
Quoting Tobias
Now you are shifting from 'nothng of particular note' to a whole country becoming fascist.


'Shifting' :rofl: If you fail to grasp that in a thread about fascism I was talking in the context of fascism then that sounds like your problem to me.
Tobias January 25, 2025 at 10:21 #963498
'Quoting Tzeentch
in 4 years nothing of particular note will have happened, and you all are a bunch of hysterics?


Ohhh... so ' something of particular note' is limited to the whole country becoming fascist? Everything else is ' not of a particular note' and If people warn of troubling trends short of blown fascism gripping the good old U S of A, they are a bunch of hysterics. I see. Well, too bad, I would have liked those coins, but alas, people do not put their money where their mouth is no more....
Tzeentch January 25, 2025 at 10:29 #963500
Reply to Tobias

Quoting Tzeentch
Now, I appreciate the fact that a 1000 Tzeentch-coins represents a substantial value, but you're sort of missing the point. I don't care what definition of fascism you use. Use your own made up definition if you want to.

In four years no reasonable person will believe the US has become fascist by any definition of the word.
Harry Hindu January 25, 2025 at 13:29 #963522
Quoting Banno
For the moment supporting Trump seems to be conducive to making a profit.

Yeah, just ask Nancy Pelosi.

The fact that you make some argument that is hypocritical in the light of the other side's actions just shows that either you live in a bubble, or you just don't care about being taken seriously.

Politicians are not nice, caring people. If you think that one side cares more for the common folk than the other, you're deluding yourself. Just watch Obama and Trump talking and smiling during Carter's funeral and you will see that they never thought he was a fascist. The left just wanted you think he was to manipulate you, and it appears they have succeeded.

Abandon the group-think and group-hate already. Evolve.

Quoting Tobias
I certainly take you up on it. Of course we have to settle on what 'of note' means. I predict that a major constitutional event will take place that furthers or tries to further the hold on power of current government circles, including, but not limited to, Presidents being allowed a third term, prosecution of political and social high profile figures on drummed up charges, the administrative branch blatantly ignoring a supreme court verdict or something else of significant constitutional weight.

Hasn't that already happened? The thing that each side seems to forget is that increasing the hold on power by one side is increasing it for the other as well. Both sides are stroking each other's ambitions of power while manipulating citizens like yourself into thinking short-term that it is only the other side that is power-hungry. By supporting the two-party status-quo you are enabling them and their aspirations of power.

Neither side is concerned about the country turning communist or fascist. They just want more power and authority.

After reading this thread, any reasonable person would walk away understanding that both sides are hypocrites and is pointless to keep supporting the status quo.

You want real change? Stop voting for Democrats and Republicans.
Tobias January 25, 2025 at 14:15 #963532
Quoting Tzeentch
Now, I appreciate the fact that a 1000 Tzeentch-coins represents a substantial value, but you're sort of missing the point. I don't care what definition of fascism you use. Use your own made up definition if you want to.

In four years no reasonable person will believe the US has become fascist by any definition of the word.


But Tzeentch I do not feel the need to make up any definitions. You do when you consider that the EU's treatment of Hungary is an indication of looming fascism. Nowhere though can withholding subsidies to member nations be found as an indication of fascism, except maybe Hungarian government propaganda, but I doubt even that does not go as far. I refer to the list provided by OP and made by Robert Paxton an expert on the subject.

I agree with you that diagnosing a certain government as fascist requires that ideology should be reflected in the institutional make up of a nation and requires practical events as indicators. At least, I assumed that you made this sensible point when you posed your challenge about 'nothing of note to happen'. However you refuse to back your point up by identifying what these evens of note might be.
That is a pity and I must assume that you mentioning 'nothing of note' is just idle rhetoric.

Quoting Harry Hindu
Hasn't that already happened? The thing that each side seems to forget is that increasing the hold on power by one side is increasing it for the other as well. Both sides are stroking each other's ambitions of power while manipulating citizens like yourself into thinking short-term that it is only the other side that is power-hungry. By supporting the two-party status-quo you are enabling them and their aspirations of power.

Neither side is concerned about the country turning communist or fascist. They just want more power and authority.

After reading this thread, any reasonable person would walk away understanding that both sides are hypocrites and is pointless to keep supporting the status quo.

You want real change? Stop voting for Democrats and Republicans.


I agree with you Harry, at least partially. The dems seem to have shot themselves in the foot and also maintain the status quo, not transforming the system itself, but keep expanding the powers of the executive branch. However that they are also short sighted, also power hungry and also willing to resist change does not mean they are ideologically equal.
frank January 25, 2025 at 14:23 #963534
Quoting Harry Hindu
You want real change? Stop voting for Democrats and Republicans.


I think the real political division in the West is moderates vs. extremists, with the moderates standing for old school liberalism and democracy. The extremists could be reactionary or progressive, but they have the same drive to upset the status quo.
Tzeentch January 25, 2025 at 15:14 #963542
Quoting Tobias
However you refuse to back your point up by identifying what these evens of note might be.


I've given you literally a blank check - 'fascism' can mean whatever you believe it means - and you still won't take the bet because you yourself evidently do not take the idea that the US may devolve into fascism of any description seriously either.

And if you're expecting me to wade into details about something I don't take seriously to begin with then you are sadly mistaken.
Harry Hindu January 25, 2025 at 15:29 #963546
Quoting frank
You want real change? Stop voting for Democrats and Republicans.
— Harry Hindu

I think the real political division in the West is moderates vs. extremists, with the moderates standing for old school liberalism and democracy. The extremists could be reactionary or progressive, but they have the same drive to upset the status quo.

I would say it's more a battle between authoritarianism and liberalism. In (what is suppose to be) a free society authoritarianism is the extreme.


Vera Mont January 25, 2025 at 15:36 #963547
Quoting Tzeentch
In four years no reasonable person will believe the US has become fascist by any definition of the word.

Only because the reasonable - and I will not debate the definition of 'reasonable' - people who have dared to speak out in public will have been silenced. Starting with those who - according to a definition most reasonable people have accepted for decades - have been warning about this particular threat for at least four years.
It's not the exact definition of the ism under which American democracy is utterly destroyed that people should be concerned about, but the means by which it is done.
frank January 25, 2025 at 15:53 #963549
Quoting Harry Hindu
would say it's more a battle between authoritarianism and liberalism. In (what is suppose to be) a free society authoritarianism is the extreme.


I think the perception is that liberalism ended up screwing people over and leaving them without reliable income or healthcare. Or the perception is that liberalism opened the door to changes people didn't want, like LGBTQ.
Tzeentch January 25, 2025 at 16:03 #963552
Quoting Vera Mont
Only because the reasonable - and I will not debate the definition of 'reasonable' - people who have dared to speak out in public will have been silenced.


Is this a prediction? Four years from now, no one will be speaking out in public against Trump because they will all have been silenced?

Given the absolute deluge of criticism that Trump has received and is receiving I find that very hard to believe. But hey, if you're willing to make that prediction then we have at last found someone who is taking the premise of this thread seriously.
NOS4A2 January 25, 2025 at 17:57 #963568
The looming fascism game is a trend that also happened during Trump’s first term, and it’s a rather clever racket. Pundits, activists, and experts predict a looming fascism and play live-action-roleplay for a few years. But, when it never arrives, instead of admitting their predictions were wrong they credit themselves, their friends, and their brilliant foresight for having stifled it from happening.
Vera Mont January 25, 2025 at 17:57 #963569
Quoting Tzeentch
Is this a prediction? Four years from now, no one will be speaking out in public against Trump because they will all have been silenced?

Yes - an obvious one. Trump has made it abundantly clear that he will replace all the top officials of agencies with people who will carry out his 'retribution'.
Quoting Tzeentch
But hey, if you're willing to make that prediction then we have at last found someone who is taking the premise of this thread seriously.

It's pretty damn serious already.
Tzeentch January 25, 2025 at 18:23 #963573
Relativist January 25, 2025 at 19:08 #963582
Reply to Vera Mont Reply to Tzeentch


A couple of recent events that add to the concerns about Trump: his firing of 12 Inspectors General, and his pardoning of the Proud Boys & Oath Keepers convicted of seditious conspiracy for planning the 1/6 Capitol break-in.

“Success is going to be retribution...We gotta do everything in our power to make sure that the next four years sets us up for the next 100 years.” -Enrique Tarrio, Proud Boys leader, convicted of seditious conspiracy for conspring to break into the Capitol on 1/6.

Banno January 25, 2025 at 19:19 #963583
Reply to Harry Hindu I don't think you understood my post. It was about how Tobi's article pointed out that the capitalists might back Trump only so far as he is profitable. If he is unpredictable or if his policies are otherwise not conducive to profit, they will not back him.

Quoting Tom Storm
'The word Fascism has now no meaning except in so far as it signifies "something not desirable"...'


And yet it is worth a glance at Paxton's definition.
Outlander January 25, 2025 at 20:29 #963600
Like, all of this is great and such (not really). But at the end of the day, each person is a Fascist by nature. Man is a domineering being. He simply would have perished under the harsh dominion and nature of either: the beasts of this world or unforgiving climate or propensity for food scarcity be it by season or event or what have you if he was not. He simply evolved (slightly) to realize what his predecessor failed to. Eventually, you'll discover you're wrong, and it placed you in a situation you have seemingly no choice but to act violently to change or escape from. This was the sole reality of the first man. Now, modern man realizes, or perhaps is forced to recognize, there's always going to be someone either A.) stronger or B.) smarter than you no -- no matter what you do. To an extent, a government has to deprive man of his primal need to use force. Not his right. But simply replace the daily and consistent part of his primal being that once defined his essence. You couldn't just walk down a street or send your kid to your neighbor's house or to the local library for half a day without a care in the world. It would've been a death sentence. But he'll never realize the sheer, jarring, shocking degree of how far society has yielded, not to the will or dominion of another, but to his very own as a result of alleviation of his burden of force to that of a higher and accountable governing power. Because, despite how far we've come, men will be men. And must always be kept in check.

It's the fact that out of the hundreds of other nations that go unreported and are globally acknowledged to not have the level of accountability of Western nations, the only concern, the one tired re-occurring theme, is the only nation that does have fair accountability and open press gets the whipping treatment. Such comedic scrutiny and lack of coherence transcends words like "pathetic" or "blatant" but truly shows what is wrong with a world that tries (and I assure you will ultimately fail) to sweep it's own inhumanity under a rug or keep it's closeted skeleton's undiscovered.

Fascism is everywhere. Wherever man lives, there will be fascism. It just so happens in this case, the only place it's allowed to be called out by those weak or strong, rich or poor, is under scrutiny. It's a joke. That's what it is, a tired joke those set to ending mankind's suffering has grown tired of and instinctively ignores. That's all.
NOS4A2 January 25, 2025 at 21:17 #963621
Reply to Outlander

There is a good book called The Three New Deals by Wolfgang Schivelbusch that details how similar the Fascist, National Socialist, and New deal programs were. Of course, to compare is not to equate, he writes, but all three of those leaders opposed liberalism, and desired a strong militarist and collectivist state.

Hitler told Ambassador William Dodd that he was “in accord with the President in the view that the virtue of duty, readiness for sacrifice, and discipline should dominate the entire people. These moral demands which the President places before every individual citizen of the United States are also the quintessence of the German state philosophy, which finds its expression in the slogan “The Public Weal Transcends the Interest of the Individual”’

That Nazi slogan “The Public Weal Transcends the Interest of the Individual” is the crux of fascism, found not only in Fascist iconography, but in Mussolini’s writings. I’ve heard variations of it uttered on this forum.

Vera Mont January 25, 2025 at 22:00 #963639
Reply to Relativist
Exactly what he said he would do, and most Americans dismissed as hyperbole. Many - I don't know how many - are still in denial. "He doesn't mean it... he can't do that... it's against the law... we have a Constitution... blah, blah blah." Five days in, some of those commentators have already kissed the ring. The rest are scribbling political cartoons which are not yet illegal, but far, far too late to have any effect.
frank January 25, 2025 at 22:07 #963644
Reply to NOS4A2
Yea, but Nazis hated Communists, so obviously collectivism wasn't all there was to fascism. It was also about recreating some mythical lost greatness.
BitconnectCarlos January 25, 2025 at 22:12 #963646
Quoting NOS4A2
That Nazi slogan “The Public Weal Transcends the Interest of the Individual” is the crux of fascism, found not only in Fascist iconography, but in Mussolini’s writings. I’ve heard variations of it uttered on this forum.


I'd consider myself as someone who broadly supports individual rights, but in the presence of an existential threat the group must act decisively to ensure its own survival and the preservation of the individual rights of the group. The problem is this principle is so easy to abuse.

It's ancient. Supposedly the reason Pharaoh enslaved the ancient Israelites is because they were multiplying too much and threatening the Egyptian state demographically.
frank January 25, 2025 at 22:20 #963654
Quoting BitconnectCarlos
Supposedly the reason Pharaoh enslaved the ancient Israelites is because they were multiplying too much and threatening the Egyptian state demographically.


They sold themselves into slavery because they were experiencing famine. But that's just a myth. There's no evidence that it happened.
Relativist January 25, 2025 at 22:27 #963664
Quoting NOS4A2
That Nazi slogan “The Public Weal Transcends the Interest of the Individual” is the crux of fascism, found not only in Fascist iconography, but in Mussolini’s writings.

That seems overly simplistic, but tell me if you think the proposition ("The Public Weal Transcends the Interest of the Individual”) is intrinsically false - meaning that it's necessarily wrong in all respects and in all contexts.
BitconnectCarlos January 25, 2025 at 22:29 #963665
Reply to frank

Exodus 1:9-10 (NIV)

Then a new king, to whom Joseph meant nothing, came to power in Egypt. "Look," he said to his people, "the Israelites have become far too numerous for us. Come, we must deal shrewdly with them; or they will become even more numerous and, if war breaks out, they will join our enemies, fight against us and leave the country."

It's a demographic fear. We see the same today - fears of certain populations growing.
frank January 25, 2025 at 22:36 #963670
Reply to BitconnectCarlos
They were already in slavery at the time. They weren't enslaved because they were numerous, right? Cline thinks the Exodus is a memory of the Bronze Age.
Tom Storm January 25, 2025 at 22:44 #963674
Quoting Banno
And yet it is worth a glance at Paxton's definition.


Yes, that definition probably encompasses Trump fairly well. Reading Ian Kershaw's rise of Hitler (Hubris) there are some parallels with Turmp. It’s also worth looking at Ian Dunt’s Origin Story podcast on fascism too. Was Hitler even a fascist? Or is the word specific to one political Italian story? An issue with understanding fascism is that definitions tend to focus on methods rather than central ideas. The notion of fascism (like some other movements) seems to be without theorists or thinkers. It's an approach more than a clear doctrine.
BitconnectCarlos January 25, 2025 at 22:46 #963676
Reply to frank

This passage is from before they were enslaved. I would agree with Cline. One of my favorites on this topic is Nahum Sarna who places these events around the 13th century BC so, yes, end of Bronze Age.

Even if the Exodus is completely made-up biblical writers still had this idea of disloyal demographic threat in mind.

EDIT: Earlier the Egyptians sell themselves to Joseph/the Egyptian state due to a famine. That is in Genesis.
frank January 25, 2025 at 23:12 #963686
Quoting BitconnectCarlos
Even if the Exodus is completely made-up biblical writers still had this idea of disloyal demographic threat in mind.


:up:
NOS4A2 January 25, 2025 at 23:39 #963694
Reply to Relativist

That seems overly simplistic, but tell me if you think the proposition ("The Public Weal Transcends the Interest of the Individual”) is intrinsically false - meaning that it's necessarily wrong in all respects and in all contexts.


There is no such thing as a “Public Weal”, just a bunch of people pretending they know what is and how to reach it. What they mean is their own interests transcend that of others, and that’s how it always turns out in practice.
Banno January 25, 2025 at 23:45 #963699
Reply to Tom Storm The F-word has little use, as can bee seen in this thread. But Trump does fit Paxton's list.

That'll do for now.

Quoting NOS4A2
There is no such thing as a “Public Weal”

Well, not any more, over where you are.
Relativist January 25, 2025 at 23:50 #963703
Quoting NOS4A2
There is no such thing as a “Public Weal”

There is at least the potential of a public interest.
Paine January 25, 2025 at 23:58 #963705
Quoting NOS4A2
There is no such thing as a “Public Weal”


That is odd to hear after your years of arguing for a particular vision of that above others.
NOS4A2 January 26, 2025 at 00:03 #963707
Reply to Relativist

There is at least the potential of a public interest.


What would that be?
BitconnectCarlos January 26, 2025 at 00:08 #963713
Reply to NOS4A2

Re: public weal -- disease prevention, crime prevention, cleanliness are a few that come to mind.
Relativist January 26, 2025 at 00:11 #963715
Reply to NOS4A2 A non-controversial example is law enforcement. Also: minimizing air and water pollution.

Vera Mont January 26, 2025 at 00:19 #963722
Quoting NOS4A2
There is no such thing as a “Public Weal”, just a bunch of people pretending they know what is and how to reach it.

With respect, Roosevelt had some pretty serious public problems o contend with: mass unemployment, homelessness, people literally starving. What he did actually helped the economy and the population get back on their feet. It's not quite the same as giving huge whacks of public money to one's political supporters.
Tobias January 26, 2025 at 01:47 #963741
Quoting Vera Mont
It's not the exact definition of the ism under which American democracy is utterly destroyed that people should be concerned about, but the means by which it is done.


Good point!
NOS4A2 January 26, 2025 at 02:53 #963750
Reply to Vera Mont

With respect, Roosevelt had some pretty serious public problems o contend with: mass unemployment, homelessness, people literally starving. What he did actually helped the economy and the population get back on their feet. It's not quite the same as giving huge whacks of public money to one's political supporters.


Hitler did the same. It’s true that war economies work, especially when you have an army of unemployed young men and women at your disposals, but it’s not quite clear if the benefits outweigh the costs.
Vera Mont January 26, 2025 at 05:11 #963755
Quoting NOS4A2
Hitler did the same.

Hitler did nothing remotely similar.
Quoting NOS4A2
It’s true that war economies work,

Yes, except that the New Dealdidn't create a war economy. It was about labour unions and financial reform, social security and agriculture. Only after the attack on Pearl Harbor that FDR prepared for war.
There is no comparison and it's disingenuous to claim one.
ssu January 26, 2025 at 13:00 #963785
Quoting Banno
The F-word has little use, as can bee seen in this thread.

Would the rapid decline of the liberal democracy and replacement of it with populist autocracy that is supported by few extremely wealthy oligarchs do? That really doesn't fit the f-ideology. That the democratic institutions become mere shadows of themselves and the liberal rule based order be replaced by might makes right as in the 19th Century? In the f-ideology the state institutions ought to be extremely powerful and dominant the extreme rich totally dependent on the state.

There is no ideology here to see, no 20th Century ideology as we have learnt. The only hugely popular accurate definition used by various different commentators (both American and foreign) is transactional. Everything is transactional. Trump supporters will define it as Trump measuring everything as what is profitable for the US and his opponents as what is profitable for Trump himself. If there's some guiding light in Trump's action, it is this transactional attitude toward everything. It explains the Trump talk of Europe "owing" to the US when the countries are spending less of defense.
frank January 26, 2025 at 14:02 #963792
Quoting ssu
It explains the Trump talk of Europe "owing" to the US when the countries are spending less of defense.


I think what's finally dying out is the idea that the US is supposed to have global influence. That was cold war ideology. The new US only takes care of itself. That's been coming for a while.

Regarding Elon Musk using the government to advance his interests, that sounds bad, but that would be normal in Japan. The Japanese don't have the history of strife between government and big business. Maybe that has also needed to change in the US.

Still, change is scary.
Harry Hindu January 26, 2025 at 14:14 #963794
Quoting frank
I think the perception is that liberalism ended up screwing people over and leaving them without reliable income or healthcare. Or the perception is that liberalism opened the door to changes people didn't want, like LGBTQ.

I would say that the "Liberals" were no longer liberals. Once you start telling others what they can say or think you've crossed over into authoritarianism.

Sure, they like to label themselves as liberals and progressives, but they are anything but. Authoritarianism is not progressive or liberal. They keep the label to influence the sheep into thinking they are sheep like them when they are a wolf instead, and know that most of their constituents will believe what they are told without question, and if you do question it then you're a heretic. Political parties have essentially become religions.

I no longer call them liberals. They are leftists. Libertarians are the true liberals.

The right is no different - using the term "freedom" instead of "liberal" when they are just as likely to impose their religion on you and call it "freedom". If the Dems had their way, we'd be a communist state. If the right had their way, we'd be a theological state. Both sides are playing us against each other, focusing our attention on each other rather than on them - the real oppressors.
frank January 26, 2025 at 14:21 #963796
Reply to Harry Hindu
I agree. When Americans talk about liberals or leftists, they mean people who favor solutions from the federal government and greater centralized authority. Historically, it's been American rightists who tried to protect democracy.
Harry Hindu January 26, 2025 at 14:22 #963797
Quoting Banno
I don't think you understood my post. It was about how Tobi's article pointed out that the capitalists might back Trump only so far as he is profitable. If he is unpredictable or if his policies are otherwise not conducive to profit, they will not back him.

I understood your point. You did not understand mine. Would you support a incumbent when you have lost money during their tenure, or does your politics not allow you to make sound financial decisions?

It seems to me that if Trump started to control speech, Elon would drop him like a bag of garbage.

Trump supported both Democrats and Republicans before he ran, and his support earned him the same benefits that any donor gets. This is nothing new. Again, both sides do it.

ssu January 26, 2025 at 14:59 #963802
Quoting frank
I think what's finally dying out is the idea that the US is supposed to have global influence. That was cold war ideology. The new US only takes care of itself. That's been coming for a while.

Well, it's taking a lousy effort to take care of itself. Because a lot of what it has depends on that it is a Superpower. Yet many think it's just the sheer awesomeness of the US that it has this role.

Starting from the role of the dollar. Without the US being the Superpower, there is no reason to give it's currency a special role global arena. The US dollar naturally would be important, but then it would be just one among many, just like basically the role that the euro has in international trade. This gives the US the ability to spend totally recklessly and have no worries about a current account crisis. It really affects the life of every American. We could be easily repeating the lines that only now Russia and China are talking about the "unfair" role that the US enjoys.

Then continuing to the simple fact that other countries listen to what the US president says. They don't listen to the prime minister of India says so much. Not even the Chinese leader gathers so much interest.That the West welcomes the US leadership role is again solely because of it's alliances and it's relations and it being a Superpower. In the 1930's or earlier that wasn't the case. So how much did the World listen to some US President? Only brief episode after WW1 was there a role for the US, but that went away quickly as the US went back home and withdrew.

It's sheer stupidity from the US to think that NATO isn't the Crown jewel of it's hegemony. A whole First World union equivalent of the size of the US has entrusted it's security to the US and wants the US to take the lead. How stupid can one be in giving up this dominant position? At worst make your allies former allies and either lukewarm or even hostile to you? It's now been repeated so many times over that the US possibly won't be there for it's allies that Europeans have understood this. Yet the Europeans are still treating the talks about Greenland as "Trump talk", but if Trump literally will want to expand the territory of the US as he said, even the most obstinate supporter of America's role in the security of Europe might change their heart.

I think the main reason is that nobody is telling to the Americans how their economy and thus their way of life has been depended on the country having the role it has. Nobody can tell Donald Trump what is the real price for him if the US would leave NATO.
frank January 26, 2025 at 15:17 #963804
Quoting ssu
Well, it's taking a lousy effort to take care of itself. Because a lot of what it has depends on that it is a Superpower. Yet many think it's just the sheer awesomeness of the US that it has this role.


It's actually not a stable situation to have only one superpower. There needs to be at least two.

Quoting ssu
The US dollar naturally would be important, but then it would be just one among many,


No, global trade needs one currency. It's the dollar now because the Chinese want it to be the dollar. When they change their minds, it will become the yuan.

Quoting ssu
Then continuing to the simple fact that other countries listen to what the US president says.


They shouldn't. Remember what happened to Syria?

Quoting ssu
I think the main reason is that nobody is telling to the Americans how their economy and thus their way of life has been depended on the country having the role it has.


The US debt will never be paid. It will disappear in the next global economic catastrophe. Everyone will start over and Americans will turn back to their own resources. As climate change sets in, the global network will weaken. War will become the norm again. I imagine the US will continue to maintain a nuclear arsenal and use it occasionally.

Quoting ssu
Nobody can tell Donald Trump what is the real price for him if the US would leave NATO.


Trump is 78. He may or may not get around to leaving NATO. Unless the Democrats come up with a superstar, the next president will be Vance, the "dark enlightenment" guy. Even if the Democrats do win an election, the cold war crew is gone. There is no reason to support Europe. The UK maybe, but not Europe.



ssu January 26, 2025 at 15:39 #963807
Quoting frank
No, global trade needs one currency.

Nonsense!

Have you ever heard of a system called a market? And it's simple math to trade with a basket of currencies. No, seriously, the global economy doesn't need one currency. For the vast majority of human history there hasn't been a currency in the role as the dollar was post WW2. This is the major fallacy that Americans seem to have about their awesomeness. It's all related to WW2 and the role the US dollar was given in the post-war system. Ask just why would the Arab states buy an sell their oil in dollars if it wasn't the security guarantees that the US has given to them?

Quoting frank
. It's the dollar now because the Chinese want it to be the dollar. When they change their minds, it will become the yuan.

When the global system is dollar based, why not. China doesn't want a conflict with the American Superpower and China simply isn't as aggressive as the US portays it to be. But yes, that can change...

In China’s telling, these strategies are less about offense — trying to dethrone the U.S. dollar or replacing it in the global system with the renminbi — and more about defense: strengthening China’s financial security and reducing its geo-economic vulnerabilities within the existing dollar-dominated global economic and financial system. Beijing wants to minimize its exposure to a potential dollar liquidity crunch and ensure its continued access to global capital markets even during times of geopolitical crisis.

No Chinese leaders have publicly expressed an intention to dethrone the dollar despite escalating geopolitical and trade tensions between the U.S. and China beginning in 2018. However, as those tensions persist, Chinese financial regulators and scholars have explicitly expressed concerns about Beijing’s vulnerabilities and urged government officials to step up efforts to protect the financial system.

Fang Xinghai, vice chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, has cautioned that China should urgently prepare for the possibility of being removed from the U.S. dollar-based global payment system — a form of “forced financial decoupling.” In such a scenario, Chinese entities would lose the ability to access the U.S. dollar or use it to conduct international transactions.


Hence it's obvious that the Chinese have had to think about this, especially seeing what happened to Russia after Putin invaded Ukraine. You can face then sanctions and severe problems in trade, but it's not an existential threat as Russia has shown. If they would invade Taiwan, the most likely response would be sanctions, freezing of assets and difficulties in normal trade.

Quoting frank
They shouldn't. Remember what happened to Syria?

What are you referring to? The line in the sand -speech by Obama?

Quoting frank
The US debt will never be paid. It will disappear in the next global economic catastrophe.

Well, then I guess it's paid with inflation. Looking forward to that 1000$ Big Mac? With a 1000$ Big Mac a trillion dollars isn't so much money. And there will be many trillionaires around.

Quoting frank
Everyone will start over and Americans will turn back to their own resources.

Oh don't be so dramatic. An economic crisis is just a rearrangement of assets and some generations finishing unemployed until they. But if you have invested well, you will profit from the debacle. And what "turning back to their own resources" are you talking about? That sounds very Trumpian. Do understand that the existence of our societies has always depended on trade.


frank January 26, 2025 at 15:46 #963808
Reply to ssu
Look up dark enlightenment. That's vice president Vance, soon to be President Vance.
NOS4A2 January 26, 2025 at 16:34 #963818
Reply to Vera Mont

I didn’t claim it. I cited a well-researched book from a German historian. It’s called The Three New Deals by Wolfgang Schivelbusch. I recommend it. Here’s some quotes from the arch-fascist himself:

The question is often asked in America and in Europe just how much ‘Fascism’ the American President’s program contains. Reminiscent of Fascism is the principle that the state no longer leaves the economy to its own devices, having recognized that the welfare of the economy is identical with the welfare of the people. Without question, the mood accompanying this sea change resembles that of Fascism. More than that cannot be said at the moment.

- Mussolini


You want to know what fascism is like? It is like your New Deal!

- Mussolini




BC January 26, 2025 at 16:59 #963821
You want to know what fascism is like? It is like your New Deal!


Reminiscent of Fascism is the principle that the state no longer leaves the economy to its own devices


When I look for fascistic features I generally don't look at social security, unemployment insurance, public works programs, and the like as examples. Or, was it the rapid marshaling of government programs that struck Mussolini as fascistic? Fascists are not alone in managing economies. Are programs which alleviate poverty fascistic in nature?

The view that government economic policy is fascistic leads me to wonder about the relationship between fascism and libertarianism, which finds government activities so repugnant.

Arcane Sandwich January 26, 2025 at 17:26 #963829
Reply to BC I think we can agree that fascism isn't a particularly coherent system of beliefs. It's based on sentiment, there is no rational ideology behind it. It works because it riles people up into a sort of raptured state of mind. This is accomplished by Romanticist rhetoric, such as "Neither Right nor Left", and "The Nation is the Hegelian dialectical synthesis of Bourgeois and Proletarians". It's a tricky rhetoric to deal with, because it's arguably Napoleonic in intent, though not in actual language.
BC January 26, 2025 at 17:27 #963830
Quoting Vera Mont
Only after the attack on Pearl Harbor that FDR prepared for war.


Had FDR waiting until Pearl Harbor to prepare for a war that was already well underway in Europe and Asia at the end of 1941, we would have had one hell of a time. The level of war production ramped up steeply in 1942 and following, certainly. Remember the pre-Pearl Harbor Lend - Lease program.
BC January 26, 2025 at 17:44 #963834
Thanks!

Quoting Arcane Sandwich
I think we can agree that fascism isn't a particularly coherent system of beliefs. It's based on sentiment, there is no rational ideology behind it. It works because it riles people up into a sort of raptured state of mind.


Very much so.

Fascism has also been characterized as "a style" -- by which I do not mean a mere preference for brown shirts and goose stepping. "Style" would include the regular crude use of force, ruthlessness, crass manipulation of the public, the deployment of sappy 'Volk' sentimentality (like PATRIOTISM), etc.

"It works because it riles people up into a sort of raptured state of mind." Indeed.
Arcane Sandwich January 26, 2025 at 17:49 #963835
Quoting BC
Fascism has also been characterized as "a style" -- by which I do not mean a mere preference for brown shirts and goose stepping. "Style" would include the regular crude use of force, ruthlessness, crass manipulation of the public, the deployment of sappy 'Volk' sentimentality (like PATRIOTISM), etc.


I'll quote one of my favorite philosophers here, because he explains "style" much better than me:

Quoting Graham Harman, Guerilla Metaphysics, p. 55
I once knew an arrogant sculptor who snapped at some remarks about artistic style that were made in his presence. It was proposed during a con­versation that one might design a computer capable of generating count­less new works in the style of an already known author or musician. The sculptor objected to this notion, not in the manner of a luddite, but that of someone quite confident in a specific philosophical position: "there is no such thing as a style apart from the sum total of works an artist has pro­duced." Whatever the merits of this position, they are opposed by the entire phenomenological tradition, and in my view rightly so. A style is actually not a mere concept abstracted from numerous singular cases, but an actual reality that none of its manifestations can exhaust. One can hear a newly discovered Charlie Parker recording and immediately recognize the style; one can and will say that "that solo is really classic Bird," even though up till now it was not part of the known Parker oeuvre. We sense that a certain person does not really belong in Brooklyn or in the military just by their general style, without being able to pinpoint any disqualifying factors. In this sense, styles are no different from intentional objects as defined by Husserl, which lie beyond any of their current profiles and even any of their possible profiles. We can say of any object that it is not a bun­dle of specific qualities, nor a bare unitary substratum, but rather a style. And although style is not often seen as one of Merleau-Ponty's key tech­nical terms, I would suggest that it may be the most important of them all -just as his personal style of seeing the world is surely his most lasting contribution to philosophy.
NOS4A2 January 26, 2025 at 18:16 #963839
Reply to BC

When I look for fascistic features I generally don't look at social security, unemployment insurance, public works programs, and the like as examples. Or, was it the rapid marshaling of government programs that struck Mussolini as fascistic? Fascists are not alone in managing economies. Are programs which alleviate poverty fascistic in nature?


You’re right, such programs themselves are not an indication of fascism, since policy predate fascism. If anything welfare statism is the product of European conservatism. But fascism is totalitarian. So the closer one trends towards totalitarianism, the more fascist one can appear. And the idea that only the state can solve the world’s problems is a totalitarian idea.

Roosevelt was open about his admiration for the Prussian militaristic tradition, collectivism, and a strong militaristic state. Include on top of that the deluge of state propaganda during that time and we have a situation ripe for scathing criticism, especially from the laissez-faire inclinations of The Old Right, many of whom were proto libertarians.


Vera Mont January 26, 2025 at 18:33 #963843
Reply to NOS4A2
I remain unimpressed by your sources. Quoting BC
The level of war production ramped up steeply in 1942 and following, certainly. Remember the pre-Pearl Harbor Lend - Lease program.

Okay, he did want to join the fight against Hitler and help France and England, but mostly, he was concerned about being unable to defend the US in case of attack. He persuaded - not forced - business and political leaders to co-operate and to approve his initiative. Readiness is not the same as preparation to invade. Still no similarity to Hitler. Incidentally, this armaments initiative also prompted the desegregation of the defence industry.
Arcane Sandwich January 26, 2025 at 18:53 #963845
Reply to BC When I was a teenager I started to get interested in politics. I remember that we learned about the Second World War in school, and I recall that I couldn't get my head around the concept of fascism. I mean, I understood the thing about the bundle of sticks, and all of that dumb imagery, but I just couldn't understand the fascist mentality, beyond the rhetoric.

So, I talked with my family, but since none of them had ever been fascists, they couldn't quite explain "the gist" of it to me. So, my grandmother (a moderate conservative of Basque heritage, who happened to be married to my grandfather, a moderate conservative of Italian descent), took it upon herself to "explain fascism to me". The conversation went like this:

Her: "Mussolini asked a crowd of people: 'Pópolo, ¿Qué quiere? ¿Manteca, o Cañones?" (People, what do you want, butter or cannons?"

Me: "Butter."

Her: "No, they want Cannons!"

Me: "Why? You can eat butter, you can't eat cannons."

Her: "It's not about what you can eat, that's not the idea."

Me: "Then what is the idea? What is it about?"

Her: "If you choose butter, then that means that you stay at home, like a coward, doing nothing but eating toast with butter. If you choose cannons, then that means that you're brave, that you're proud to go to war."

Me: "That sounds stupid to me. I prefer to stay at home like a coward, eating toast with butter, instead of risking my life in a war just so that I can convince myself and others that I'm brave."

Her: "Then you don't understand fascism."

Me: "No, I don't."

And I suppose that I never really did. Understand fascism, that is. I mean, I understand it to the extent that I see it as right wing populism. I don't see how it can be anything else.
NOS4A2 January 26, 2025 at 19:19 #963848
Reply to Vera Mont

I remain unimpressed by your sources.


Probably because you haven’t read them.
BC January 27, 2025 at 01:23 #963901
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
Me: "That sounds stupid to me. I prefer to stay at home like a coward, eating toast with butter, instead of risking my life in a war just so that I can convince myself and others that I'm brave."

Her: "Then you don't understand fascism."


I too prefer toast and butter and haven't found a cause for which dying seemed like a good idea.

In the last few decades, the practice of valorizing soldiers and military-adjacent agents like police has become more noticeable, more common in the US. Flags and flag-waving has become more prominent in some circles. Personally, I've been falling through a hole in the flag since the 1960s (per HAIR!) It sometimes sounds like the only citizens who possess and display courage, self-sacrifice, grit, and loyalty are people in uniforms.

Usually, this rhetoric of the patriot's game is voiced by people who are quite conservative, whether they served in the military or not.

A fascination with uniforms, flags, chains of command, obedient service, weapons, and so on isn't in itself fascist. Sprinkle holy water on the troops, and one is a little bit closer. [Contrarywise, U.S. United Methodists and Evangelical Lutherans, among others, no longer allow flags in the sanctuary, or allow their display during veterans' funerals.)
Vera Mont January 27, 2025 at 03:49 #963915
Quoting BC
A fascination with uniforms, flags, chains of command, obedient service, weapons, and so on isn't in itself fascist. Sprinkle holy water on the troops, and one is a little bit closer.

Here it is again: style. It's all about the how. Add heritage, racial purity and the right to bully those who disagree and you have the full Monty.

The American New Deal bears a resemblance to Hitler's and Mussolini's version in that apples, oranges and lemons are all fruit. The difference is in motive, means and method.
180 Proof January 27, 2025 at 14:32 #963950
[quote=Arcane Sandwich]I understand [fascism] to the extent that I see it as right wing populism. I don't see how it can be anything else.[/quote]
No doubt. To wit:
[quote=Roger Scruton, 2017]Populists are politicians who appeal directly to the people when they should be consulting the political process, and who are prepared to set aside procedures and legal niceties when the tide of public opinion flows in their favor. Like Donald Trump, populists can win elections. Like Marine Le Pen in France and Geert Wilders in the Netherlands, they can disrupt the long-standing consensus of government. Or, like Nigel Farage and the Brexiteers in Britain, they can use the popular vote to overthrow all the expectations and predictions of the political class. But they have one thing in common, which is their preparedness to allow a voice to passions that are neither acknowledged nor mentioned in the course of normal politics. And for this reason, they are not democrats but demagogues — not politicians who guide and govern by appeal to arguments, but agitators who stir the unthinking feelings of the crowd.[/quote]

Vera Mont January 27, 2025 at 14:43 #963951
Flags, crosses, guns and torches.
Arcane Sandwich January 27, 2025 at 16:37 #963973
Quoting BC
I too prefer toast and butter and haven't found a cause for which dying seemed like a good idea.


I'd willingly die for many causes, such as saving the life of a family member or a friend, for example. I'm not willing to die for a fascist cause, because fascist causes strike me as unjust and irrational to begin with. So, if I have to choose between going to war simply for the sake of "being brave" or staying in my house like a coward, then I'd rather be a coward.

Quoting BC
Usually, this rhetoric of the patriot's game is voiced by people who are quite conservative, whether they served in the military or not.


I consider myself a left wing Argentine patriot, in the tradition of Mariano Moreno. I don't condone the actions of Argentine right wingers, even if they call themselves patriots just as much as I do. And if for some reason the conflicts in our society escalate to the point of physical violence, then I'm willing to fight them, and to die in such a fight. I believe that such is the nature of a civil war. I don't want to die, and I don't want a civil war to occur. All I'm saying is that I, personally, am ready to fight and even to die if such are the circumstances. I don't think that this has anything to do with fascism (at least not on my side, I'm sure the right wingers think that fascism is "a good thing").

Quoting BC
A fascination with uniforms, flags, chains of command, obedient service, weapons, and so on isn't in itself fascist. Sprinkle holy water on the troops, and one is a little bit closer.


I think that those are necessary but insufficient causes of fascism. The rhetoric seems (to my mind, at least) to have more brainwashing power than the mere symbols, iconography, and other purely aesthetic, organizational, or structural elements. In other words, no chain of command or obedient service is more persuasive to the fascist mind than the idea that going to war is inherently better for some reason than staying in your house eating toast with butter. It's this last part that makes no rational sense to me, because I suspect that at the end of the day, it has nothing to do with reason. It's pure, irrational sentiment, similar in some sense to the blind faith of Kierkegaard's fideistic "knight of faith". That's why the fascist slogan is "Believe, Obey, Fight", instead of "Liberty, Equality, Fraternity" which was the slogan of the French Revolution.
BC January 27, 2025 at 18:48 #963983
Vera Mont January 27, 2025 at 19:57 #963989
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
I think that those are necessary but insufficient causes of fascism.


I don't think what we perceive of as fascist politics need a reason or even an ideology, beyond the flag-wearing, boot-stomping masculine bonding rituals. All you need is a bunch of disaffected, frustrated, insecure people and a guy to come along and give loud voice to all that grievance. He then needs to point to a culprit - preferably a recognizable and relatively weak group of scapegoats: "They are the cause of all your problems! They are the reason you can't get a job, can't keep a girlfriend, can't stop drinking...." If he can enlist God - "God is angry because you let them behave in this way." so much the better. That worked for all the OT prophets.
It's not that hard to collect a number of factions with otherwise unrelated agendas under the umbrella of "I can stopthem doing whatever you don't like!" It works for every demagogue, whether they nominally belong to an established political faction or not.
Arcane Sandwich January 27, 2025 at 20:10 #963991
Reply to Vera Mont Indeed. The fascist appeals to the irrational sentiments of his followers. He riles them up with vitriolic rhetoric about some other group of people who, for some reason, must take the blame for every key societal problem. Those that end up with a sort of raptured state of mind (i.e., in awe of the fascist concept of the nation) are the ones that will most likely climb up the ranks to become intermediaries: captains, lieutenants, and whatnot. Those who fail to experience such awe-inspiring psychological phenomena will most likely be the rank and file grunts. They're still fascists, but merely because they just "take the leader's word for it". They hope to become as "enlightened" as their commanding officers, that is, they hope to achieve the sort of mystical revelation that they believe their superiors have already achieved. It's really just delusions bordering on something similar to psychosis at the end of the day.
Vera Mont January 28, 2025 at 02:08 #964059
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
The fascist appeals to the irrational sentiments of his followers.

What I was trying to get across is that it's not 'irrational sentiments'. People have real problems that the government has failed to address - and in many cases, even to acknowledge. They feel unvalued and ignored. If they're not significant enough numbers to make a difference in elections, politicians do tend to ignore them. Business interests, landowners, unscrupulous preachers manipulate and exploit them with impunity: the government doesn't protect them. They grow resentful and mistrustful. They're not interested in enlightenment; they want something in particular: prayer in their schools, an all-white neighbourhood, free range for their cattle on public lands, better jobs and housing, health insurance, a ban on abortion, no limit on the arsenal they can own, no competition from immigrants - something. Each of the groups wants something different. They don't know why they can't have it, so they're generally angry with everyone in a position of authority.
Each of these inconsequential groups is powerless to get what it wants.
But when a local politician who presents as anti-authority taps into the discontent of two or more groups, he can become czar of his region - since, once he's elected, he does control all the agencies of authority.
And when a federal organization, fronted by a self-proclaimed champion of all the aggrieved factions, organizes the various groups into a coalition, there remains only to direct their anger at an available target and keep beating on the war-drums. They'll bring their own pitchforks.

Of course, if there is a real national problem - failing economy, pressure from foreign powers, large influx of incompatible immigrants, severe weather events, a military defeat - the entire population is insecure and uncomfortable; the very underpinnings of the social structure come into question and the nation can be mobilized very quickly behind a promise of solutions.
Arcane Sandwich January 28, 2025 at 02:45 #964068
Reply to Vera Mont Sure. As Ernesto Laclau would say, regarding the modus operandi of populism, the reclamos become demandas. Equivalence chains propagate to a polarizing degree, in such a way that disenfranchised individuals crystalize into a more or less homogeneous (or better yet, homogenized) mass, in increasing opposition to "the powers that be", i.e., the government. Career politicians must navigate the particularly complicated jungle of demands in such a way that the aforementioned homogenized mass becomes increasingly heterogeneous instead. That is, it's in the best interest of those that govern, to meet each demand separately, since this is the most effective strategy for mass disarticulation. Fascist leaders understand that such top-down efforts to disarticulated a discontent and radicalized mass goes against their own plans for seizing power, hence they need to double down on their vitriolic rhetoric. Argentina already underwent the rise of fascist groups and right wing populism that now characterizes the political landscape of the USA. Several times, I might add. We had five military coups (some count six) during the 20th century alone, plus the phenomenon of Peronism, which is a real head-scratcher for everyone, Argentines included.
Vera Mont January 28, 2025 at 04:16 #964083
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
Fascist leaders understand that such top-down efforts to disarticulated a discontent and radicalized mass goes against their own plans for seizing power, hence they need to double down on their vitriolic rhetoric.

That comes fairly late in the game. First, and for a longish time, government must be rendered unable to to meet the demands. That is, some faction or factions opposed to the public weal must have influence in or on the government long before the figurehead emerges. This influence is usually economic. While financial interests don't intend to bring about any particular ism, their cumulative activities in industry, media and politics set the stage for populist leaders.

Arcane Sandwich January 28, 2025 at 16:52 #964162
Reply to Vera Mont All I can say is that I hope that the different radicalized right wing groups that have formed in the USA as of late don't keep proliferating. At the end of the day, Truth is not on their side, so it shouldn't be impossible to verbally show them the errors of their ways, by means of critical thinking, respectful dialogue, and well intentioned comedy. I say "verbally" because I believe that they shouldn't be physically confronted unless it's absolutely necessary to do so -for example, if they attempt to seize power by taking over the White House. In that case, if law enforcement (both state and federal) can't deal with them for some reason (i.e., they are too numerous, so that they effectively overrun law enforcement) then, and perhaps only then, civilians are entirely justified in joining the fray and physically fighting them, even if it's to the death. But by that point, the conflict has effectively turned into a civil war. This should be avoided at all costs, if possible. It will always be preferable to confront fascists with words, not force.

Count Timothy von Icarus January 28, 2025 at 17:14 #964163
Reply to Arcane Sandwich

Ah, but when it comes to dealing with fascists, cannons have generally proved more effective than sticks of butter.

The current far-right's obsession with fighting seems to me to be well explained by Francis Fukuyama's employment of Nietzsche's "Last Man." In a society where everyone is given the same basic level of recognition, and where their basic biological needs are met by the welfare state, the individual loses any particular recognition (thumos). Your typical alt-right member is faced with the prospect of degenerating into Nietzsche's "Last Man." Their culture sees them primarily as consumers, and even in their own eyes they see themselves degraded into bovine consumers (perhaps a result of trends in modern education that, as C.S. Lewis put it, "produce men without chests.")

This phenomena isn't unique to the far-right. I think it explains the widespread popularity of post-apocalyptic media. The basic idea is "if everything falls apart I can actually become a hero, actually have a meaningful life," or even "war or crisis will help make me into something more heroic." And this also helps explain the phenomena of the "Manosphere," and other changes in patterns of consumption (e.g. "tactical" everything flying off the shelves, people driving off-road vehicles for their suburban commutes, etc.).

It's particularly strong in the sphere of gender politics because sex is one of the last things to be wholly commodified. Hence, sex remains a strong source of validation. And yet, as de Beauvoir points out, Hegel's lord-bondsman dialectic ends up playing out between men and woman, because the misogynist, having denigrated woman, can no longer receive meaningful recognition from her.

You also see this in complaints of the "HRification" of the workplace and schools, or "longhousing."

This search for meaning helps explain why far right circles have also surprisingly become enclaves of the humanities. From an apologetic perspective, the entire "movement's" interest in tradition and the classics would seem to offer a promising avenue for rebutting its more toxic ideas, but I think the dominant philosophy of the academy closes off such an avenue. The trend has been more to "decolonize" syllabi. Required courses might focus on social justice, but the idea that all college graduates would be at least somewhat familiar with a "canon" seems to be increasingly a dead letter.

The call to a "collective greatness" is a particularly powerful siren song if the alternative is largely a pluralistic hedonism.

I think Nietzsche's "Overman," so very popular in these circles, is itself a sort of the fever dream of the Last Man. It is to the Last Man that the goal of becoming an Overman seems so alluring.

Tom Storm January 28, 2025 at 19:33 #964191
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
In that case, if law enforcement (both state and federal) can't deal with them for some reason (i.e., they are too numerous, so that they effectively overrun law enforcement) then, and perhaps only then, civilians are entirely justified in joining the fray and physically fighting them, even if it's to the death


Do we have good reason to assume that law enforcement isn't already a large part of this group?

Quoting Vera Mont
Of course, if there is a real national problem - failing economy, pressure from foreign powers, large influx of incompatible immigrants, severe weather events, a military defeat - the entire population is insecure and uncomfortable; the very underpinnings of the social structure come into question and the nation can be mobilized very quickly behind a promise of solutions.


Yes - particularly if elements of the media have been priming people for decades - catastrophizing, intensifying differences, finding scapegoats, promoting hatreds, conflicts and unrest, etc.
Arcane Sandwich January 28, 2025 at 19:45 #964193
Quoting Tom Storm
Do we have good reason to assume that law enforcement isn't already a large part of this group?


Yes, I do. Assuming that the Waco siege is indicative of such differences, of course. I could also mention Ruby Ridge, or the Oklahoma City bombing, or the apprehension of the Unabomber, among other cases. State and federal law enforcement are not beyond reproach, especially considering issues such as racism for example, as evidenced in many cases, ranging from Rodney King to George Floyd. That being said, I don't see how law enforcement agents, racist as they might be, would align themselves with someone such as Timothy McVeigh. Cops in general might be right wingers, but they don't seem to be sympathetic towards domestic terrorism. Because that is what you're effectively dealing with when a group of people plans to take over the White House: it's domestic terrorism.
Tom Storm January 28, 2025 at 19:54 #964195
Reply to Arcane Sandwich Do you think the police and military would oppose Trump should he decide to suspend the constitution and remain in power as a totalitarian ruler?
Arcane Sandwich January 28, 2025 at 19:54 #964196
Reply to Count Timothy von Icarus Let me think about this, since the points that you're making are quite complex.
Arcane Sandwich January 28, 2025 at 19:57 #964197
Quoting Tom Storm
Do you think the police and military would oppose Trump should he decide to suspend the constitution and remain in power as a totalitarian ruler?


Do I think that would happen? I've no idea. The police and the military aren't immune to corruption, ideological or otherwise. If they were, then there would be no reason for Internal Affairs or military courts to exist. Would I like to believe that they would oppose such tyrannical measures? Yes, I would indeed like to believe that.
AmadeusD January 28, 2025 at 19:57 #964198
Quoting Count Timothy von Icarus
This phenomena isn't unique to the far-right.


Its not unique at all.
Vera Mont January 28, 2025 at 20:13 #964201
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
All I can say is that I hope that the different radicalized right wing groups that have formed in the USA as of late don't keep proliferating.

They don't need to. They've already put the cabal in charge of all the levers of power. Now, they just sit back, watch the bloodbaths and wait to be disappointed that none of the destruction they've unleashed improves their lot one jot or tittle.
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
I say "verbally" because I believe that they shouldn't be physically confronted unless it's absolutely necessary to do so -for example, if they attempt to seize power by taking over the White House.

They did that four years ago, were confronted, chastised and pardoned; now they're plotting revenge for their chastisement. The situation is way far past dialogue.

Quoting Tom Storm
Do we have good reason to assume that law enforcement isn't already a large part of this group?

We know that some law enforcement agents are, but we don't yet know what percent. Same with the military. No until the actual armed confrontation will we know the relative strengths.

Quoting Tom Storm
Do you think the police and military would oppose Trump should he decide to suspend the constitution and remain in power as a totalitarian ruler?

Should he live that long (which I consider highly doubtful), by then one of two situations will prevail:
- either all the mechanisms will be in place to ensure his ascent to the throne and the divine right of his designated line of succession (not necessarily his own progeny)
- or the civil war be approaching its climax.
(Unless the next series of pandemics will have taken out half the population.)

Tom Storm January 28, 2025 at 20:45 #964206
Reply to Vera Mont :up:

Quoting Arcane Sandwich
The police and the military aren't immune to corruption, ideological or otherwise.


I'm not thinking corruption, I'm thinking more that they may be aligned with authoritarian visions for America and long to rid society of deviants.
Arcane Sandwich January 28, 2025 at 21:16 #964208
Quoting Tom Storm
I'm not thinking corruption, I'm thinking more that they may be aligned with authoritarian visions for America and long to rid society of deviants.


In that case, authoritarians would do well to keep in mind that the ordinary people of the United States of America, the so-called deviants, will not simply lay down and die just because a group of deluded tyrants want them to. That's not what they're about as a people. That's not what their Founding Fathers would have wanted for their country. If there's one thing that the people of the USA are especially averse to, it's tyranny. It was the aversion to the tyranny of King George that promted their War of Independence. It was the aversion to the tyranny of the enslavers that prompted their Civil War. It was the aversion to the tyranny of the military-industrial complex that prompted Eisenhower's final speech. Sure, all of these historical events can be explained by less "naive" factors, such as economic factors. But it seems to me that anti-tyranny is deeply ingrained into the very identity, the very "essence" if you will, of the ordinary person from the USA, no matter what that person's class, sex, or race happens to be. Whatever faults or shortcomings the people of the USA might have, anti-tyranny is not one of them.

As one of their Founding Fathers said:

Thomas Jefferson:Let them take arms. The remedy is to set them right as to facts, pardon and pacify them. What signify a few lives lost in a century or two? The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants. It is its natural manure.

Tom Storm January 28, 2025 at 21:57 #964216
Reply to Arcane Sandwich I hear you, but I don't think what the founding fathers intended matters much to most - assuming they even if they know or understand the history. It might be argued that the "ordinary people" have been split into tribes and fed shit by media so that a shared understanding is no longer possible in a country too big and atomised to govern. The Left seem to be disorganised and banal and the Right seem to be marketing a version of certainty based upon anger.
Wayfarer February 02, 2025 at 04:30 #964887
I'm going to comment in this thread because the Trump thread has it's own dedicated MAGA troll.

So, two utterly and profoundly worrying developments.

The first is that Elon Musk and his troupe have now been granted access privileges to the Treasury system that disburses ALL US Government payments to every individual and organisation (NYT Gift Link).

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent gave representatives of the so-called Department of Government Efficiency access to the federal payment system late on Friday, according to five people familiar with the change, handing Elon Musk and the team he is leading a powerful tool to monitor and potentially limit government spending.

The new authority follows a standoff this week with a top Treasury official who had resisted allowing Mr. Musk’s lieutenants into the department’s payment system, which sends out money on behalf of the entire federal government. The official, a career civil servant named David Lebryk, was put on leave and then suddenly retired on Friday after the dispute, according to people familiar with his exit.

The system could give the Trump administration another mechanism to attempt to unilaterally restrict disbursement of money approved for specific purposes by Congress, a push that has faced legal roadblocks.

Mr. Musk, who has been given wide latitude by President Trump to find ways to slash government spending, has recently fixated on Treasury’s payment processes, criticizing the department in a social media post on Saturday for not rejecting more payments as fraudulent or improper.


This is a guy who has never held an elected office. He's putting his lieutenants into Government buildings and scrutinising all the outgoing funds. (Incidentally there's also pretty strong evidence that it was Musk that was behind the bulk email offering severance payments to practically the entire Federal beauracracy.)

The second development is Trump's demands for a list of all the FBI agents that worked on the Jan 6th insurrection and stolen documents cases. It seems many hundreds or even thousands of individuals could be fired or demoted for doing their jobs, following the [s]exoneration[/s] pardoning of hundreds of insurrectionist police-bashers.

//update// I now read that the DOGE stooges only have read-only access to the disbursements system, which is not quite as Dr Strangelove as the initial story. But still….//
ssu February 02, 2025 at 20:04 #965006
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
Indeed. The fascist appeals to the irrational sentiments of his followers. He riles them up with vitriolic rhetoric about some other group of people who, for some reason, must take the blame for every key societal problem.

And here's why populism leads to fascism: by emphasizing the divide between the rulers and the "ordinary people" and stating that key societal problems are because of the rulers, populism can easily descend into fascism as populism embraces strong leaders, wants to take the power away form the real or many times imagined "elite" and replace it with the movements followers, who will follow their leader. Above all, fascism opposes democracy and democratic system where decisions have to be negotiated with other political factions. It sees democracy as the reason for corruption. Also this leads to a command economy, because the leader has to be in charge of everything.
Arcane Sandwich February 02, 2025 at 20:06 #965008
Quoting ssu
And here's why populism leads to fascism: by emphasizing the divide between the rulers and the "ordinary people" and stating that key societal problems are because of the rulers, populism can easily descend into fascism as populism embraces strong leaders, wants to take the power away form the real or many times imagined "elite" and replace it with the movements followers, who will follow their leader.


So there's no such thing as left-wing populism, in your view? It's always right-wing populism? Or are you saying that both left-wing and right-wing populisms lead to fascism?

Quoting ssu
Above all, fascism opposes democracy and democratic system where decisions have to be negotiated with other political factions. It sees democracy as the reason for corruption. Also this leads to a command economy, because the leader has to be in charge of everything.


Yes, we know what fascism is, we're on page 10 of this discussion. It's not like we're trying to define the concept. We're a bit past that point by now.
ssu February 02, 2025 at 20:13 #965010
Quoting Wayfarer
The second development is Trump's demands for a list of all the FBI agents that worked on the Jan 6th insurrection and stolen documents cases. It seems many hundreds or even thousands of individuals could be fired or demoted for doing their jobs, following the exoneration pardoning of hundreds of insurrectionist police-bashers.

Kash Patel in his confirmation hearing of the Senate Judiciary Committee naturally had no idea of the insurrectionist that had pleaded guilty and now were pardoned. And simply wouldn't reply on who he will be going after. But if he gets to be the FBI director, nobody will be as loyal and a willing bulldog for Trump. Until when Trump is disappointed at him when he cannot give everything Trump wants.
ssu February 02, 2025 at 20:20 #965011
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
So there's no such thing as left-wing populism, in your view? It's always right-wing populism?

Oh no! On the contrary. Read some Lenin and you can see the populist elements in bolshevism and in Marxism-Leninism. Imperial Russia wasn't obviously a democracy, but right from the start democracy wasn't something that the leftist revolutionaries had in mind. After all, the dictatorship of the Proletariat isn't in any way "democratic" with it's class enemies and violent revolution against the capitalists.

Quoting Arcane Sandwich
Or are you saying that both left-wing and right-wing populisms lead to fascism?

Yes, it can lead. Best example of left-wing populism is Venezuela. Would that be a fascist state? Democracy isn't working there. But hey! Maduro is happily taking back Venezuelan illegals from the US and Venezuelan oil isn't under the Trump tariffs (yet).
Arcane Sandwich February 02, 2025 at 20:39 #965018
Quoting ssu
Oh no! On the contrary. Read some Lenin and you can see the populist elements in bolshevism and in Marxism-Leninism. Imperial Russia wasn't obviously a democracy, but right from the start democracy wasn't something that the leftist revolutionaries had in mind. After all, the dictatorship of the Proletariat isn't in any way "democratic" with it's class enemies and violent revolution against the capitalists.


So Lenin is a fascist now? Is that it?

Quoting ssu
Best example of left-wing populism is Venezuela. Would that be a fascist state?


Why would it be a fascist state and not a socialist one? Unless, of course, you're saying that socialism is the same thing as fascism. Is it?

Quoting ssu
But hey! Maduro is happily taking back Venezuelan illegals from the US and Venezuelan oil isn't under the Trump tariffs (yet).


Are you expecting me to defend Maduro? I'm not quite getting what it is that you expect from me. It seems like you're just blurting out nonsense. If that's the case, then I'll just blurt out some nonsense of my own: given that I saw Stolen on Netflix the other day, I have decided that from now on, I'm going to call you "Nastegallu". Suomi, Sámi, you're more or less related, aren't you? I mean, if I have anything to do with Maduro despite the fact that I'm from Argentina instead of Venezuela, surely I can call you a Sámi name instead of a Suomi one.
Arcane Sandwich February 02, 2025 at 21:31 #965027
Reply to ssu Hey Nastegallu, here's something interesting to consider for the discussion about fascism:

Quoting Wikipedia
The Norwegianization of the Sámi (Norwegian: fornorsking av samer) was an official policy carried out by the Norwegian government directed at the Sámi people and later the Kven people of northern Norway, in which the goal was to assimilate non-Norwegian-speaking native populations into an ethnically and culturally uniform Norwegian population.

The assimilation process began in the 1700s, and was at that point motivated by a clear religious agenda. Over the course of the 1800s it became increasingly influenced by Social Darwinism and nationalism, in which the Sámi people and their culture were regarded as primitive and uncivilised. As such, it was argued that they needed to succumb to the Norwegian nation state.
Wayfarer February 02, 2025 at 22:41 #965039
Reply to ssu Another egregious and disastrous set of decisions are completely undermining US Agency for International Development, the main vehicle by means of which billions of dollars of US aid is disbursed globally across all manner of charity and aid organisations. It has >10,000 employees and disburses more than $50 billion annually. The entire organisation has been thrown into chaos, with the main website taken offline and all spending frozen, with rumours that it is to become absorbed by the State Department and its activities and funding slashed.

Again, the Musk oligarchy has been central to this, barging into secure offices and demanding access to confidential files and systems. Musk is acting like an overlord, with greater authority than any Federal official or deparmental secretary, and complete discretion in deciding what does or doesn't constitute proper spending of US dollars.


Quoting USAID Security Officials on Leave after Refusing Musk Allies
The placement of the security officials (of US AID) — John Voorhees and his deputy — on administrative leave is the latest effort by the Trump administration and Musk to wrest control of the world’s largest provider of food assistance, which they have denigrated without offering evidence as left-wing and corrupt amid objections from Democratic and Republican lawmakers.

Amid the turmoil at the agency, Matt Hopson, the USAID chief of staff and a political appointee, resigned, according to a current and former USAID official who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive situation. Hopson did not respond to requests for comment.Voorhees was put on leave after he did not allow DOGE officials to access a sensitive compartmented information facility — commonly known as a “SCIF” — an ultra-secure room where officials and government contractors take extraordinary precautions to review highly classified information, according to three current and former USAID officials.

A group of about eight DOGE officials entered the USAID building Saturday and demanded access to every door and floor, despite only a few of them having security clearance, according to senior Senate Democratic staff members who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe the incident.

When USAID personnel attempted to block access to some areas, DOGE officials threatened to call federal marshals, one of the Democratic aides said. The DOGE officials were eventually given access to “secure spaces” including the security office.


Imagine the predicament of those staffers, many of whom have dedicated their lives to the welfare of their recipient states and nations, who's entire careers are now being ended under the MAGA jackboots.
Vera Mont February 02, 2025 at 23:08 #965044
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
So Lenin is a fascist now? Is that it?


He wasn't much of a communist or even socialist. And Stalin was a straight-up dictator, once he'd established state control of everything, himself as the state and woe to anyone who disagrees with his policies. Just like any other dictator. Whether the popular movement starts with peasants and labourers or disaffected white Christians or angry Muslims, the endgame is the same: one megalomaniac shouts at everybody and his tools carry out the pogroms.
Arcane Sandwich February 02, 2025 at 23:25 #965055
Reply to Vera Mont Sure. All I'm saying is that if Lenin and Stalin can be called fascists, then, by parity of reasoning, Mussolini and Hitler can be called communists. It just doesn't make sense to me, on a conceptual level. It dilutes the meanings of the very terms "left" and "right". But if the argument is that all of them were dictatorial and oppressive, that's a different discussion.

Yet I suspect that Nastegallu's (Reply to ssu) argument isn't exactly that, it's something else. I could be wrong, though. That's one of the problems with saying (and reading) things between the lines.
BC February 03, 2025 at 04:06 #965105
Reply to Wayfarer Characterizing USAID as a criminal enterprise [Musk] or radical lunatics [Trump] is unusually appalling.

NGO's that contract with USAID to carry out programs in Africa, Central and South America, the Caribbean, and Asia must state clearly what their goals are, how they plan to reach them, and how to measure progress to show success or not early in the contracting process. Further, contractors are audited. These are all rational procedures in the interest of obtaining what taxes are paying for. If goals are not met, the agency may find themselves summarily defunded (as the NGO I was working for years ago was--it was sudden death).

Of course one can find fault with USAID. Its goals may or may not be aligned with a given country's priorities or maybe its self interests. But in general, USAID funds work for the common good. And foreign aid can be a difficult game for any NGO / country to play. The best laid plans of mice and men and all that.

Not that we should be surprised of course -- considering the radical lunatic felon pulling the US out of the Paris Climate Accords-- stupid idiotic moronic--the World Health Organization--imbicilic dumb cretinous--or slapping tariffs on our closest friends and largest trading partners--wicked self-defeating delusional.
Tom Storm February 03, 2025 at 04:37 #965107
Quoting Vera Mont
Whether the popular movement starts with peasants and labourers or disaffected white Christians or angry Muslims, the endgame is the same: one megalomaniac shouts at everybody and his tools carry out the pogroms.


Yes, that seems to often be the case. Authoritarianism quickly transcends and engulfs whatever politics may have been the original impetus.
Wayfarer February 03, 2025 at 04:39 #965108
Reply to BC This is getting really, really serious. Musk is completely out of control. When the idea of the government expenditure review was mooted, it was supposed Musk's committee would propose draconian cuts to Congress, and there'd be the usual argy bargy. But no! He's barged into the actual finance departments offices, and started looking at line item expenditures for things he wants to cut, after they've all been cleared by Congress. It's blatantly illegal. But Trump has already committed so many blatantly illegal actions in his first two weeks in office, that nobody knows how to respond. He's doing what Bannon says - flooding the zone with shit. But in this case, the shit involves literally trillions of dollars, tens of thousands of jobs, entire Government agencies. He and Musk are literally tearing apart Government in full public view, and they've hardly even gotten started yet.

And don't forget, SCOTUS has declared that the President has full immunity for official acts. So if anyone challenges Trump, he'll just shrug and say they're official acts, so sue me. And who's that lucky litigant going to be?

Pity those poor government employees - and there are literally tens of thousand of them - who's livelihoods are being threatened, and who's projects are being shelved or cut in front of their eyes. What is happening in the US right now is a massive atrocity.

Oh, and the reason USAID are being called 'radical lunatics' is simply because the staff tend to being - and for completely obvious reasons - Democratic-leaning. And that is a disqualifying attribute in the emerging One Party State of MAGA.
Vera Mont February 03, 2025 at 04:51 #965114
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
. All I'm saying is that if Lenin and Stalin can be called fascists, then, by parity of reasoning, Mussolini and Hitler can be called communists.

No, they cannot. Lenin may have started out as a communist, but went astray; Stalin had no ideology, any more than Trump does: he was out for personal power. Mussolini may have started out as a socialist, but went over to the dark side; Hitler's ideology was always fascist.
This is the danger of labels: they don't stay stuck.
BC February 03, 2025 at 05:58 #965126
Quoting Wayfarer
This is getting really, really serious.


Yes, it is. Musk has [apparently] gained access to the Federal Government's financial "Holy of Holies" -- the Federal Payment System.

"Sources tell my office that Treasury Secretary Bessent has granted DOGE *full* access to this system. Social Security and Medicare benefits, grants, payments to government contractors, including those that compete directly with Musk's own companies. All of it," Wyden posted to social media site BlueSky on Saturday evening.

DOGE's reported access to the payment system comes after the Washington Post reported on Friday that the former acting director of the Treasury, David A. Lebryk, was planning to exit the finance department of the federal government following a clash over granting DOGE access to its payment system. Lebryk oversaw the Treasury Department in the days between President Donald Trump's inauguration on Jan. 20 and Bessent's confirmation to lead the department on Jan. 27.


The barbarians have breached the gate and are in a position to start playing with the levers of power. And for them it IS play. What with presidential immunity and being the richest parasite on earth, Musk is neither elected nor cleared by congressional confirmation, and as far as I know, he has not been sworn to uphold the law and defend the constitution. He more like "been let loose".

Of course, being sworn in isn't quite the same as perpetual protection from pesky prosecution, but it at least establishes some sort of possible accountability.
Wayfarer February 03, 2025 at 06:58 #965130
Reply to BC I did post about that too, but I also heard that the Musk crew access was read-only, which means something. But still, it's an absolute outrage. People should be on the streets, although I guess that'd give Trump a chance to try out his new crowd-control methods.
ssu February 03, 2025 at 07:22 #965134
I think that we are talking about autocracy and totalitarianism rather than just fascism. Totalitarianism would be more useful than the just fascism. Yet since obviously the US on the way to socialism, not at least yet (let's see what the counterforce is to the Trump presidency), the oligarchs in the government along Trump's family will have now the power.

Quoting Arcane Sandwich
Are you expecting me to defend Maduro? I'm not quite getting what it is that you expect from me.

Lol. Nope, hopefully not. And those smart lefties here on this forum won't defend the Soviet Union or Marxism-Leninism either. They might be not as hostile and will note some positive aspects, but in general they do use their brains and don't just loyally support something religiously.
ssu February 03, 2025 at 07:40 #965136
Reply to Arcane Sandwich A bit off the topic, but Swedes had similar policies. I think we Finns didn't, because we were looked down upon as Mongols by the Swedish racists of the 19th and early 20th Century. But that's history... a lot changed in Europe after the demise of the Third Reich, as you know.

What is hilarious in the present discourse only accepts the American juxtaposition of natives against white "colonial" thinking in how that doesn't fit to the Sámi. The Sámi look exactly like Finns, you wouldn't at all in any way differ them from Finns. The Sámi have their large share of blue eyed and blonds so it ridiculous for them to have to talk about Finns "whites". And the "clash" between the Finns and the Sámi happened I guess in Antiquity when there simply was no Finnish country (as Finnish tribes fought each other until the Middle Ages), so the idea of native people/colonizers is funny in the case of Lapland. And the Sami as actually so few here, far less than people in Greenland.
ssu February 03, 2025 at 08:36 #965138
Reply to Wayfarer It's going to be as chaotic like this. This is 100% Trump. Simply US soft power and role is going to demolish. How on Earth will they (DOGE) look over thousands of projects and decide what is OK and what is not? As I've stated, Elon Musk will be the most hated person after a year of this as likely even Trump loyalists will vent their anger at him.

Quoting Wayfarer
Imagine the predicament of those staffers, many of whom have dedicated their lives to the welfare of their recipient states and nations, who's entire careers are now being ended under the MAGA jackboots.

Imagine the actual consequences in Africa and the Middle East. So you stop vaccination programs in Afrinca? Ok. Any thought about the consequences on that? So you basically stop the education department in Jordan? Ok. If people don't know, the US supports directly the Jordanian government:

The new MOU is subdivided into four baskets of funds, including $610 million in Economic
Support Funds (ESF) for direct U.S. budget support for the Jordanian government—the most of any country worldwide; $400 million in Foreign Military Funds (FMF) for Jordanian Armed
Forces to procure U.S. equipment; $350 million in ESF for USAID programming; and $75
million in “incentive” ESF to support Jordanian economic and public sector reforms.


Next in line is the chaos at the FBI, which will be emasculated.

And for this trade war, that likely will result in a global recession, is as bonkers as US taking Panama or Greenland.

A rational response for Mexico, Canada and the EU would to gang up on the US, try to compensate for the loss of US trade with encouraging trade between themselves.

Even if the trade war and domestic chaos will engulf the Trump administrations time and Trump will just move on from the Greenland annexation dreams (hopefully), the rift has already happened. European politicians have to take seriously Trump's comments about Greenland. What it does to the alliance, when the US wants to annex territory from a very loyal ally that already gives the US free usage and bases in Greenland is really something nobody wants to discuss. But the first thing is obvious: do not rely on the US. Hence if Europe really will spend more on defense, it will do it focusing on creating it's own military industrial complex like France.

The French model can prevail:


I think it's worse for Panama. There Trump really could at least take control of the Panama Canal Zone. I'm thinking starting a thread about it.



Pierre-Normand February 03, 2025 at 09:42 #965142
Quoting ssu
But if he gets to be the FBI director, nobody will be as loyal and a willing bulldog for Trump. Until when Trump is disappointed at him when he cannot give everything Trump wants.


And then Trump will honor his promise to deport families together, and deport Kash alongside his undocumented 4th cousin twice removed.
Tzeentch February 03, 2025 at 11:14 #965150


I think people could use a reminder of what fascism actually is, because this is getting a little embarrassing.
Vera Mont February 03, 2025 at 14:54 #965169
This is not 1930's Europe. Many aspects and aims of those regimes do not apply to Project 2025; some others are a perfect fit. Don't obsess over the ideological label: focus on the agenda.
(Also, note the IQ differential between those and this.)
NOS4A2 February 03, 2025 at 15:48 #965176
No one knows what fascism is. No one has read nor quoted any fascist writings to discuss. Until that time fascism remains as Orwell defined it: “The word Fascism has now no meaning except in so far as it signifies ‘something not desirable’.” And anti-Trumpism colonizes another topic.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 16:10 #965179
Quoting NOS4A2
No one knows what fascism is.


I think it's fair to say that Mussolini knew what fascism is.

Quoting NOS4A2
No one has read nor quoted any fascist writings to discuss.


Mussolini has been quoted several times in this thread.
NOS4A2 February 03, 2025 at 16:26 #965181
Reply to Arcane Sandwich

Mussolini has been quoted several times in this thread.


Right, by myself.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 16:31 #965183
Quoting NOS4A2
Right, by myself.


And by others as well.
NOS4A2 February 03, 2025 at 16:49 #965186
Reply to Arcane Sandwich

I don’t think that’s true. One can search the discussion and see that Mussolini’s name hardly appears, especially with quotes.. Write “Trump” in there, however, and you’ll find the true thrust of the thread.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 16:55 #965187
Quoting NOS4A2
I don’t think that’s true. One can search the discussion and see that Mussolini’s name hardly appears, especially with quotes.


The following doesn't count?

Quoting Arcane Sandwich
Her: "Mussolini asked a crowd of people: 'Pópolo, ¿Qué quiere? ¿Manteca, o Cañones?" (People, what do you want, butter or cannons?"


It's from a speech that Mussolini gave in Belluno. Here's a reference in English.
NOS4A2 February 03, 2025 at 16:59 #965188
Reply to Arcane Sandwich

A quote of your grandmother quoting Mussolini does not suffice, no.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 17:06 #965190
Quoting NOS4A2
A quote of your grandmother quoting Mussolini does not suffice, no.


Which is why I linked to an English newspaper from 1938 for that quote. That doesn't count either?
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 17:09 #965191
Reply to NOS4A2

Quoting The Sheridan Press (1938)
(...) The expected answers were shouted back at him from well-disciplined ranks. "I know',” he shouted at Padua, "that each of you and all of you are ready for any eventuality." "Yes,” roared back the crowd "Butter or cannons—which have we chosen?” he asked at Belluno. “Cannons." came the response. The speech at Belluno, the second of the day. Was II Duce a sixth brief speech within a week in support of German minority claim in Czechoslovakia. He was expected to speak again tomorrow when he visits Vicenzia. (...)
NOS4A2 February 03, 2025 at 17:16 #965193
Reply to Arcane Sandwich

Which is why I linked to an English newspaper from 1938 for that quote. That doesn't count either?


I suppose it counts now, after the fact. Thanks, I’ll check it out.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 17:21 #965194
Quoting NOS4A2
I suppose it counts now, after the fact.


It's a famous quote, it's the "fascist dilemma". It's so famous that even my grandmother knew it.

Here's an article about it in Spanish, from ESIC University:

https://www.esic.edu/docs/editorial/articulos/170616_100602.pdf

Quoting Sergio A. Berumen
El régimen fascista de Benito Mussolini distribuyó carteles con el mensaje «Burro o cannoni?» con el objetivo de explicar a los italianos por qué en tiempos de guerra escaseaba la mantequilla y de paso pedir comprensión y sacrificio para la mayor gloria de la patria. Por último, en 1976 Margaret Thatcher en un discurso dijo, «Los soviéticos antepusieron las armas por encima de la mantequilla, pero nosotros pusimos casi todo antes que las armas».


Translation: "Benito Mussolini's fascist regime distributed posters with the message "Butter or cannoni?" with the aim of explaining to the Italians why butter was scarce in times of war and, in the process, asking for understanding and sacrifice for the greater glory of the country. Finally, in 1976 Margaret Thatcher in a speech said, "The Soviets put guns before butter, but we put almost everything before guns.""
Tzeentch February 03, 2025 at 17:27 #965195
If you just watch the video I linked, you will understand why there is such a "misunderstanding" about what fascism is.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 17:30 #965196
Reply to NOS4A2 Obviously, it's a phrase that has been used by other politicians, besides Mussolini. Here's an analysis from Investopedia, here's an article by ThoughtCo titled Guns or Butter: The Nazi Economy, and here's an academic article published in a peer-reviewed journal titled Food Discourses and Alimentary Policies in Fascist Italy and Nazi Germany: A Comparative Analysis

For someone so interested in fascism, I find it strange that you weren't familiar with the "guns or butter" (alternatively, "butter or cannons") thing.

Quoting Investopedia
"Guns and Butter" describes the government allocation to defense spending versus social programs. A country's budget includes military programs for national security, or guns, and social programs such as Social Security or family assistance, the butter. Politicians have evolved the phrase "guns and butter" for use in all areas of fiscal budgeting where there is a substantial trade-off between defense and social spending.

The term "guns and butter" has been linked throughout history to the challenges of war and negotiations on defense spending. Its uses have varied from guns and butter, guns vs. butter, and guns or butter. Many trace the coining of the phrase to the beginning of World War I and the protesting resignation of Secretary of State William Bryan.


Quoting ThoughtCo
With the economy improving and doing well (low unemployment, strong investment, improved foreign trade) the question of ‘Guns or Butter’ began to haunt Germany in 1936. Schacht knew that if rearmament continued at this pace the balance of payments would go crippling downhill, and he advocated increasing consumer production to sell more abroad. Many, especially those poised to profit, agreed, but another powerful group wanted Germany ready for war.


Quoting Patrizia Sambuco and Lisa Pine
‘Guns before butter’ meant that food shortages were already present from the mid-1930s onwards. As Nancy Reagin has shown, preparations for war ‘led to economic policies that often worked against civilian consumers’ interests’. The quality of butter and cheese declined, and there was an increase in the use of inferior vegetable fats to create new fat compounds. By the winter of 1936–1937, shopkeepers sold butter only to their regular customers. Eating patterns changed.
NOS4A2 February 03, 2025 at 17:41 #965201
Reply to Arcane Sandwich

Yeah, I was specifically looking for quotes about fascism, by fascists, not a general phrase used by a multitude of politicians across many ideologies.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 17:50 #965204
Quoting NOS4A2
Yeah, I was specifically looking for quotes about fascism, by fascists, not a general phrase used by a multitude of politicians across many ideologies.


Mussolini famously used it in his 1938 speech at Belluno. He was a fascist, who used that phrase in a fascist sense. Your unawareness of this, which is something that even my grandmother knew, is genuinely surprising.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 17:52 #965205
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
Benito Mussolini's fascist regime distributed posters with the message "Butter or cannoni?"


Reply to NOS4A2 Did you at least know about the posters?
NOS4A2 February 03, 2025 at 17:55 #965206
Reply to Arcane Sandwich

I knew it as a general economic principle, sure. I didn’t know Mussolini used the phrase once in a speech or in a poster. So thanks for that.

I’m genuinely surprised that there aren’t more quotes, despite you saying there were several.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 18:00 #965208
Quoting NOS4A2
I knew it as a general economic principle, sure. I didn’t know Mussolini used the phrase once in a speech or in a poster.


It was one of his most important speeches. How else would someone like my grandmother know about it? She wasn't the most knowledgeable or educated person in the world. So how is it that she knew about it, but you didn't? The posters in question were widely distributed throughout Italy. In your investigations about fascism, you never stumbled across this?

Quoting NOS4A2
So thanks for that.


You're welcome.

Quoting NOS4A2
I’m genuinely surprised that there aren’t more quotes, despite you saying there were several.


Your own quotes don't count?
Vera Mont February 03, 2025 at 18:01 #965209
Quoting NOS4A2
Yeah, I was specifically looking for quotes about fascism, by fascists, not a general phrase used by a multitude of politicians across many ideologies.

To what end?
Fascism is therefore opposed to that form of democracy which equates a nation to the majority, lowering it to the level of the largest number; but it is the purest form of democracy if the nation be considered as it should be from the point of view of quality rather than quantity, as an idea, the mightiest because the most ethical, the most coherent, the truest, expressing itself in a people as the conscience and will of the few, if not, indeed, of one,
and ending to express itself in the conscience and the will of the mass, of the whole group ethnically molded by natural and historical conditions into a nation, advancing,
as one conscience and one will, along the self same line of development and spiritual
formation. Not a race, nor a geographically defined region, but a people,
historically perpetuating itself; a multitude unified by an idea and imbued with
the will to live, the will to power, self-consciousness, personality.

Mussolini's 'spiritual' version of L'Etat, c'est moi.

Historian Ian Kershaw once wrote that "trying to define 'fascism' is like trying to nail jelly to the wall."[28] Each group described as "fascist" has at least some unique elements, and frequently definitions of "fascism" have been criticized as either too broad or too narrow.[29] According to many scholars, fascists—especially when they're in power—have historically attacked communism, conservatism, and parliamentary liberalism, attracting support primarily from the far-right.[30] - wiki


The National Government will therefore regard it as its first and supreme task to restore to the German people unity of mind and will. It will preserve and defend the foundations on which the strength of our nation rests. It will take under its firm protection Christianity as the basis of our morality, and the family as the nucleus of our nation and our state. Standing above estates [groups that make up society’s social hierarchy] and classes, it will bring back to our people the consciousness of its racial and political unity and the obligations arising therefrom. It wishes to base the education of German youth on respect for our great past and pride in our old traditions. . . . Germany must not and will not sink into Communist anarchy.

Hitler's version of making Germany great again.


How the tools actually behave in carrying out the national will doesn't look all that spiritual. But then, hardly any product matches its advertised virtues; fascism, like communism or capitalism or christianity manifests differently from its written theory.
not that Trump would understand any of this.
NOS4A2 February 03, 2025 at 18:14 #965213
Reply to Vera Mont

Very nice. I’m glad you’ve read it. The best way to understand fascism is to understand what its creators were thinking, in my opinion.

And you’re right. That’s why Mussolini was willing to use any economic doctrine and policy to further his spiritual one. So fascism could be liberal one day and socialist the next.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 18:18 #965214
Quoting NOS4A2
So fascism could be liberal one day and socialist the next.


Nah.
Vera Mont February 03, 2025 at 18:18 #965215
Reply to NOS4A2
Except they are not the same doctrine. They have one main feature in common: the will of the people is what I say it is. And, of course, they're just similar in effect: suppressing individual freedom and wasting the nation's resources on weaponry.
It's true, neither Mussolini nor Hitler peddled pictures of themselves on shoes or fake watches. But they sure hopped in bed fast enough with powerful bankers and industrialists.
NOS4A2 February 03, 2025 at 18:32 #965220
Reply to Arcane Sandwich

The true antithesis, not to this or that manifestation of the liberal-democratic-socialistic conception of the state but to the concept itself, is to be found in the doctrine of Fascism. For while the disagreement between Liberalism and Democracy, and between Liberalism and Socialism lies in a difference of method, as we have said, the rift between Socialism, Democracy, and Liberalism on one side and Fascism on the other is caused by a difference in concept. As a matter of fact, Fascism never raises the question of methods, using in its political praxis now liberal ways, now democratic means and at times even socialistic devices.


The Political Doctrine of Fascism - Alfredo Rocco
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 18:33 #965221
Reply to NOS4A2 Sounds like Rocco is wrong. You might as well quote Julius Evola, if those are your academic standards.
Vera Mont February 03, 2025 at 18:34 #965222
The Donald J. Trump version
“Will there be some pain? Yes, maybe (and maybe not),” Trump wrote Sunday morning on social media. “But we will make America great again, and it will all be worth the price that must be paid.”
NOS4A2 February 03, 2025 at 18:35 #965223
Reply to Arcane Sandwich

Sure, the guy who helped developed fascism is wrong about fascism.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 18:36 #965224
Quoting NOS4A2
Sure, the guy who helped developed fascism is wrong about fascism.


Of course he is. Just as Stalin, the guy who helped develop socialism, is wrong about socialism.
NOS4A2 February 03, 2025 at 18:43 #965228
Reply to Arcane Sandwich

And why are they wrong?
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 18:50 #965230
Reply to NOS4A2 Rocco and Stalin? Rocco is wrong to suppose that fascism can be pragmatic (i.e., "using in its political praxis now liberal ways, now democratic means and at times even socialistic devices") and still be fascism. If it uses democratic means, then it turns into a democracy. If it uses socialist devices, then it turns into socialism.

In Stalin's case, he was wrong to suppose (to use just one example) that socialism could thrive and survive in one country. It couldn't. The USSR eventually ditched socialism and turned into modern-day Russia.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 19:24 #965234
Quoting ssu
A bit off the topic, but Swedes had similar policies. I think we Finns didn't, because we were looked down upon as Mongols by the Swedish racists of the 19th and early 20th Century. But that's history... a lot changed in Europe after the demise of the Third Reich, as you know.

What is hilarious in the present discourse only accepts the American juxtaposition of natives against white "colonial" thinking in how that doesn't fit to the Sámi. The Sámi look exactly like Finns, you wouldn't at all in any way differ them from Finns. The Sámi have their large share of blue eyed and blonds so it ridiculous for them to have to talk about Finns "whites". And the "clash" between the Finns and the Sámi happened I guess in Antiquity when there simply was no Finnish country (as Finnish tribes fought each other until the Middle Ages), so the idea of native people/colonizers is funny in the case of Lapland. And the Sami as actually so few here, far less than people in Greenland.


Would it be fair to say that Norway and Sweden (and to a lesser extent, Finland) carried out fascist policies against the Sámi people? Maybe there's few native people today in Lapland because those are the ones that weren't forcefully assimilated.

NOS4A2 February 03, 2025 at 19:50 #965237
Reply to Arcane Sandwich

Unless they use all of the devices in service to the Fascist state. The phrase “the end justifies the means” doesn’t preclude using these devices to achieve an end.

This indifference to method often exposes Fascism to the charge of incoherence on the part of superficial observers, who do not see that what counts with us is the end and that therefore even when we employ the same means we act with a radically different spiritual attitude and strive for entirely different results. The Fascist concept then of the nation, of the scope of the state, and of the relations obtaining between society and its individual components, rejects entirely the doctrine which I said proceeded from the theories of natural law developed in the course of the XVI, XVII, and XVIII centuries and which form the basis of the liberal, democratic, and socialistic ideology.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 19:58 #965239
Quoting NOS4A2
Unless they use all of the devices in service to the Fascist state.


Let's consider the case of democratic means, to focus on just one example. What would remain of the fascist state if the means of representative democracy were to be the norm? Suppose Mussolini is effectively the Duce. Now suppose that presidential elections are held. And suppose that John Doe gets more votes than Mussolini. Suppose further that, after being elected, John Doe & company (as in, legislators, senators, etc.) carry out a series of reforms such that Fascist Country X starts to look more and more like the United States of America. What remains of the fascist state then, as envisioned by Mussolini, Rocco, and others? Nothing remains of it.

This indifference to method often exposes Fascism to the charge of incoherence on the part of superficial observers, who do not see that what counts with us is the end and that therefore even when we employ the same means we act with a radically different spiritual attitude and strive for entirely different results.


This is just wishful thinking. It's like Stalin's wishful thinking of Socialism In One Country.

The Fascist concept then of the nation, of the scope of the state, and of the relations obtaining between society and its individual components, rejects entirely the doctrine which I said proceeded from the theories of natural law developed in the course of the XVI, XVII, and XVIII centuries and which form the basis of the liberal, democratic, and socialistic ideology.


Nothing but daydreams.
BC February 03, 2025 at 20:46 #965244
Quoting ssu
I think that we are talking about autocracy and totalitarianism rather than just fascism. Totalitarianism would be more useful than the just fascism.


Could've, would've, should've.

Totalitarianism and fascism are both bad, in the same way tuberculosis and AIDS are both bad but different, and you can have both of them at the same time. The Third Reich had both; the USSR did not.

The US is neither totalitarian nor fascist at this point, even if there are some symptoms of them. Oligarchs are another problem, as are extremists conservatives. (Extreme leftists could be a problem, but we don't have many of those, Trump's claims not withstanding.).

Martin Luther (apocryphally) observed that "A nation is better off if ruled by a wise Turk than a stupid Christian." We are going to have plenty of problems resulting from the rule of "stupid Christians", without having outright fascists in charge.

There are various ways of delivering bad government to the people. Fascism and totalitarianism don't exhaust the possibilities. Run of the mill incompetence, naked self-interest, greed, vindictiveness, crude nationalism, poorly thought-out (if thought at all) policies, ad nauseam will do the trick.
Vera Mont February 03, 2025 at 20:51 #965246
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
Just as Stalin, the guy who helped develop socialism,


The which of the what now????
Most definitions of socialism are concerned with the economy alone: who owns the land and factories. Yet, the way Americans often talk, you'd think public schools and old age pensions, state health insurance and government regulation of industry are all socialist - if not communist measures.
In the purest sense, socialism means insuring the welfare of polity is the paramount task of government. A functional socialist arrangement isn't developed by despots. It cannot beimposed on a population. It's an inevitable process of a relatively honest functional democracy during peacetime.
The majority wants material security, social stability, control over their individual lives and a [perceived] fair share of the common wealth. They vote for policies that promote the general welfare. This has the side-effect of a thriving communications and arts scene, which in turn leads to a trend toward tolerance. If the population was already diverse, it also leads to measures that reverse entrenched injustices.

Industrialization and collectivization are not socialist ideals; they were considered necessary to end the backward feudalism prevailing in Russia before the revolution and catch up with the 20th century. There was also the looming threat of the American atomic bomb in the hands of a commie-hunting administration. Certainly the way these policies were carried out was far from democratic.
His regime instituted some women's rights, free universal education (the indoctrination of the young), nation-wide vaccination programs and universal healthcare (of a sort) Food rationing and vast construction programs were a response to war damage.
Overall, however, the 'socialism' of that time was a police state, wherein the people had no voice or choice.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 20:56 #965247
Reply to Vera Mont Sure, there's a mismatch between what Stalin said and what he actually did. Same as Mussolini: there's a mismatch between what he said and what he actually did. My comment was intended as a parity argument against Reply to NOS4A2's argument in favor of Rocco. My point was precisely thus: just because someone was actively involved in the development of X, that doesn't entail that the person in question can't be wrong about X.
Vera Mont February 03, 2025 at 21:04 #965248
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
My point was precisely thus: just because someone was actively involved in the development of X, that doesn't entail that the person in question can't be wrong about X.

My contention is that Stalin was not involved in the development of socialism: he may have made speeches about it (which added nothing to existing social theory), but all his official acts were aimed at making a stronger, better armed federation than the US.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 21:06 #965249
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 21:07 #965251
Reply to Vera Mont Yup, I understood your point.
NOS4A2 February 03, 2025 at 21:14 #965252
Reply to Arcane Sandwich

Let's consider the case of democratic means, to focus on just one example. What would remain of the fascist state if the means of representative democracy were to be the norm? Suppose Mussolini is effectively the Duce. Now suppose that presidential elections are held. And suppose that John Doe gets more votes than Mussolini. Suppose further that, after being elected, John Doe & company (as in, legislators, senators, etc.) carry out a series of reforms such that Fascist Country X starts to look more and more like the United States of America. What remains of the fascist state then, as envisioned by Mussolini, Rocco, and others? Nothing remains of it.


Fascists saw Fascism as the purest form of democracy, so long as the people are considered qualitatively instead of quantitatively. They did use democratic means, such as elections and voting, at least until they achieved absolute power. Again, the point is to use it to service the state, and then perhaps be done with when it is no longer required.

This is just wishful thinking. It's like Stalin's wishful thinking of Socialism In One Country.


Yes, they are terrible ideas. But this is what fascists believed and tried to implement. If we are to oppose it, it might be helpful to recognize it before it becomes action.

NOS4A2 February 03, 2025 at 21:15 #965253
Reply to Arcane Sandwich

Very cool. Thanks.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 21:15 #965254
Reply to NOS4A2 Those are not the original posters though, they're derivatives.
Arcane Sandwich February 03, 2025 at 21:19 #965255
Quoting NOS4A2
They did use democratic means, such as elections and voting, at least until they achieved absolute power.


My point is that once they achieve absolute power, the use of democratic means necessarily weakens the fascist nature of the state. Conversely, it precipitates its transformation into a representative democracy. You can't have your cake and eat it too. You either have a fascist state or a democratic one.

Quoting NOS4A2
Again, the point is to use it to service the state, and then perhaps be done with when it is no longer required.


Be done with what, with the democratic means or with the fascist state itself?
NOS4A2 February 03, 2025 at 23:55 #965295
Reply to Arcane Sandwich

My point is that once they achieve absolute power, the use of democratic means necessarily weakens the fascist nature of the state. Conversely, it precipitates its transformation into a representative democracy. You can't have your cake and eat it too. You either have a fascist state or a democratic one.


I think you’re right that popular sovereignty would eventually be fascism’s downfall, but they literally did create a democratic fascist state in the form of the Italian Social Republic. You can read in their Manifesto of Verona that a leader would be chosen by citizens every 5 years, not to mention the adoption of plenty liberal and socialistic “devices” in order to further the fascist state. So fascism has veered into “left-wing populism”, after all.

Arcane Sandwich February 04, 2025 at 00:26 #965301
Quoting NOS4A2
I think you’re right that popular sovereignty would eventually be fascism’s downfall, but they literally did create a democratic fascist state in the form of the Italian Social Republic. You can read in their Manifesto of Verona that a leader would be chosen by citizens every 5 years, not to mention the adoption of plenty liberal and socialistic “devices” in order to further the fascist state. So fascism has veered into “left-wing populism”, after all.


But those devices that you mention actually weaken the fascist state instead of strengthening it. At least that's how I see it. Hugo Chávez and Nicolás Maduro also became the heads of state in Venezuela through democratic means. But once they got there, the democratic means that they used began to show their limits. It's not possible to fully democratize Venezuelan politics and still have an (arguably) socialist regime. It would weaken it. It's the same reason why you can't have full democratic means in today's China: it's simply anathema to the very existence of the CCP. It's the same reason why you can't democratize North Korea: it's anathema to Kim Jong Un's Juche-based regime.

Trump is a right wing populist, as far as I'm concerned. He's not a fascist in the same sense that Mussolini was. Yet there is a real danger (to my mind, at least) with some of the policies that his administration wishes to carry out. Even if I were to grant, for the sake of argument, that his administration "means well", I would say that the road to Hell is paved with good intentions.
Wayfarer February 04, 2025 at 00:33 #965302
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
Hugo Chávez and Nicolás Maduro also became the heads of state in Venezuela through democratic means. But once they got there, the democratic means that they used began to show their limits.


It is more than probable that DJT is preparing exactly the same methods for the U.S. I mean, he's already demonstrating it - many of his executive orders in the first two weeks of his Presidency might be unconstitutional and/or illegal - but how can they be challenged? He's gutting the Justice Department and purging the FBI of anyone deemed disloyal - classical authoritarian moves. Fox News was complaining that the Democrats are 'shredding the Constitution' by stalling the confirmation of Trump's dangerous Cabinet selections. Republican Congressmen have already started talking about how to remove the two-term limit for Trump. And so on. You're seeing the birth of an authoritarian political regime right in front of your eyes.
Arcane Sandwich February 04, 2025 at 00:34 #965304
NOS4A2 February 04, 2025 at 00:39 #965305
Reply to Arcane Sandwich

I guess we’ll have to see about all that.

Argentina, was it? What do you think of Milei? I’m watching his rule with great interest.
Arcane Sandwich February 04, 2025 at 00:46 #965309
Quoting NOS4A2
I guess we’ll have to see about all that.


Suffice to say that I sincerely hope I'm wrong. I hope Trump's administration benefits the people of the USA. I'm just skeptical about it, and I think that my skepticism here is warranted.

Quoting NOS4A2
Argentina, was it? What do you think of Milei? I’m watching his rule with great interest.


I didn't vote for him. That being said, the inflation rate seems to be showing some signs of improvement, as well as other economic indicators. However, his reduction of so-called state bureaucracy has meant less funding for (what I believe are) key areas for the further development of Argentina, such as science and technology. Currently, only a 0.2% of Argentina's gross domestic product (GDP) is invested in S&T. By contrast, in the United States, in 2022 the investment in S&T represented 3.4% of that country's GDP. Investing in science and technology is crucial for the development of any nation. At least that's how I see it.
NOS4A2 February 04, 2025 at 00:54 #965314
Reply to Arcane Sandwich

No, I can appreciate the skepticism. The establishment wouldn’t have it any other way.

I appreciate the comments about Milei. After all, he may be the first libertarian leader in human history. All I can say is I hope it awakens some private initiative instead of metastasizing a reliance on the corrupt and wasteful public initiative.
Arcane Sandwich February 04, 2025 at 00:55 #965316
Quoting NOS4A2
All I can say is I hope it awakens some private initiative instead of metastasizing a reliance on the corrupt and wasteful public initiative.


"It's complicated", is what I would say here. Argentina has a strange history.
Vera Mont February 04, 2025 at 03:12 #965342
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
Trump is a right wing populist, as far as I'm concerned. He's not a fascist in the same sense that Mussolini was.

The only ism Trump adheres to is opportunism. He believes in nothing except his own enrichment and aggrandizement. He's a grifter with a huge ego and unlimited spite.
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
Yet there is a real danger (to my mind, at least) with some of the policies that his administration wishes to carry out.

Wrecking the economy and shredding the constitution is a real danger?
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
Even if I were to grant, for the sake of argument, that his administration "means well"

Of-bloody-course it doesn't mean well! This is the end-times feeding frenzy.
ssu February 04, 2025 at 07:43 #965377
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
Would it be fair to say that Norway and Sweden (and to a lesser extent, Finland) carried out fascist policies against the Sámi people? Maybe there's few native people today in Lapland because those are the ones that weren't forcefully assimilated.

Fascist? Again an awkward use of the term fascism. It's basically eugenics and racist ideas, not fascism. Sweden or Norway (or Finland) weren't fascist states.

And just what to you would be by "native people"? Compared to whom?

In America it's so different. You do have a divide between native Americans and all others. You have had a class divide by race thanks to the Spaniards, who were so racist that they made the children born in America to Spanish parents who had migrated from Spain, peninsulares, a lower caste, criollos. There's still a divide between the native population and those of basically European origin and it's really different. Some countries it's a bigger problem, some countries a lesser problem.

First of all, with the Sámi, we are talking about really a small group of people. In Finland there's only about 10 000 Sámi. That is a population of a small town. And about the genetics in Finland in general. Archeologists found this ancient village that was one of the earliest human settlements after the last Ice Age in Finland. When they looked at the geneology of the ancient people and compared them to the local people now living there, it was such a perfect match that they could say with high probability that likely the current folk living in the area were descendants of these ancient dwellers. Another example, which is actually quite common, I remember my parents summer cottage in Middle Finland had a farm as a neighbor. The farm had been owned by one family since the time Columbus found America. Unfortunately the Church books went only so far (to the late 15th Century), so likely the family could have been there for longer time.

Hence the idea of one group being indigenous and another not is a bit confusing, when basically these migrations happened thousands of years ago. Sámi became reindeer herders only in the Middle Ages.

But yes, the Sámi activists have to adapt to the dominant narrative of the indigenous/native people being the victims of the "white colonizers", because that's the only narrative which people use about these issues. Hence you end up with totally white Europeans calling other white Europeans "whities" and having to claim they aren't so white. Bit awkward when you have pale skin, blue eyes and blond hair.



ZisKnow February 04, 2025 at 11:47 #965399
Won't lie, haven't read the entire thread, but has anyone actually agreed on a definition of fascism? Because without that, debating whether the USA is heading in that direction seems pointless

What we can say as objective facts are that:"

  • The USA is increasingly centralising power under the Office of the President.
  • Democratic norms—truthfulness, checks and balances—have been eroded since 2016.
  • Unilateral decisions are being enacted based on the will and beliefs of a single individual.
  • The partisan split has become aggressively tribal, with moderate voices dismissed on both sides.


Regardless of whether that meets the definition of fascism, it represents a dangerous slide into authoritarianism, one that risks permanently altering the USA’s democratic structure. A democracy that refuses to defend itself isn't really a democracy for long
Arcane Sandwich February 04, 2025 at 12:47 #965411
Reply to Vera Mont Ok.

Quoting ssu
First of all, with the Sámi, we are talking about really a small group of people.


It seems to me that their small population is due to the fact that their ancestors were forcefully assimilated into the nation-states of Scandinavia, but I could be wrong.

Quoting ssu
Sámi became reindeer herders only in the Middle Ages.


You say that as if it happened last Monday or something.

Quoting ssu
But yes, the Sámi activists have to adapt to the dominant narrative of the indigenous/native people being the victims of the "white colonizers", because that's the only narrative which people use about these issues. Hence you end up with totally white Europeans calling other white Europeans "whities" and having to claim they aren't so white. Bit awkward when you have pale skin, blue eyes and blond hair.


It doesn't seem that the issue here is about having white skin, blond hair and blue eyes. From what I can understand about this issue (which is admittedly not much), it's a cultural issue. The Sámi have a culture that has been deemed primitive or inferior in some sense, in relation to the modern nation states of Norway, Sweden, Finland, etc., which is why those countries carried out policies to assimilate them in a cultural sense. That seems like fascism to me. Bundle of sticks with an axe and all of that.
ssu February 04, 2025 at 19:39 #965533
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
It seems to me that their small population is due to the fact that their ancestors were forcefully assimilated into the nation-states of Scandinavia, but I could be wrong.

You are wrong, at least in my opinion. The history wasn't like that. Believe or not, but Lapland was very much uninhabited and is still quite uninhabited. The population density is similar to Santa Cruz province in Argentina or to Alaska. The Sámi people have basically grown in size and actually the number of people speaking Sámi as mother tongue have increased.

The population of now Finnish Lapland in the year 1500 is estimated having been about 5000 and in 1830 about 20 000. Only in the 18th Century records of people started to be kept in Lapland. And actually the Swedish government banned Finnish migration from the south to Lapland until 1675, yet even then there were already Finns living in Lapland as Lappish people or Laplanders can be also a Finn (or Swede or Norwegian), not only Sámi. One cannot talk about colonization as for example in the Americas. Those that migrated to the area in the 17th Century had to get a permit from the Lappish villages to settle down or the land was bought or rented from then. Another way was through marriage. And the Lappish villages weren't only Sámi. Furthermore, there was no government project of "settling" Lapland, so the idea of similar attrocities as in America isn't a reality.

Quoting Arcane Sandwich
You say that as if it happened last Monday or something.

Well, the domestication of the reindeer happen in historic times, in the late Middle Ages. I think it was first the Norwegians that domesticated mountain reindeer. The Sámi adapted to this, but also other Lapplanders too. Usually domestication of wild animals, if you can call that about herds that freely walk around tundra, has happened far more earlier.

The classic picture of a Sámi with a reindeer in the tundra:
User image

Quoting Arcane Sandwich
It doesn't seem that the issue here is about having white skin, blond hair and blue eyes.

Well, racist ideologies don't need any logic and there isn't logic. Europeans have been racist towards each other, not only other people.

Quoting Arcane Sandwich
The Sámi have a culture that has been deemed primitive or inferior in some sense, in relation to the modern nation states of Norway, Sweden, Finland, etc., which is why those countries carried out policies to assimilate them in a cultural sense.

Yes. Indeed those kind of ideas were popular during the era of nationalism and the classic racism that eugenics promoted. Wildly popular in Sweden. Yet in fact the opposite happened what you think. This made Sámi identity more evident. In 1917 there was held the first congress of the Sami people in Norway because of the actions of the Norwegian government. Similar "national consciousness" didn't rise in Finland then, because there wasn't much if any tensions between Sámi and other Lapplanders. Or there simple wasn't enough activists.

But note the time line here. All that talk of inferior people, the need for assimiliation and eugenics ended quite quickly after WW2. Eugenics and classic nationalism of the 19th Century went away in the Nordic countries quite quickly. Then in the 1960's and 1970's the governments have supported the Sámi culture and language. And why not, when you are talking about 10 000 people of whom 2 000 speak as a mother tongue Sámi language, it isn't a huge amount to sponsor Sámi culture and have a Sámi parliament of Finland. More like a tourist attraction nowdays when you have Europe's "only indigenous people" around.

Finnish president in the Sámi parliament:
User image

Arcane Sandwich February 04, 2025 at 19:53 #965539
Very informative reply Reply to ssu, thanks.

Quoting ssu
Eugenics and classic nationalism of the 19th Century went away in the Nordic countries quite quickly.


Yeah well, except in Norwegian Black Metal, right? For the most part, at least. Swedish Death Metal bands don't seem to be overtly racist in that sense. And Finland doesn't have a comparable metal scene. I mean, it has one, but it's basically Nightwish, Finntroll, and Korpiklaani. And few dozen bands that sound more or less like one of those.

Quoting ssu
More like a tourist attraction nowdays when you have Europe's "only indigenous people" around.


That's a bit of a strange thing to say. Aren't Germans indigenous to Germany, the Irish indigenous to Ireland, and the French indigenous to France? Etc.
Paine February 04, 2025 at 19:58 #965545
Quoting Arcane Sandwich
That's a bit of a strange thing to say. Aren't Germans indigenous to Germany, the Irish indigenous to Ireland, and the French indigenous to France? Etc.


Depends upon how far back you go.
Arcane Sandwich February 04, 2025 at 20:00 #965547
Quoting Paine
Depends upon how far back you go.


Sure, at the end of the day, humanity started in Africa. So, no one is really indigenous to anywhere except the African continent.
Paine February 04, 2025 at 20:12 #965550
Reply to Arcane Sandwich
The changes and movements of people from the early Bronze age are significant. We don't have to go back as far as the emergence of the species.
Arcane Sandwich February 04, 2025 at 20:13 #965551
Vera Mont February 05, 2025 at 00:22 #965626
Quoting ZisKnow
Won't lie, haven't read the entire thread, but has anyone actually agreed on a definition of fascism? Because without that, debating whether the USA is heading in that direction seems pointless

Nobody has agreed on a hard-and-fast definition, not even Hitler and Mussolini.
What we do know about its various sub-species: how they manifest in a nation's life, the tactics they employ and the figurehead they set up as all-powerful leader.
If you wish to call what's happening in the US by some other name, I'm sure that would be fine, so long as those conditions are met.
180 Proof February 08, 2025 at 06:16 #966525
United States of Kakistan
7February25

"Truth matters" ...
Wayfarer February 08, 2025 at 06:41 #966527
Reply to 180 Proof Quoting Arcane Sandwich
So, no one is really indigenous to anywhere except the African continent.


What about the warm little pond?? Where was that? :brow:

Reply to 180 Proof We know things must be truly desperate when 180 starts posting The Bulwark.
180 Proof February 08, 2025 at 06:50 #966528
Reply to Wayfarer Two politically-savvy philosophers discussing "truth in an age of division" is quite relevant in this Trumpian moment, no?
Wayfarer February 08, 2025 at 07:34 #966529
Reply to 180 Proof I agree, and I do read The Bulwark from time to time. But they’re all disillusioned conservatives, which shows just how far MAGA has morphed from its origins.
180 Proof February 08, 2025 at 07:59 #966532
Reply to Wayfarer Idk anything about the podcast.
Wayfarer February 08, 2025 at 08:10 #966533
Reply to 180 Proof Started by Never Trumper Republican media people. Like the Lincoln Project. But all those panelists are independent of that.
Tzeentch February 08, 2025 at 08:23 #966535
How did American politics get so dumb?


Let me present you with a small exercise:

Vietnam
American people: :rage:

Cambodia
American people: :yawn:

East-Timor
American people: :yawn:

Iraq:
American people: Unfortunate. Carry on.

Afghanistan:
American people: Unfortunate. Carry on.

Libya:
American people: We came, we saw, he died! LOL!

Etc. etc.


The real question ought to be, how did the American people get so dumb?
Arcane Sandwich February 08, 2025 at 12:38 #966558
Quoting Wayfarer
What about the warm little pond?? Where was that? :brow:


Well, there's a hypothesis that says that life started somewhere else. I don't think that's true. But if it is, then no living organism is indigenous to Earth, not even microbes.
180 Proof February 10, 2025 at 22:23 #967137
America's Fascisting Around and Finding Out ...

PSA Monday

Quoting Tzeentch
The real question ought to be, [s]how did[/s][why are] the American people [s]get[/s] so dumb?

Proudly Voting rich, Living poor since 1788!
Arcane Sandwich February 11, 2025 at 00:09 #967189
Quoting 180 Proof
Proudly Voting rich, Living poor since 1788!


Why 1788? What's so special about that specific date? For Oossians, I mean. I know why it's important to other folk, beyond the borders of your country.
180 Proof February 11, 2025 at 01:18 #967219
Reply to Arcane Sandwich The first US elections were held in 1788.
Arcane Sandwich February 11, 2025 at 01:20 #967220
Reply to 180 Proof but the Declaration of Independence is from 1776, right? Doesn't that "trump" (pardon the pun) the first US elections?
180 Proof February 11, 2025 at 01:34 #967225
Reply to Arcane Sandwich The US Constitution of 1787 was ratified in 1788. Prior to that (1783?) the Articles of Confederation governed the (former British colonies of) 13 separate states. The Declaration of Independence of 1776 was not ratified by a popular election and predates the US Constitution (i.e. founding of the Republic), and therefore, is not controlling in American law.

edit:

Old posts on the roots of American "fascism" ...

(2021)
https://thephilosophyforum.com/discussion/comment/504611

(2020)
https://thephilosophyforum.com/discussion/comment/420051
Arcane Sandwich February 11, 2025 at 01:38 #967227
Quoting 180 Proof
The US Constitution of 1787 was ratified in 1788. Prior to that (1783?) the Articles of Confederation governed the (former British colonies of) 13 separate states. The Declaration of Independence of 1776 was not ratified by a popular election and predates the US Constitution (i.e. founding of the Republic), and therefore, is not controlling in American law.


But without the Declaration of Independence (1776), there would not have been a Constitution (1787), nor a ratification of it (1788). And without a Constitution (1787), there would have not been the first US elections (1788).
Arcane Sandwich February 11, 2025 at 01:40 #967229
Reply to 180 Proof You know what my country did in 1776, instead of declaring independence? We created a Viceroyalty.
180 Proof February 11, 2025 at 01:50 #967233
Reply to Arcane Sandwich Different histories and legal traditions 'require' different ways of addressing their respective Empires.

Reply to Arcane Sandwich Hindsight bias is completely. uninformative.
Arcane Sandwich February 11, 2025 at 01:57 #967235
Quoting 180 Proof
Old posts on the roots of American "fascism" ...


I prefer these other Roots:



Quoting 180 Proof
Hindsight bias is completely. uninformative.


I'm saying that the Declaration of Independence was a necessary (but insufficient) condition for the Constitution, as well as the first US elections. Why? Because of what you said here:

Quoting 180 Proof
Different histories and legal traditions 'require' different ways of addressing their respective Empires.
Arcane Sandwich February 11, 2025 at 02:28 #967241
ssu February 22, 2025 at 14:57 #971427
Perhaps many here can agree that Trump's USA it's not classical fascism, but simply authoritarianism. Steven Levitsky & Lucan Way argue that the US is an example of competitive authoritarianism. Worth listening to: